Your official UFC on FOX 28 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Jerry the mouse, Feb 23, 2018.

  1. Jerry the mouse

    Jerry the mouse Banned Banned

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    PLEASE KEEP THIS THREAD TO BET POSTS ONLY

    Was looking for @EzFlyer and his usual thread on this matter, but couldn't find it.

    Discuss the fights of UFC on FOX 28 here:
    http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufc-fox-28-stephens-vs-emmett-orlando.3700989/

    My bets:

    - 4u Ilir Latifi to beat OSP +107
    - 5u Andrade vs Torres over 2.5 rds -244
    - 3u Stephens vs Emmett under 3.5 rds +100

    - 1u parlay +707
    Latifi to win
    Max Griffin to win

    Edit: (added this bet after going back & forth on it) 1u parlay +475
    Emmett to win inside distance
    Andrade to win

    My results for the last two UFC events:

    + 6.84u of profit for UFC 221 (ROI 49%)
    + 8.45u of profit for UFN 126 (ROI 85%)

    UFC 221 was the first time I used a third-party tracker to track my bets.

    Happy gambling everyone! Good luck.
     
    Last edited: Feb 23, 2018
    streetSub101, EzFlyer, And and 4 others like this.
  2. Bless

    Bless Orange Belt

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    Oh no! Was the retirement talk real this time? We need you Ez!
     
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  3. quincy k

    quincy k Brown Belt

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    why would someone retire if they are a proven winner?
     
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  4. ADD

    ADD White Belt

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    2u Perry -333
    1.5u Andrade -164
    1.5u Shelton +120
     
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  5. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

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    1.75u Stephens @1.62
    0.75u Hill @1.80
    0.5u Reneu @2.75
    0.33u MacMan/Reneu U2.5 @3.00
    0.33u Saunders @3.00
    0.8u Kelleher @2.30
    1u Barao/Kelleher O2.5 @1.80
     
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  6. greenmouse

    greenmouse White Belt

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    4u Shelton

    4u Latifi
    (Pseudo hedge: 0.2u OSP KO+Mcmann+Andrade+Shelton @14.7 =)

    4u Morales

    (Pseudo hedge: Bermudez SUB+Andrade+MacMann @6.5)

    5.4u MacMann

    Three dogs and one WMMA = potent stuff o_O

    One prop: 0.3u Shelton SUB @10.0
     
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  7. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    I know he got limited big time by 5d. So lines he likes he's stuck betting peanuts. Not sure if he's limited by BM too or what.

    I hope he's not retired and is just taking a break. He's the fixture here. I'm one of the oldest of old school guys and was here even when @Oblivian was making the betting threads in the heavies. EZ is a mainstay, would not be the same without him.
     
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  8. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Bm dont limit or so ive heard...
     
  9. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    He's probably got the mod curse too. I've known several mods through the years that end up really disliking the forum after they become mod. I've been asked to be mod several times and have no desire for that. Getting on here basically becomes work.
     
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  10. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    2u Stephens -130
    0.3u Stephens DEC +322
    0.05u Stephens RD4 +1375
    0.05u Stephens RD5 +2075

    0.5u Torres +275
    0.1u Andrade SUB +791
    0.05u Andrade RD3 +1350

    0.75u Latifi DEC +310

    0.8u Griffin +325
    0.1u Griffin KO +720
    0.05u Griffin RD3 +2275

    2u Barao NSC +100
    0.1u Kelleher RD3 +1550

    2u Hill +100
    1.6u Moroz +125

    0.2u Doane DEC +525
    0.1u Doane RD3 +1500
    0.05u Doane SUB +2000

    3u Shelton NSC +260
    1u Shelton +115
    0.3u Perez SUB +650
    0.1u Shelton SUB +801
    0.1u Shelton RD3 +1800

    0.2u Shelton/Barao/Latifi/Stephens +1191

    1.3u RR (2s,3s,4s,5) Shelton DEC/Moroz DEC/Barao DEC/Latifi DEC/Stephens DEC
    0.55u RR (2s,5) Doane DEC/Barao SUB/Griffin KO/Latifi ITD/Stephens KO

    Initially liked Hill, but didn't feel like I had great read after looking closer, so decided to just take the small freeroll.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2018
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  11. ADD

    ADD White Belt

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    Added
    0.5u Shelton +124
    0.6u parlay Hill/Yahya +145
    Happy gambeling everyone and lets beat those bookies!
     
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  12. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Green Belt

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    First time this year I will actually have a decent number of pre- event bets I think...first spin...

