Your Official UFN 108 Bets | Page 7

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 15, 2017.

  1. Davem10 Purple Belt

    Davem10
    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    1,953
    Likes Received:
    1,911
    Well

    Seems though the current bench mark is lose 5 events in a row to the tune of close to 6 thousand dollars

    Then you probably qualify for a few classes above elite
     
    #121
  2. Davem10 Purple Belt

    Davem10
    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    1,953
    Likes Received:
    1,911
    Lol your delusion is still in full swing even after showing you have lost the majority of your events

    All this has been a ploy to simply gain your attention and get you to notice me

    Now im an noticed

    Now i am

    Notorious
     
    #122
  3. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    9,289
    Likes Received:
    3,821
    Oh shit I didn't even realize I'm over 50u for 2017 in MMA + NBA + MLB (even though I'm in the red for MLB so far, heh)

    #sodamnelite
     
    #123
    Sadistics likes this.
  4. Polarize Green Belt

    Polarize
    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2016
    Messages:
    1,012
    Likes Received:
    904
    Lol, read your shit arguments, I don't decide anything and don't need to do, your comments speak for themselves
     
    #124
  5. Davem10 Purple Belt

    Davem10
    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    1,953
    Likes Received:
    1,911
    I dont need to read them, i authored them

    Glad i took some of your life away though with you reading them :)
     
    #125
  6. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    9,289
    Likes Received:
    3,821
    Ok well to the ignore list you go. Sitting next to the other insane poster jack scrapper
     
    #126
  7. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
    Joined:
    Nov 22, 2013
    Messages:
    9,498
    Likes Received:
    4,319
    I wish I bet more on the over in the main event. Moreno winning by submission and OSP winning by submission helped make this a nice winning card for me for 5.55 units profit.

    UFN 108 Results


    Cub Swanson/Artem Lobov starts round 3 (-127) $127.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Cub Swanson wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+402) $25.00 for $100.50= $100.50
    Live In-Play Artem Lobov (+320) vs Cub Swanson $50.00 for $160.00= -$50.00

    Diego Sanchez +3½ points (+125) vs Al Iaquinta $80.00 for $100.00= -$80.00
    Diego Sanchez wins by decisions (+550) $50.00 for $275.00= -$50.00
    Diego Sanchez Points Victory Or Technical Decision(+600) ~$26.40 for ~$158.40= -~$26.40

    Ovince Saint Preux -(155) vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima $155.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Ovince Saint Preux (-165) vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Ovince Saint Preux wins by TKO/KO (+172) $25.00 for $43.00= -$25.00
    Ovince Saint Preux wins by submission (+550) ~$25.20 for ~$138.60= ~$138.60
    Ovince Saint Preux wins inside distance (-136) $68.00 for $50.00= $50.00

    Eddie Wineland (+400) vs John Dodson $50.00 for $200.00= -$50.00
    Eddie Wineland wins by 3 round decision (+1150) $25.00 for $287.50 = -$25.00

    Joe Lauzon (+166) vs Stevie Ray $50.00 for $83.00= -$50.00
    Joe Lauzon wins by submission (+550) $40.00 for $220.00= -$40.00

    Mike Perry (-140) vs Jake Ellenberger $140.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Mike Perry wins by TKO/KO (+110) $50.00 for $55.00= $55.00

    Sam Alvey (+100) vs Thales Leites $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
    Sam Alvey wins in round 3 (+1750) $15.00 for $262.50= -$15.00

    Brandon Moreno (+130) vs Dustin Ortiz $75.00 for $97.50= $97.50
    Brandon Moreno wins by submission (+1035) $25.00 for $258.75= $258.75
    Brandon Moreno wins by submission (+675) $25.00 for $168.75= $168.75

    Scott Holtzman (-290) vs Michael McBride $290.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Scott Holtzman wins inside distance (+156) $40.00 for $62.40= -$40.00

    Jessica Penne (-105) vs Danielle Taylor $105.00 for $100.00= -$105.00
    Jessica Penne wins by submission (+550) $20.00 for $110.00= -$20.00

    Cindy Dandois/Alexis Davis Under 2½ (-101) $50.50 for $50.00= -$50.50

    Bryan Barberena/Joe Proctor Under 2½ (+122) $40.00 for $48.80= $48.80

    Matt Schnell (-140) vs Hector Sandoval $140.00 for $100.00= -$140.00
    Matt Schnell wins in round 3 (+3300) ~$12.00 for ~$396.00= -~$12.00

    Fights to end in submission over 1½ (-169) $67.60 for $40.00= $40.00
    Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+196) $25.00 for $49.00= -$25.00
    Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+582) $15.00 for $87.30= -$15.00
    Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+1840) $10.00 for $184.00= -$10.00
    Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+7200) $5.00 for $360.00= -$5.00
    Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+39900) $3.00 for $1,197.00= -$3.00

