Your Official UFN 104 Bets

[Sham5916910]

1.3 units Blaydes + Grasso

1.3 units Hamilton + Torres

3.3 units Skelly + Grasso (buying out of this bet worst case i lose 0.66 units unless theres a fuckin draw)

Made a complete hash of this card jumped the gun before watching tape fully. Hoping lb is going to be good.

 

[NorthernLights]

1u Blaydes + Torres/Rawlings o2.5 1.89
1u Skelly + Tanaka 2.20
2u Trujillo 1.90
1,25u Morono 1.93
+1u 2.00
1,25u Jolly 2.57
2,5u Hamilton 1.65
0,5u KZ 2.62

I ended up chickening out of the Skelly/Tanaka and Blaydes/TorresRawlings bets. Final version. Might add some last minute round props just because I like throwing money away.

1u Ramos Tanaka DEC 2.10
1,5u Blaydes + Skelly 1.86
2u Trujillo 1.90
1,25u Morono 1.93
+1u 2.00
1,25u Jolly 2.57
2,5u Hamilton 1.65
+ 1u Hamilton ITD 2.20
0,5u KZ 2.62

Best of luck to everyone tonight!

 

[Agent Mulder]

3u Hamilton -164
2.33u Morono +110
1u Trujillo +100
1 Jolly +145

2u Ramos/Tanaka GTD +112
0.66u Hill DEC +900
0.5u Morono DEC +375
0.33u Trujillo DEC +450
0.31u Herrig SUB +1000
0.1u Tanaka r3 +1200

3u Blaydes ML + Torres/Rawlings O2.5 -110
2u Grasso ML + Skelly ML -110

Edit: Another unit on Ramos/Tanaka GTD and 0.1u on Tanaka r3.

 

[wigglestick]

Wiggles bets:

Torres dec - 9.94 to win 7
Blaydes ITD - 4.66 to win 3.50
Grasso dec - 6.49 to win 5.50
Morono - 7.49 to win 7

Blaydes/ Torres - 5 to win 3.83
Hamilton/ Skelly - 17 to win 18.31
Hamilton/ Torres - 7 to win 7.12
Blaydes/ Trujillo +3.5 - 7 to win 7.19

 

[YoungScholar]

Not liking this card for betting at all so I'm keeping it fairly small and simple before the event:

2u on Alex Morono @ -105
2u on Abel Trujillo @ +100
2u on Chan Sung Jung @ +110

I admit I was totally blinded by fanboyism when I saw KZ was fighting and put down a bet at the opening line like a month ago. Upon further reflection he obviously should be the clear underdog with the amount of unknowns. Good luck yawl

 

[BigNick100]

Vick by SUB @ +335
OSP by DEC @ +330
Skelly wins by SUB + 150

$20.00 to win $915.25

Also James Vick/Abel Trujillo Over 1½ @-140
Marcel Fortuna/Anthony Hamilton Over 1½ @-125
Adam Milstead/Curtis Blaydes Over 1½@ -110*
Dennis Bermudez -185 ML

$20.00 to win $161.50

AND

Saint Preux wins by 3 round decision +330
Blaydes wins by 3 round decision +347
Skelly wins by submission +150

$10.00 TO WIN 470.53

 

[BigNick100]

One more,

Saint Preux wins by 3 round decision +330
Blaydes wins by 3 round decision +347
Skelly wins by submission +150
Bermudez wins by 5 round decision +160

$10.00 to win $1,480.52

 

[The MM Analyst]

Only parlays for me this time.

3 units +158 Bleyeds, Skelly, Bec/Tecia >2.5

6 units +109 Hamilton, Torres

2 units +105 Grasso/Herrig >2.5, Ramos/Tanaka >1.5

1.4 units +209 Vick/Trujillo >1.5, Hamilton/Fortuna <1.5

 

[P4p Islam]

This has been my least favorite gambling ufc card in awhile

 

[iGnP]

KZ TKO (+646) risk: 0.1u to win 0.65u

Grasso by DEC (+105) risk: 2u to win 2.1u

(added) Hamilton (-195) risk: 1.95u to win 1u

(added) Vick (-115) risk: 1.15u to win 1u
[Trujillo TKO (+290) risk: 0.5u to win 1.45u
(added) NOT Trujillo TKO (-273) 1.37u to win 0.5u]
>updated stake: Trujillo TKO 0u to win 0.08u

Hill/Andrade Goes to Decision (+125) risk: 1u to win 1.25u
Hill by DEC (+550) risk: 0.2u to win 1.1u

