Your official UFC on FOX 28 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Jerry the mouse, Feb 23, 2018.

  1. DianS

    DianS White Belt

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    Well mid week I made a bet on bovada for 8 man 5 way RR on Hill, Andrade, Burns, Latifi, Perry, Jouban, Stephens, and Barao $112 to win $1092.88. Clearly not looking too good anyway, But with the OAM v Burns fight being pulled i really don't know how this works anymore. I would think because of the massive change of odds when that happens they would cancel it, but clearly not. Anybody have an idea of how RRs work when fights get canceled?
     
  2. And

    And White Belt

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    2u Stephens ML -136 +1.471u
    0.4u Stephens Dec. +350

    0.5u Andrade ITD +253
    0.1u Torres ITD +1800


    0.5u Latifi-Saint Preux U2.5 +110 +0.55u
    0.3u Saint Preux ML -111
    0.2u Latifi ITD +500 +1u

    2u Barao ML -141
    0.5u Barao Dec. +250


    0.4u McMann ITD +400

    10u Hill ML -125 +8u
    5.5u Moroz ML +150

    0.5u Jouban-Saunders GTD +205
    0.5u Jouban Dec. +375


    1.2u Alvey-Prachnio ends ITD -120 +1u
    0.5u Alvey ML +210 +1.05u

    0.25u Alvey Dec. +600

    0.15u Doane Dec. +684
    0.1u Doane R3 +2800

    1.5u Shelton ML +123
    0.1u Shelton R3 +1800


    1.5u Parlay (Andrade -263, McMann -207) +104
    1u Parlay
    (Stephens -146, Barao -145) +185

    RR 11x0.2u (Stephens -146, Barao -145, Hill -143, Shelton -119) -1.52u
    RR 11*0.1u (Andrade -3.5 +100, Barao -3.5 +140, McMann -3.5 +200, Hill -3.5 +225) -0.45u

    Result: -3.199u
     
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  3. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    +4.1u Good event, I needed it. I think that I should live bet more and take advantage of b365 retarded livelines.
     
  4. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    3u - Stephens @1.70 WIN
    1u - Doane @3.00 LOSS
    1u - Shelton @2.20 LOSS

    0.5u - Alvey @3.00 WIN
    0.2u - Doane r3 @29.00 LOSS
    0.5u - Griffin @4.00 WIN
    1u - Saunders in play @2.63 LOSS
    0.5u - McMann sub @9.50 LOSS

    0.25u - Reneau in play @14.00 WIN
    1u - Andrade in play @1.55 WIN
    1.5u - Andrade in play @1.3 WIN

    0.2 - Hail Mary LOSS
    0.4 - Round prop r/r LOSS

    +4.65u
     
  5. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    2u Stephens -130 +1.54u
    0.3u Stephens DEC +322 -0.3u
    0.05u Stephens RD4 +1375 -0.05u
    0.05u Stephens RD5 +2075 -0.05u

    0.5u Torres +275 -0.5u
    0.1u Andrade SUB +791 -0.1u
    0.05u Andrade RD3 +1350 -0.05u

    0.75u Latifi DEC +310 -0.75u

    0.8u Griffin +325 +2.6u
    0.1u Griffin KO +720 -0.1u
    0.05u Griffin RD3 +2275 -0.05u

    2u Barao NSC +100 0u
    0.1u Kelleher RD3 +1550 -0.1u

    2u Hill +100 +2u
    1.6u Moroz +125 -1.6u

    0.2u Doane DEC +525 -0.2u
    0.1u Doane RD3 +1500 -0.1u
    0.05u Doane SUB +2000 -0.05u

    3u Shelton NSC +260 0u
    1u Shelton +115 -1u
    0.3u Perez SUB +650 -0.3u
    0.1u Shelton SUB +801 -0.1u
    0.1u Shelton RD3 +1800 -0.1u

    0.2u Shelton/Barao/Latifi/Stephens +1191 -0.2u

    1.3u RR (2s,3s,4s,5) Shelton DEC/Moroz DEC/Barao DEC/Latifi DEC/Stephens DEC -1.3u
    0.55u RR (2s,5) Doane DEC/Barao SUB/Griffin KO/Latifi ITD/Stephens KO +0.33u

    Added:
    0.4u Moroz +800 -0.4u
    0.2u Torres +500 -0.2u

    NET: -1.13u

    Can't say I really regret any of my plays, expect maybe I should have avoided Shelton, since I felt I didn't have a good read on Perez. Griffin getting the KO would have been big but oh well.
     
  6. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    at least one thing in my life is going well.

