Your Official UFN 107 Bets

Edwards (+110) - $36.36 to win $40
Jouban +3.5 (+145) - $25 to win $36.25
Jouban (+287) - $10 to win $28.70
Madadi +3.5 (+195) - $20 to win $39
Madadi (+508) - $10 to win $50.80

Good luck boys!
 
My expert bets for this card. Went lil bit bigger because we have 3 weeks pause coming.

Brad Pickett $300 to win $540
Makwan Amirkhani $300 to win $540
Timothy Johsnon $300 to win $500
Darren Stewart $300 to win $470
Marc Diakiese $300 to win $435
Vincente Luque $300 to win $510
Oluwale Bambgbose $300 to win $1050
Jimi Manuwa $300 to win $500
MMA Fight $300 to win $560
K-1 fight $300 to win $560 (Got it at 1.86, the odds went from 1.86 to 1.41 xD)

Amirkhani+Pickett+Stewart+Johnson $300 to win $2565 (expecting cuck Khani to fuck this up)
Lina Lansberg+Breese/Bamgbose O1,5+Omielanczuk/Johnson O2,5+Diakiese $300 to win $2200
Bradley Scott+Vincente Luque+Brad Pickett $300 to win $2000
Brad Pickett+Timothy Johnson+K-1 Fight+MMA fight $300 to win $3140
Manuwa+Nelson+Pickett+Duffy+Stewart+Johnson+Diakiese+Breese+Luque+Scott+Lansberg+K-1 Fight+K-1 Fight +MMA fight $129 to win $80,625
 
My expert bets for this card. Went lil bit bigger because we have 3 weeks pause coming.

Brad Pickett $300 to win $540
Makwan Amirkhani $300 to win $540
Timothy Johsnon $300 to win $500
Darren Stewart $300 to win $470
Marc Diakiese $300 to win $435
Vincente Luque $300 to win $510
Oluwale Bambgbose $300 to win $1050
Jimi Manuwa $300 to win $500
MMA Fight $300 to win $560
K-1 fight $300 to win $560 (Got it at 1.86, the odds went from 1.86 to 1.41 xD)

Amirkhani+Pickett+Stewart+Johnson $300 to win $2565 (expecting cuck Khani to fuck this up)
Lina Lansberg+Breese/Bamgbose O1,5+Omielanczuk/Johnson O2,5+Diakiese $300 to win $2200
Bradley Scott+Vincente Luque+Brad Pickett $300 to win $2000
Brad Pickett+Timothy Johnson+K-1 Fight+MMA fight $300 to win $3140
Manuwa+Nelson+Pickett+Duffy+Stewart+Johnson+Diakiese+Breese+Luque+Scott+Lansberg+K-1 Fight+K-1 Fight +MMA fight $129 to win $80,625


Fu*king LOL at your last parlay...

good luck dude...I hope this hits for you.
 
Really late to the party. Been terribly busy. I missed openers and got shit prices. Anyway...

Manuwa by TKO (+121) risk: 1.65u to win 2u

Nelson by DEC (+255) risk: 1u to win 2.55u

Pickett (-140) risk: 2.8u to win 2u

Allen (-115) risk: 2.3u to win 2u

Duffy/Madadi u1.5 (+125) risk: 0.4u to win 0.5u

Edwards (-105) risk: 1.05u to win 1u

Bamgbose by TKO (+368) risk: 0.5u to win 1.84u
 
UFN 107 Risk: 3,144
manuwa -135: 267.50 for 200 / manuwa SPLIT: 8 for 214 / manuwa RD1: 30 parlays / manuwa RD2: 20 for 100.40 - 9 parlays / anderson
jouban +245: 150 for 367.50 - 24 parlays / jouban DEC: 30 for 160.50 - 15 parlays / jouban +3.5: 100 for 145 / O1.5: 75 for 50 - 60 parlays / nelson
vera: 0 for 11 / pickett
allen +100: 70 for 70 / allen DEC: 30 for 82.50 - 15 parlays / O2.5: 71 for 50 - 60 parlays / amirkhani
madadi: 15 parlays / O1.5: 67.50 for 50 - 60 parlays / NOT duffy ITD: 0 for 8.78 / duffy SUB: 9 parlays
barroso +160: 50 for 80 / barroso DEC: 25 for 107.50 - 9 parlays / O1.5: 65 for 50 - 60 parlays / stewart
johnson -148: 295 for 200 / johnson DEC: 30 parlays / johnson -3.5: 21 parlay / O2.5: 130 for 100 - 60 parlays / omielanczuk
diakiese -230: 300 for 130.56 / diakiese DEC: 15 parlays / diakiese -3.5 - 21 parlay / packalen ITD: 25 for 102.50
breese -210: 420 for 200 / breese SUB: 15 parlays / breese RD2: 15 parlays / breese -3.5: 21 parlay / bamgbose RD1: 20 for 120 - 9 parlays
luque -132: 132 for 100 / luque DEC: 30 parlays / O2.5: 70 for 50 - 60 parlays / edwards DEC: 35 for 99.75 - 9 parlays
entwistle-johns U1.5: 175 for 100
askham DEC: 35 for 91.35 - 15 parlays / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 60 parlays / scott
pudilova DEC: 9 parlays / lansberg
props
DEC O5.5: 136 for 100
DEC O6.5: 30 for 54.60
DEC O7.5: 20 for 93.20