    Diego Sanchez/Al Iaquinta FOTN award winner (+650) ~$12.00 for ~$78.00= -~$12.00
    Eddie Wineland/John Dodson FOTN award winner (+600) $15.00 for $90.00= -$15.00

    Round Robin of 28 two-team parlays. Risk $140.00= $87.00
    Ovince Saint Preux wins by submission (+30)
    Joe Lauzon wins by submission (+475)
    Thales Leites wins by submission (+430)
    Brandon Moreno wins by submission (+1035)
    Scott Holtzman wins by submission (+604)
    Cindy Dandois wins by submission (+442)
    Bryan Barberena wins by submission (+869)
    Matt Schnell wins by submission (+322)

    Round Robin of two-team parlays. Risk ~$25.20= -~$25.20
    Cub Swanson/Artem Lobov bout ends in round 3 or round 4 (+348)
    Diego Sanchez/Al Iaquinta bout ends in round 3 (+750)
    Ovince Saint Preux /Marcos Rogerio de Lima bout ends in round 3 (+800)
    Eddie Wineland/John Dodson bout ends in round 3 (+700)
    Joe Lauzon/Steven Ray bout ends in round 3 (+850)
    Mike Perry/Jake Ellenberger bout ends in round 3 (+850)
    Sam Alvey/Thales Leites bout ends in round 3 (+900)
    Brandon Moreno/Dustin Ortiz bout ends in round 3 (+1100)
    Scott Holtzman/Michael McBride bout ends in round 3 (+900)
    -----
    Sub-Total= $631.40
    Sub-Total= -~$75.60

    Total Profit= $555.80
     
    #127
  8. King_Brown #AndStill #1 bettor on Sherdog ($4300)

    King_Brown
    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2017
    Messages:
    1,284
    Likes Received:
    1,707
    Location:
    Platinum Nation
    Went too hard to hat u3.5. Really thought Cubis emotional and wants to take his head off. Also he was coming off a good fight with Choi. He didn't play it safe back then.
    You captain hindsights.. " Oh i knew artem was tough etc" stfu. We had no reason to believe this fight goes to decision. We have all seen Artem talk trash and then lose to Alex white's.
     
    #128
  9. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    9,289
    Likes Received:
    3,821
    How often have we seen Artem get finished, though?
     
    #129
  10. JDB Brown Belt

    JDB
    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2010
    Messages:
    3,815
    Likes Received:
    1,511
    Never.
     
    #130
  11. Sadistics Green Belt

    Sadistics
    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,000
    Likes Received:
    2,138
    Posted plays:

    Swanson -3.5 -350 3.5u

    Swanson SUB +725 1u

    Iaquinta ITD +159 1u

    Lima +155 .5u
    Lima/OSP U1.5 -140 1u

    Dodson/Wineland O2.5 +180 .5u
    Dodson DEC +275 .5u

    Ray/Lauzon O2.5 -135 4u
    Ray DEC +175 2u


    Ellenberger/Perry U1minute +900 .2u
    Ellenberger/Perry U1.5 +106 1u
    Ellenberger/Perry to end in KO -131 .5u


    Alvey NSC +166 2u
    Leites DEC +165 2u

    Moreno NSC +175 1u
    Ortiz DEC +110 1u

    Taylor DEC +140 1u

    Barb/Proctor O2.5 -130 2.5u

    Schnell +123 5u
    Schnell ITD +410 .5u
    Schnell RD3 +3300 .3u



    Holtzman -333 + Iaquinta -370 + Swanson -588 2.5u for 2.5u

    Swanson -3.5 -350 + open slot 2u


    Total: +12u

    Post-posted plays:
    Swanson/Lobov FOTN +550 .5u

    Holtzman -290 + Davis -280 + Barberena -330 2u

    Taylor DEC +162 1u


    Ortiz -110 2u

    Ray DEC +184 2u

    Total: +8.5u
    Lotto parlays: -1u
    Grand total: +19.5u

    Went into light chase mode after Schnell lost but had to leave during the Holtzman fight so no lbing. I caught up on the fights with no spoilers and holy shit was that Ray fight intense with what I had riding on it. Soooo lucky to have won that decision rather than draw.

    Really wanted to bet OSP sub but knowing that I could've had +900 made the +500 or so less enticing. Got way too excited when Cub got Lobov's back in rd1 and 5 with my +700 sub bet. Overall a very successful and entertaining night of fights.