    WINS

    Andrade, stephens £300 returns £706

    Andrade, stephens £300 returns £725

    Reneau £50 returns £500

    Hill £200 returns £360

    Kelleher £310 returns £713

    Griffin £50 returns £200

    Griffin dec £100 returns £500

    Latifi £200 returns £500

    LOSSES

    Perry £50 returns £300

    Jouban/saunders to go the distance £25 returns £75

    Saunders £50 returns £125

    Doane £50 returns £155

    Doane r3 £20 returns £580

    sage, mcmann £422 returns £823

    Kelleher r3, Andrade, stephens £100 returns £3767

    Stephens r4 £10 returns £130

    Stephens r5 £10 returns £230

    NET PROFIT: £1957
     
  7. Jerry the mouse

    Jerry the mouse Banned Banned

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    Holy shit, what a night for me

    +15.4 units of profit
    110% ROI
     
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  8. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    UFC Fox 28 Net: +267.86
    emmett +267: 45 for 120 / ITD: 102.50 for 50 / U3.5: 99 for 75 / RD1: 25 for 76 / stephens RD4: 25 for 268.75 / stephens RD5: 20 for 331.26
    andrade -3.5: 200 for 150 / andrade ITD: 50 for 150 / torres +408: 25 for 102
    latifi +117: 225 for 262.50 / latifi DEC: 40 for 99.40
    perry RD2: 25 for 118.75 / perry RD3: 25 for 230
    barao +214: 529.50 for 1,135 / barao SUB: 40 for 207.20

    reneau +800: 100 for 800 / reneau RD3: 15 for 330 / reneau NSC: 100.50 for 103
    hill: 0 for 100
    / hill ITD: 50 for 300 / hill NSC: 100 for 112 / moroz: 0 for 205
    jouban DEC: 37.50 for 132.68
    alvey RD3: 10 for 155
    / alvey +3.5: 57.50 for 50 / alvey NSC: 100 for 164.50 / ITD: 75 for 50
    doane +247: 75 for 185 / doane +3.5: 50 for 50
    shelton +139: 225 for 313.75 / shelton SUB: 20 for 160.20
    / shelton NSC: 150 for 181
    morales +3.5: 62.50 for 50
    parlays
    15 RR for 3,019.70: stephensRD5/ perryRD3/ reneauRD3/ joubanRD3/ alveyRD3/ sheltonRD3
    53.20 RR for 5,619.72: emmettKO/ latifiDEC/ perryRD2/ baraoSUB/ reneauITD/ hillITD/ doaneITD/ sheltonITD
    20 RR for 951.58: emmettstephensRD1/ andradeITD/ baraoITD/ joubanDEC/ doaneyahyaRD1/ moralesDEC
    60 RR for (paid -3.02) 1094.77: latifi/ reneau/ joubansaundersO2.5/ alvey/ doane/ morales

    48 for 44.56 andrade -250 + emmettstephens ITD -265
    48 for 54.20 andrade -250 & perry ITD -192
    48 for 52.55 emmettstephensITD -265 + perry ITD -192

    ---

    whoopdie freakin doo.

    fookin barao. back to retirement, i think. heart/drive not there. gonna smash munhoz next week tho.
     
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  9. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

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    Barao's heart there, his athleticism just gone. That was depressing.

    You like Munhoz? I really don't get that pick.
     
  10. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

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    I had some more bets but forgot to put them here
    Overal i am more or less +5u
     
  11. greenmouse

    greenmouse White Belt

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    -10.3 = Not so potent... Horrible result.
    Fortunately I made +12.6u live betting so ended up on the plus side anyway. And that was just lazy betting on the fighters who were obviously winning (Hill, Kelleher, Griffin).
    Had a huge loss last event, and a big loss the event
    before that too.
    I realise now I'm really far from good enough to pre bet. It's live betting only for me from now on.
     
  12. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Lil Heathen comes through again with a big KO in the main event despite some controversy. The ladies did great for me as usual with Angela Hill out striking Maryna Moroz as expected and Marion Reneau submitting flaky Sara McMann for a big upset. I would have had a truly epic night if I hadn't gotten spooked by the size difference at the weigh-ins and switched my bets from Ilir Latifi to heavy on OSP. But I won't sneeze at 7.21 units profit on a fun Fox card.