Blaydes wins in rd 2, 3 (+475, +1000, respectively) risk: 0.1u each
(added) Blaydes wins in rd 2, 3 (+450, +950, respectively) risk: 0.15u each

Morono (+105) risk: 0.4u to win 0.42u
(added) Morono by DEC (+316) risk: 0.6u to win 1.9u

(added) Torres by DEC (-170) risk: 0.85u to win 0.5u
Rawlings by DEC (+362) risk: 0.1u to win 0.36u

Added some plays above. I THINK that's the last of my plays so this is my final update prior to the start of the fights. Got some bad lines but whatever

 

[raketmannen]

Added a couple more

0.3u KZ/Bermudez r3-4 +450
0.2u Grasso sub +900
0.8u Tanaka/Ramos goes the distance +110
0.3u Ramos dec +650
0.3u OSP dec +400
0.2u Torres itd + OSP dec +3000

 

[Polarize]

break even last week.
-----

1.5u Morono (2.00)
1.5u Trujillo (1.90)
1u Jung (2.70)

0.5u Morono DEC (4.75)
1u Andrade-Hill o2.5 (2.10)
0.2u Hill DEC (10.00)
1u Grasso DEC (2.10)
0.5u Jung ITD (3.60)

parlays:
1u Hamilton/Torres (2.09)
0.3u Grasso DEC/Jung ITD (7.56)

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Definitely my smallest card in some time. Unit size is $50
I will amend the wins and losses after the event closes. BOL ninjas!,

ML

Trujillo +105 1.5 unit
Morono -110 2.00 units

Props

Hill By Decision +700 0.4 units
Hill v Andrade o2.5 +110 1.50 unit
Hill wins in round 3 +2500 0.1 units
Hamilton -210 TKO +100 2.00 units
Jolly v Rountree u1.5 -136 1.36 units
Torres wins in round 3 +1800 0.1 units
Hamilton wins in round 2 +650 0.3 units
Oezdemir By KO,TKO OR DQ +500 0.3 units

Parlays

OSP -310 + Torres -230 at -111 risking 2.3 units
Skelly -290 + Hamilton -195 +103 risking 4.50 units
Blaydes -303 +Ramos/Tanaka o1½ -190 at +103 risking 2.00 units

 

[bllandzz]

This is the only bets I've got on this card. The reason why I've put 1st rnd ko's for trujillo and oezdemir is that they have both trained with Henri hooft and a lot of his fighters seem to come out strong in the first round throwing bombs so there is always that odd chance of getting a quick ko. And I threw Herrig in the mix because of her previous kickboxing experience and the huge odds against her winning this fight.

Good luck to everyone who's got bets down.

 

[t6p]

Refusing to play these crazy juiced moneylines. May add more but this is it for now:

0.5u Korean Zombie ITD +315
0.2u Korean Zombie SUB +450
0.1u Korean Zombie RD4 +1900
0.1u Korean Zombie RD5 +2700

0.15u Grasso SUB +1000

1.15u Vick -115
0.25u Vick SUB +385
0.1u Vick RD3 +1275

0.5u Hamilton ITD +112

0.5u Hill +400
0.1u Hill DEC +730

0.5u Blaydes ITD +100
0.2u Blaydes RD2 +475
0.1u Blaydes RD3 +1000

0.5u Rawlings +350

1u Morono +100
0.1u Morono RD3 +1225

0.15u Rountree DEC +900

0.5u Ramos-Tankaka o1.5/Hamilton +116
0.1u Morono/Blaydes ITD/Hill-Andrade o2.5/Hamilton/Vick +1716
0.1u Skelly SUB/Hamilton KO/Grass DEC +1101

 

[null]

UFN 104 Risk $2928.51

Chan Sung Jung (+169) vs Dennis Bermudez $100.00 for $169.00
Chan Sung Jung wins by TKO/KO (+731) $25.00 for $182.75
Chan Sung Jung/Dennis Bermudez Under 2½ (+169) $100.00 for $169.00

Felice Herrig (+280) vs Alexa Grasso $100.00 for $280.00
Felice Herrig wins by submission (+800) $25.00 for $200.00

Abel Trujillo/James Vick Over 1½ (-132) $52.80 for $40.00
Abel Trujillo wins by 3 round decision $20.00 for $122.00

Ovince Saint Preux (-310) vs Volkan Oezdemir $620.00 for $200.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins by submission (+400) $25.00 for $100.00