parlays
35 RR for 1,607.13: manuwaRD1/ joubanDEC/ allenDEC/ johnsonDEC/ breeseSUB/ luqueDEC/ askhamDEC
21 RR for 2,087.81: manuwaRD2/ jouban/ duffySUB/ barrosoDEC/ bamgboseRD1/ edwardsDEC/ pudilovaDEC
35 RR for 1,834.10: manuwa RD1/ jouban/ madadi/ johnsonDEC/ diakieseDEC/ breeseRD2/ luqueDEC
105 RR for 659.37: joubgunnieO1.5/ allenamirO2.5/ rezaduffyO1.5/ barrstewartO1.5/ johnsomieO2.5/ luqueedwardsO2.5/ askhamscottO2.5
21 for 100.93 johnson-3.5/ diakiese-3.5/ breese-3.5
---

ok ok ok i'm walking away. i might have gone overboard on a couple things, compensating for no ufc for a few weeks after today.

feel like i should've done more on johnson ML (relative to other plays) cause i'm quite confident and loved that price. (i won't even make any money if he finishes omie, which is bad)

think i'm gonna lose today, haha.
 
UFN 107 Risk $2277.75

Corey Anderson/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (-160) $160.00 for $100.00
Jimi Manuwa wins in round 1 (+275) $30.00 for $82.50
Jimi Manuwa wins in round 2 (+502) $20.00 for $100.40
Corey Anderson wins by TKO/KO (+480) $25.00 for $120.00
Corey Anderson wins in round 3 (+1400) $25.00 for $350.00
Corey Anderson wins in round 4 (+2100) $10.00 for $210.00
Corey Anderson wins in round 5 (+3100) $5.00 for $155.00

Alan Jouban (+285) vs Gunnar Nelson $200.00 for $570.00
Alan Jouban Points Victory/Technical Decision (+550) ~$31.25 for ~$171.88
Gunnar Nelson wins by submission (+200) $25.00 for $50.00
Gunnar Nelson wins by KO (+480) ~$28.75 for ~$138.00
Gunnar Nelson wins inside distance (+105) $40.00 for $42.00

Brad Pickett (-120) vs Marlon Vera $240.00 for $200.00
Brad Pickett wins by TKO/KO (+515) $20.00 for $103.00
Brad Pickett wins inside distance (+361) $30.00 for $108.30

Makwan Amirkhani (-120) vs Arnold Allen $120.00 for $100.00
Makwan Amirkhani wins by submission (+400) $25.00 for $100.00
Makwan Amirkhani wins in round 1 (+550) $10.00 for $55.00

Reza Madadi (+508) vs Joseph Duffy $125.00 for $635.00
Reza Madadi wins by 3 round decision (+800) $30.00 for $240.00
Reza Madadi Points Victory/Technical Decision (+1350) ~$31.25 for ~$421.88
Reza Madadi/Joseph Duffy Over 1½ (-140) $56.00 for $40.00

Francimar Barroso (+160) vs Darren Stewart $100.00 for $160.00
Darren Stewart wins in round 1 (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

Timothy Johnson (-150) vs Daniel Omielanczuk $150.00 for $100.00
Timothy Johnson wins in round 2 (+575) $20.00 for $115.00
Timothy Johnson/Daniel Omielanczuk Over 2½ (+115) $50.00 for $57.50

Marc Diakiese (-200) vs Teemu Packalen $200.00 for $100.00
Marc Diakiese wins in round 1 (+325) $30.00 for $97.50
Marc Diakiese wins by TKO/KO (+200) $30.00 for $60.00

Tom Breese wins by submission (+360) vs Oluwale Bamgbose ~$28.75 for ~$103.50

Vicente Luque (-140) vs Leon Edwards $140.00 for $100.00
Leon Edwards Points Victory/Technical Decision (+240) ~$31.25 for $75.00

Brad Scott/Scott Askham Over 2½ (-150) $60.00 for $40.00

Lina Lansberg wins by 3 round decision (-120) vs Lucie Pudilova $48.00 for $40.00

Alan Jouban/Gunnar Nelson awarded FOTN Bonus (+450) ~$12.50 for ~$56.25

Brad Pickett wins POTN Bonus (+800) ~$12.50 for ~$100.50
Makwan Amirkhani wins POTN Bonus (+800) ~$12.50 for ~$100.50
Marc Diakese wins POTN Bonus (+900) ~$12.50 for ~$112.50
Tom Breese wins POTN Bonus (+700) ~$12.50 for ~$87.50
 
thoughts on anderson by sub +1000? i could see jimi gassing in the third and getting caught in a head/arm or giving up his back.............
 