    3u - Stephens @1.70
    1u - Doane @3.00
    1u - Shelton @2.20
    0.5u - Alvey @3.00
    0.2u - Doane r3 @29.00

    0.2u - Morales + Shelton + Doane + Alvey + Saunders + Hill +McMann + Barao + St Pruex + Andrade + Stephens to win 552u
     
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  13. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    1u Shelton @2.20
    0.8u Doane @3.00

    0.77u Latifi @2.30
    0.77u Kelleher @2.30

    0.44u Hill @1.90
    0.4u Alvey @3.25
    0.4u Torres @3.50

    0.3u Griffin @4.00
    0.3u Jouban DEC @4.75

    0.13u Barao r1 @5.50
    0.1u Doane r3 @29.00

    0.1u Kelleher r3 @17.00
    0.08u Torres ITD @19.00
     
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  14. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

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    sage, mcmann £422 returns £823

    Kelleher £310 returns £713

    Hill £200 returns £360

    Doane £50 returns £155

    Doane r3 £20 returns £580
     
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  15. And

    And White Belt

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    2u Stephens ML -136
    0.4u Stephens Dec. +350

    0.5u Andrade ITD +253
    0.1u Torres ITD +1800

    0.5u Latifi-Saint Preux U2.5 +110
    0.3u Saint Preux ML -111
    0.2u Latifi ITD +500

    2u Barao ML -141
    0.5u Barao Dec. +250

    0.4u McMann ITD +400

    10u Hill ML -125
    5.5u Moroz ML +150

    0.5u Jouban-Saunders GTD +205
    0.5u Jouban Dec. +375

    1.2u Alvey-Prachnio ends ITD -120
    0.5u Alvey ML +210
    0.25u Alvey Dec. +600

    0.15u Doane Dec. +684
    0.1u Doane R3 +2800

    1.5u Shelton ML +123
    0.1u Shelton R3 +1800

    1.5u Parlay (Andrade -263, McMann -207) +104
    1u Parlay (Stephens -146, Barao -145) +185

    RR 11x0.2u (Stephens -146, Barao -145, Hill -143, Shelton -119)
    RR 11*0.1u (Andrade -3.5 +100, Barao -3.5 +140, McMann -3.5 +200, Hill -3.5 +225)
     
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  16. hugdeeznuts

    hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Emmett
    OSP
    Perry by ko/tko
    Hill
    Barao
    McMann by dec
    Jouban/Andrade
    Marcin/Andrade
    Yahya itd
    Shelton
     
  17. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    UFC Fox 28 Risk: 2,275.70
    emmett +130: 150 for 195 / ITD: 102.50 for 50 / stephens RD4: 25 for 268.75 / stephens RD5: 20 for 331.26
    andrade -3.5: 200 for 150 / torres: 0 for 2
    latifi +117: 225 for 262.50 / latifi DEC: 40 for 99.40 / OSP
    perry RD3: 15 for 135 / griffin
    barao -153: 229.50 for 150 / barao SUB: 40 for 207.20 / kelleher
    reneau RD3: 15 for 330 / reneau NSC: 100.50 for 103 / mcmann
    hill -130: 195 for 150 / hill ITD: 50 for 300 / hill NSC: 100 for 112 / moroz
    jouban DEC: 37.50 for 132.68 / saunders
    alvey-prachnio: idk
    doane +247: 75 for 185 / doane +3.5: 50 for 50 / yahya
    shelton +139: 225 for 313.75 / shelton SUB: 20 for 160.20 / shelton NSC: 150 for 181 / perez
    morales +3.5: 62.50 for 50 / bermudez
    props
    parlays
    15 RR for 3,019.70: stephensRD5/ perryRD3/ reneauRD3/ joubanRD3/ alveyRD3/ sheltonRD3
    53.20 RR for 5,619.72: emmettKO/ latifiDEC/ perryRD2/ baraoSUB/ reneauITD/ hillITD/ doaneITD/ sheltonITD
    20 RR for 951.58: emmettstephensRD1/ andradeITD/ baraoITD/ joubanDEC/ doaneyahyaRD1/ moralesDEC
    60 RR for 1094.77: latifi/ reneau/ joubansaundersO2.5/ alvey/ doane/ morales
    ---

    needed a week off. feel defeated. 2018 has been terrible.

    that's what i've got. sorry i wasn't more active all week.
     