Anthony Hamilton wins by TKO/KO (+165) vs Marcel Fortuna $30.00 for $49.50

Jessica Andrade/Angela Hill Under 2½ (-117) $87.75 for $75.00

Curtis Blaydes wins inside distance (-137) vs Adam Milstead $41.10 for $30.00
Curtis Blaydes wins by submission (+850) $20.00 for $170.00

Chas Skelly/Chris Gruetzemacher Over 1½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
Chas Skelly wins by 3 round decision (+325) $35.00 for $113.75

Ricardo Ramos/Michinori Tanaka Over 1½ (-210) $210.00 for $100.00

Tecia Torres (-280) vs Bec Rawlings $280.00 for $100.00
Tecia Torres (-290) vs Bec Rawlings $290.00 for $100.00
Tecia Torres wins inside distance (+457) $25.00 for $114.25
Tecia Torres wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00

Alex Morono/Niko Price starts round 2 (-187) ~$102.86 for ~$55.01
Alex Morono/Niko Price Over 1½ (-171) $171.00 for $100.00

Khalil Rountree vs Daniel Jolly (-168) $168.00 for $100.00
Khalil Rountree wins by TKO/KO (+119) $40.00 for $47.60

Abel Trujillo/James Vick FOTN award winner (+750) $10.00 for $75.00

Parlay:
Tecia Torres (-400) vs Bec Rawlings + Chas Skelly (-300) vs Chris Gruetzemacher + Curtis Blaydes (-320) vs Adam Milstead + Jessica Andrade (-550) vs Angela Hill + Anthony Hamilton (-210) vs Marcel Fortuna + Ovince Saint Preux (-335) vs Volkan Oezdemir $200.00 for $791.10

 

[EzFlyer]

UFN 104 Risk: 1,492.44
bermudez -127: 200 for 157.35 / ITD: 30 parlays / KZ split: 10 for 144
herrig +400: 50 for 200 / herrig SUB: 16 for 148 / grasso
trujillo +108: 150 for 162.14 / trujillo DEC: 25 for 167 - 12 parlays / O1.5: 0 for 18.85 / Vick
OSP SUB: 22 for 99 - 12 parlays / OSP DEC: 20 parlays / oezdemir
fortuna SUB: 12.50 for 50 - 12 parlays / O1.5: 34.50 for 30 / hamilton DEC: 20 parlays
hill +425: 100 for 425 / hill SUB: 5 for 107.50 / hill +5.5: 50 for 200 / O2.5: 100 for 92 / NOT andrade ITD: 30 parlays / andrade DEC: 20 parlays
blaydes ITD: 59.94 for 54 / blaydes RD2: 30 for 142.50 - 12 parlays / blaydes RD3: 10 for 100 / blaydes DEC: 20 parlays / miltead
skelly DEC: 55 for 176.30 - 32 parlays / NOT skelly ITD: 30 parlays / O1.5: 67.50 for 50 / gruetzemacher RD3: 9 for 148.50
tanaka DEC: 12 parlays / ramos
torres -3.5: 50 for 104.17 / torres RD3: 11 for 198 / rawlings
morono +108: 200 for 215 / morono ITD: 12 parlays / morono SUB: 30 for 244.20 / morono RD3: 20 for 255 / morono NSC: 30 parlays / price
rountree DEC: 21 for 197.40 / jolly
props
FOTN: hill-andrade: 5 for 45
FOTN: morono-price: 6 for 42
draws: 25 for 1,695
parlays
28 RR for 2,328.12: TrujilloDEC/ blaydesRD2/ fortunaSUB/ OSPSUB/ skellyDEC/ tanakaDEC/ moronoITD
50 RR for 758.42: OSPDEC/ hamiltonDEC/ andradeDEC/ blaydesDEC/ skellyDEC
40 RR for 199.43: bermudezjungITD/ NOTandradeITD/ NOTskellyITD/ moronoNSC
---

k yea i'm set

mght've forced some shit, even tho it's a very small risk ufc for me

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Ramos
Khalil/Torres parlay
Skelly itd
Blaydes/ Hamilton parlay
Hill
OSP itd
Trujillo
Grasso by decision
Korean Zombie

 

[Mcgregorian]

Jolly 100 @ 2.48
Moreno 50 @ 2.0
Tanaka 50 @ 1.7
Skelly 300 @ 1.33
Hill 20 @ 5.8
Hamilton 100 @ 1.48
Vick 100 @ 1.86
Herring 50 @ 3.6

 

[Slohog]

Too lazy to write out exact sizes but:

Big on Grasso

Medium on Hamilton, Morono and Blaydes

Got fairly nice lines on most of them too.