Edwards
Diakiese/Duffy parlay
Duffy/Breese parlay
Amirkhani
Pickett
Jouban
Anderson
 
1.25U on Gunnar at $50 to win $66
1.25U on Manuwa at $50 to win $85
0.5U on Gunnar by Sub $20 to win $60

Results edit: 3 bets for 3 wins, $91 profit 2.25U.
 
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Jouban 1$ +245
Manuwa/Anderson Doesn't go to distance 20$ -350
 
rough night, went too heavy on luque and spent the night trying to chase, not much else to say.

WINS

Barroso £50 returns £125

Johnson, duffy £200 returns £414

allen £200 returns £380

£919

LOSSES

Luque ko, jouban dec, duffy ko, Anderson ko £25 returns £10,125

Breese, johns, scott, luque, lansberg, diakiese, Johnson, stewart, duffy, allen, jouban, Anderson, vera, £6 returns £5839

Breese, johns, Lansberg, diakiese, luque, jonson, stewart, vera, jouban, duffy, Anderson £11 returns £3217

Luque, breese £355 returns £855

Luque, breese, Johnson, duffy, diakiese, Anderson ko, £100 returns £3196

Duffy ko £75 returns £187

Pickett £110 returns £190

Jouban dec £50 returns £325

Jouban £100 returns £340

Corey £100 returns £220

Corey ko £50 returns £250

TOTAL INVESTMENT: £1432

LOSS: £513
 
Really late to the party. Been terribly busy. I missed openers and got shit prices. Anyway...

Manuwa by TKO (+121) risk: 1.65u to win 2u +2u

Nelson by DEC (+255) risk: 1u to win 2.55u -1u

Pickett (-140) risk: 2.8u to win 2u -2.8u

Allen (-115) risk: 2.3u to win 2u +2u

Duffy/Madadi u1.5 (+125) risk: 0.4u to win 0.5u -0.4u

Edwards (-105) risk: 1.05u to win 1u +1u

Bamgbose by TKO (+368) risk: 0.5u to win 1.84u Cancelled

ADDED DURING EVENT:
Johnson by DEC (+155) risk: 1u to win 1.55u +1.55u

Manuwa by TKO (+100) risk: 1u to win 1u +1u

+3.35u on the day. Could have been 8.15u if it weren't for Pickett
 
1u Madadi/Duffy o1.5 - 1.75
0.5u Madadi - 6.00
3u Manuwa/Anderson fight ends by KO/TKO - 1.74
2.5u Picket - 1.87
1u Picket/Vera o2.5 + Diakiese - 2.38
1u Picket DEC + Manuwa/Anderson KO + Madadi/Duffy o1.5 - 7.48
1u Breese + Luque/Edwards o2.5 - 2.20 (Breese fight cancelled, so 1u on the over @ 1.57)
0,25u Entwistle/Johns u1.5 + Manuwa R1/2 + Madadi/Duffy o1.5 + Diakiese/Packalen o2.5 + Scott/Askham o2.5 + Allen DEC

+ A bunch of small livebets...Allen and Allen DEC helped a lot. In total +3,15u.
 
Singles:
2u over 1.5 Duffy - Madadi -150 +1.33u
2u Jouban +230 -2u
2u Madadi +500 -2u
2u Johnson -150 +1.33u
2u Diakiese -192 +1.04u
1u Luque -139 -1u
1u over 2.5 Arnold-Makwan -150 +0.66u
3u Fight over by KO Manuwa-Corey -150 +2u
2u under 1.5 Entwistle-Johns -200

Doubles:
2u over 2.5 Lina-Padilova + under 1.5 Entwistle-Johns +120 +0.8u ,void Entwistle
2u Pickett+Breese +168 -2u
1u Pickett+Stewart +180 -1u