  18. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    UFC on Fox 28 Risk $5309.20

    Jeremy Stephens (-140) vs Josh Emmett $280.00 for $200.00
    Jeremy Stephens (-145) vs Josh Emmett $290.00 for $200.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+170) $50.00 for $85.00
    Josh Emmett wins in round 1 (+750) $30.00 for $225.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 3 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 4 (+1600) $20.00 for $320.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 5 (+2500) $20.00 for $500.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by 5 round decision (+433) $50.00 for $216.50
    Jeremy Stephens wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+460) $25.00 for $115.00
    Jeremy Stephens/Josh Emmett number of takedowns draw (+205 ) ~$10.00 for ~$20.50

    Tecia Torres (+240) vs Jessica Andrade $75.00 for $180.00
    Tecia Torres +3½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00
    Tecia Torres/Jessica Andrade Over 2½ (-250) $250.00 for $100.00
    Jessica Andrade wins by 3 round decision (-130) $97.50 for $75.00

    Ovince Saint Preux (-150) vs Ilir Latifi $450.00 for $300.00
    Ovince Saint Preux (-151) vs Ilir Latifi $302.00 for $200.00
    Ovince Saint Preux wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+274) $75.00 for $205.50
    Ovince Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1075) $10.00 for $107.50
    Ilir Latifi/Ovince Saint Preux fight does not go distance (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
    Ilir Latifi (+108) vs Ovince Saint Preux $200.00 for $216.00
    Ilir Latifi wins by TKO/KO (+735) $20.00 for $147.00
    Ilir Latifi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $40.00 for $104.00

    Mike Perry/Max Griffin starts round 2 (-130) $130.00 for $100.00
    Mike Perry/Max Griffin Over 1½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
    Mike Perry wins in round 2 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
    Mike Perry wins in round 3 (+1150) $15.00 for $172.50

    Brian Kelleher (+135) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $135.00
    Brian Kelleher wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00
    Renan Barao/Brian Kelleher Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
    Renan Barao/Brian Kelleher Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
    Renan Baro by decision (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

    Marion Reneau wins inside distance (+435) $25.00 for $108.75
    Marion Reneau wins by submission (+1100) ~$10.00 for ~$110.00
    Marion Reneau wins in round 3 (+2200) ~$10.00 for ~$220.00
    Marion Reneau/Sara McMann Under 2½ (+230) $100.00 for $230.00
    Marion Reneau/Sara McMann Under 2½ (+195) $100.00 for $195.00

    Angela Hill (-130) vs Maryna Moroz $260.00 for $200.00
    Angela Hill -3½ points (+240) vs Maryna Moroz $50.00 for $120.00
    Angela Hill wins by 3 round decision (+100) $75.00 for $75.00

    Alan Jouban wins in round 2 (+425) vs Ben Saunders $25.00 for $106.25

    Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey Over 2½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
    Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey Over 2½ (-150) $112.50 for $75.00
    Sam Alvey wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$10.00 for ~$180.00
    Marcin Prachnio wins by 3 round decision (+150) $50.00 for $75.00
    Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey goes 3 round distance (+120) $100.00 for $120.00

    Rani Yahya (-225) vs Russell Doane $225.00 for $100.00
    Rani Yahya wins in round 1 (+275) $15.00 for $41.25
    Rani Yahya wins inside distance (+140) $40.00 for $56.00
    Russell Doane wins in round 3 (+1600) ~$10.00 for ~$160.00

    Eric Shelton (+115) vs Alex Perez $200.00 for $230.00
    Eric Shelton scorecards = no action (-131) $131.00 for $100.00
    Eric Shelton wins by submission (+801) $30.00 for $240.30
    Eric Shelton wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$10.00 for ~$180.00
    Eric Shelton/Alex Perez Under 2½ (+140) $100.00 for $140.00

    Albert Morales (+140) vs Manny Bermudez $100.00 for $140.00
    Manny Bermudez wins by submission (+170) $30.00 for $51.00

    Fights to go distance under 6½ (-153) $61.20 for $40.00
    Fights to go distance under 5½ (+169) $40.00 for $67.60
    Fights to go distance under 4½ (+443) $25.00 for $110.75
    Fights to go distance under 3½ (+1297) $15.00 for $194.55
    Fights to go distance under 2½ (+4550) $10.00 for $455.00
    Fights to go distance under 1½ (+28600) $5.00 for $1,430.00

    Jeremy Stephens/Josh Emmett wins FOTN (+250) ~$20.00 for ~$50.00
     
  19. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Just good to see you here. Taking a break is never a bad idea if you need one. I've taken some long breaks for a variety of reasons. Way better that than forcing plays or feeling like it's a job you hate.
     
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  20. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    yea and i said "i'll just bet like 2 or 3 dogs" and ended up with 15+ units shown above. i'm a shmuck. lol
     
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