    UFC on Fox 28
    Results

    Jeremy Stephens (-140) vs Josh Emmett $280.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Jeremy Stephens (-145) vs Josh Emmett $290.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+170) $50.00 for $85.00= $85.00
    Josh Emmett wins in round 1 (+750) $30.00 for $225.00= -$30.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 3 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00= -$20.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 4 (+1600) $20.00 for $320.00= -$20.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 5 (+2500) $20.00 for $500.00= -$20.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by 5 round decision (+433) $50.00 for $216.50= -$50.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+460) $25.00 for $115.00= -$25.00
    Jeremy Stephens/Josh Emmett number of takedowns draw (+205 ) ~$10.00 for ~$20.50= ~$20.50

    Tecia Torres (+240) vs Jessica Andrade $75.00 for $180.00= -$75.00
    Tecia Torres +3½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00
    Tecia Torres/Jessica Andrade Over 2½ (-250) $250.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica Andrade wins by 3 round decision (-130) $97.50 for $75.00= $75.00

    Ovince Saint Preux (-150) vs Ilir Latifi $450.00 for $300.00= -$450.00
    Ovince Saint Preux (-151) vs Ilir Latifi $302.00 for $200.00= -$302.00
    Ovince Saint Preux wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+274) $75.00 for $205.50= -$75.00
    Ovince Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1075) $10.00 for $107.50= -$10.00
    Ilir Latifi/Ovince Saint Preux fight does not go distance (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Ilir Latifi (+108) vs Ovince Saint Preux $200.00 for $216.00= $216.00
    Ilir Latifi wins by TKO/KO (+735) $20.00 for $147.00= -$20.00
    Ilir Latifi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $40.00 for $104.00= -$40.00

    Mike Perry/Max Griffin starts round 2 (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Mike Perry/Max Griffin Over 1½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Mike Perry wins in round 2 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00
    Mike Perry wins in round 3 (+1150) $15.00 for $172.50= -$15.00

    Brian Kelleher (+135) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $135.00= $135.00
    Brian Kelleher wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00= -$10.00
    Renan Barao/Brian Kelleher Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Renan Barao/Brian Kelleher Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Renan Baro by decision (+250) $40.00 for $100.00= -$40.00

    Marion Reneau wins inside distance (+435) $25.00 for $108.75= $108.75
    Marion Reneau wins by submission (+1100) ~$10.00 for ~$110.00= ~$110.00
    Marion Reneau wins in round 3 (+2200) ~$10.00 for ~$220.00= -~$10.00
    Marion Reneau/Sara McMann Under 2½ (+230) $100.00 for $230.00= $230.00
    Marion Reneau/Sara McMann Under 2½ (+195) $100.00 for $195.00= $195.00

    Angela Hill (-130) vs Maryna Moroz $260.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Angela Hill -3½ points (+240) vs Maryna Moroz $50.00 for $120.00= $120.00
    Angela Hill wins by 3 round decision (+100) $75.00 for $75.00= $75.00

    Alan Jouban wins in round 2 (+425) vs Ben Saunders $25.00 for $106.25= $106.25

    Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey Over 2½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
    Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey Over 2½ (-150) $112.50 for $75.00= -$112.50
    Sam Alvey wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$10.00 for ~$180.00= -~$10.00
    Marcin Prachnio wins by 3 round decision (+150) $50.00 for $75.00= -$50.00
    Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey goes 3 round distance (+120) $100.00 for $120.00= -$100.00

    Rani Yahya (-225) vs Russell Doane $225.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Rani Yahya wins in round 1 (+275) $15.00 for $41.25= -$15.00
    Rani Yahya wins inside distance (+140) $40.00 for $56.00= $56.00
    Russell Doane wins in round 3 (+1600) ~$10.00 for ~$160.00= -~$10.00

    Eric Shelton (+115) vs Alex Perez $200.00 for $230.00= -$200.00
    Eric Shelton scorecards = no action (-131) $131.00 for $100.00= Cancelled
    Eric Shelton wins by submission (+801) $30.00 for $240.30= -$30.00
    Eric Shelton wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$10.00 for ~$180.00= -~$10.00
    Eric Shelton/Alex Perez Under 2½ (+140) $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00

    Albert Morales (+140) vs Manny Bermudez $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
    Manny Bermudez wins by submission (+170) $30.00 for $51.00= $51.00

    Fights to go distance under 6½ (-153) $61.20 for $40.00= $40.00
    Fights to go distance under 5½ (+169) $40.00 for $67.60= $67.60
    Fights to go distance under 4½ (+443) $25.00 for $110.75= -$25.00
    Fights to go distance under 3½ (+1297) $15.00 for $194.55= -$15.00
    Fights to go distance under 2½ (+4550) $10.00 for $455.00= -$10.00
    Fights to go distance under 1½ (+28600) $5.00 for $1,430.00= -$5.00

    Jeremy Stephens/Josh Emmett wins FOTN (+250) ~$20.00 for ~$50.00= -~$20.00
    -----
    Sub-Total= $651.10
    Sub-Total= ~$70.50

    Total Profit= $721.60
     

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