Triples:
1u Luque+Diakiese+Tim Johnson +350 -1u

Parlays:
P1 : 0.1u Pudilova+Madadi+Jouban+Breese+Brad Scott+Diakiese+Luque+Johnson+Stewart+Amirkhani+Manuwa+o2.5Pickett+u1.5Entwistle to return 730u
P2 : 0.1u Brad Scott+Diakiese+Tim Johnson+Breese+Stewart+Madadi+Jouban+Manuwa+Pickett to return 74.4u
P3 : 0.05u Parlay 3 + o2.5 Lansberg + o2.5 Arnold + u1.5 Eintwistle to return 95u
P4 : 0.1u o1.5Duffy + u1.5 Entwistle + Lina dec + Pickett dec + o1.5 Jouban + Timothy dec + Arnold dec + Luque + Diakiese to return 55.6u
P5 : 0.5u o2.5Lina + o1.5 Jouban + o2.5 Pickett + o2.5 Arnold + o1.5 Duffy + o2.5 Askham + u1.5 Entwistle +2039
-0.85u


+Livebetting
3u Brad Scott -250
2u Allen -110

In total, +0.33u , not bad but could have been a lot better if Jouban lasted a bit more. He cost me 6.13u
 
Brad Pickett $300 to win $540
Makwan Amirkhani $300 to win $540
Timothy Johsnon $300 to win $500
Darren Stewart $300 to win $470
Marc Diakiese $300 to win $435
Vincente Luque $300 to win $510
Jimi Manuwa $300 to win $500
MMA Fight $300 to win $560
K-1 fight $300 to win $560 (Got it at 1.86, the odds went from 1.86 to 1.41 xD)

Amirkhani+Pickett+Stewart+Johnson $300 to win $2565 (expecting cuck Khani to fuck this up)
Lina Lansberg +Omielanczuk/Johnson O2,5+Diakiese $300 to win $1160
Bradley Scott+Vincente Luque+Brad Pickett $300 to win $2000
Brad Pickett+Timothy Johnson+K-1 Fight+MMA fight $300 to win $3140
Manuwa+Nelson+Pickett+Duffy+Stewart+Johnson+Diakiese+Luque+Scott+Lansberg+K-1 Fight+K-1 Fight +MMA fight $129 to win $80,625

Lost $-300
Profit this year $8330
 
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Luque - 1.75 (honestly thought this was so obvious but he puffed out)
Entwhistle - 4.50 (worth a try)
Bamgbose - 3.50
Allen Decision - 4.00
Madadi Decision - 15.00 (worth a try)
Anderson - 2.30 (I stand by my view that Manuwa is one-dimensional but given that fights start on the feet it's difficult to avoid a KO against someone with his power)

Not a good night for me...

Bet £14
Won £8 (although I was very confident in Bamgbose and clearly Breese couldn't handle the heat)

Thankfully I don't bet much.

EDIT - Looking up at everyone's bets my £6 loss is pennies...
 
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ioeved.jpg
 
Past 2 events have been awful for me, down like 14u in them. I'm still new to betting though, learning from my mistakes, need to stop putting money on people who I'm not confident with, I get too greedy and bet randoms, If I just stuck with the fights I had strong leans on I would still be winning right now. Regardless, I'm still up 38 units this year, gotta stay positive and look forward to the next event.
 
Livebets:
Arnold allen odds 2.62(stardard)
Chito Vera odds 4.00 (small)


Lansberg-Pudilova O2.5 + Stewart >> odds 2.20 (standar)
Breese - Bamgbose O1.5 + Pickett >> odds 3.15 (standar)
Arnold Allen >> odds 2.10 (standar)
Madadi >> odds 6.00 (small) and Madadi DEC odds 15.00(small)
O1.5 Diakisie-Packalen +
O2.5 Johnson Omelianczuk + O2.5 Lansberg-Pudilova + O1.5 Breese-Bamgbose >> odds 7.37

Livebets saved me from losing money
 
Pudilova +270 - 1u -- o2.5 -240 to win 2u
Scott +140 - 1u -- o2.5 -155 to win 2u
Johns -350 to win 1u
Packalen +175 - 3u
Luque/Edwards o2.5 -190 to win 1u
Johnson/Omelischuk o2.5 +120 - 1u
Stewart/Barraso o1.5 -130 to win 1u
Amirkhani -115 to win 2u
Anderson +130 - 1u -- o1.5 -165 to win 1u

Banking on those overs once again.

+1/2 unit (+1.5 units including WSOF)

Made some really good plays, and some really bad plays.... the Amirkhani bet was the only one in the middle.

Unfortunately I wasn't able to watch the Anderson fight live, because if I did I would have switched to Manuwa at a huge premium. It was so obvious Corey had no intention of winning.

Went 5-2 on overs on the day. Thus far I'm 105-52 on them in my betting career, and I bet more +money overs than ones steeper than -200. It's quite possible I'm a losing bettor otherwise.
 
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