    Fully bragging here but I called the Taylor fight perfectly
    I imagine this will be a staring contest as neither possesses any offense. Penne has a bad habit of trying to pressure without throwing anything, add to that her lack of head movement and Taylor's counter striking and we should see Taylor land enough power shots to win the decision. She has KO power but Penne is so tough, though TKOd by JJ and Andrade those were prolonged beatdowns where the ref just couldn't watch it anymore. Didn't get to see much of Taylor's ground game but she's got decent wrestling and at 5' with that frame I doubt Penne can get her down, she doesn't have good TDs to begin with. I cap Taylor -140

    Came 1 or 2 legs short on a few of the lottos, this one hurting the most
     

    Attached Files:

    #131
  12. Oblivian Aging

    Oblivian
    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2006
    Messages:
    37,731
    Likes Received:
    5,833
    Location:
    Merica
    Bro, you can't complain about these parlays that almost would have hit when your years profit is basically the return on a very long shot parlay of KZ/Herrig/Vick. Your style is live by the sword, die by the sword. You'll have big wins which can cover multiple losing events. I mean that shows as you are 4 for 11 on win % for events. You should probably look through the events and see your returns on singles vs. parlays. A lot of people are saying to drop the parlays, but I'm not so sure your ROI is better on singles. It's probably worth looking into if you are thinking about changing the style.
     
    #132
  13. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    LEMONZEST
    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2015
    Messages:
    3,362
    Likes Received:
    2,207
    Ortiz also wrecked my lotto.

    parlay.jpg
     
    #133
    Sham5916910, raketmannen, JDB and 2 others like this.
  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,023
    Likes Received:
    15,934
    Location:
    philly
    that's pretty crazy.. neither ortiz nor moreno had ever been finished.. sry >< was my big win, too.. but i didn't expect it to happen; the line movement forced my hand (i was on O2.5 before the moreno ITD spike)
     
    #134
  15. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    LEMONZEST
    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2015
    Messages:
    3,362
    Likes Received:
    2,207
    Yeah I mean even in retrospect the O 2.5 really should have hit there. I was disappointed becuase when making the parlay I thought it was a close fight so I rather prudently (or so I thought) just played the over instead of either ML.

    Anyway gonna keep rocking these lottos and try and hit some at 211
     
    #135
  16. King_Brown #AndStill #1 bettor on Sherdog ($4300)

    King_Brown
    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2017
    Messages:
    1,284
    Likes Received:
    1,707
    Location:
    Platinum Nation
    Idk what to do. I think my system has potential but recently there have been a lot of controversial stuff that doesnt happen too often. Dude last year I played exactly like I have been playing this year and ended up almost 11k profit. I was up 10k this year until big swing came in. So I basically went from 20k to 13,5k in two months. I think the upswing is coming. I cant lose forever. I hate peanuts and I want to win big. There is no really other chance to win a lot than parlays. I dont see a point playing it safe and winning few hundred per event. This is small amount of money for me and means literally nothing for me.
     
    #136
  17. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    9,289
    Likes Received:
    3,821
    You risked basically $4000 this last event yet your margin for error in terms of making a profit were severely hindered (IMO) with your parlays. As O said, your events are gonna be feast of famine most of the time. And there could be a lot of bad events in between the good ones. It's not really a smart strategy if you ask me in a ROI stand point. Now that you're basically back to square 1, you can try and build a BR up before you get fancy with your parlays and stuff.
     
    #137
  18. mmaHobbyist Orange Belt

    mmaHobbyist
    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2012
    Messages:
    460
    Likes Received:
    124
    I was the f*cking king turning 4g into 70g bankroll in 3 years while likely have 35g yearly expenses (no job). I was reckless betting 3-4g a fights in the hay day, Now bankroll take a nose dive down to 26g . I get slap in the face with a humble pie, less bragging, more capping. The trick is stay in the game to rise again to be 'face of mma betting' ....hahaha.

    No idea why people get so upset what other claim. if you claim your grandma still hottest woman on the planet, than good for you. It cost me nothing.
     
    #138
  19. Joseph Budden #GamblingTerrorist #BombTheLines #JihadTheBookies

    Joseph Budden
    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,291
    Likes Received:
    16,967
    Location:
    NJ
    imo if I were you I would at least experiment with changing up the style. Put less legs in a parlay and/or maybe less risk instead of the usual $300, and start changing up the straight bet amount based on confidence. Just food for thought brother. This time last year I was also "winning" as far as being profitable, but it took some experimentation and self evaluation to find a style and approach that work best for me, and now im caking like a bakery
     
    #139
    EzFlyer and raketmannen like this.
  20. NinjaCat456 Green Belt

    NinjaCat456
    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2016
    Messages:
    982
    Likes Received:
    727
    As others have said it might be an idea to stick to doubles & trebles rather than parlays with 4 legs or more. Robbie says it a lot on the other threads and I think he's right, 4 teamers = losses. Might not sound as exciting this way but you'll suffer less variance and hence cash your parlays more consistently.
     
    #140

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "fd5733925866a04e50edd70f38dfaa35"
monitoring_string = "603ac9fff68f23709f2a42bf5e29272b"