Your Official UFC Fox 27 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by pytycrys, Jan 22, 2018.

  1. And

    And White Belt

    Joined:
    May 15, 2015
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    476
    Total risk: 5.78u

    2u Jacaré ML -111 1.802u
    0.15u Jacaré R1 +350 +0.525u

    0.1u Brunson R1 +550
    0.06u Brunson DEC. +1000
    0.05u Brunson SUB. +4000


    0.2u Bermudez ITD +375
    0.1u Bermudez R3 +2200

    0.07u Bermudez (SC=NA) -118

    1u Kim ML +280 +1.8u
    0.45u Kim DEC. +450 2.025u


    0.6u Price-Sullivan U1.5 +150
    0.05u Sullivan R1 +1650
    0.05u Sullivan KO/TKO +1275
    0.05u Sullivan (SC=NA) +568



    RR 11x0.05u (Kim DEC +450, Bektic DEC +200, Price-Sullivan U1.5 +130, Chookagian DEC +160) +0.165u

    Parlay 0.3u (Jacaré -115, Green -152, Chookagian -152, Markos -152) +751 +2.253u

    Result: +7.31u
     
    Yotsuya, t6p, Jamah and 4 others like this.
  2. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,935
    Likes Received:
    17,105
    Location:
    philly
    UFC FOX 27 Net: -961.69
    Brunson +145: 270 for 391.50 / Brunson DEC: 30 for 307.50 / brunson SPLIT: 9.50 for 186.20 / O1.5: 128 for 100 / jacare SPLIT: 10.50 for 183.23
    latifi +125: 100 for 125
    bermudez: 0 for 85 / bermudez KO: 25 for 213.75 / fili ITD: 50 for 159
    rinaldi ITD: 25 for 175.50 / rinaldi NSC: 100 for 425 / GG SUB: 50 for 293.60
    camacho +244: 225 for 550 / camacho DEC: 40 for 161 / camacho SUB: 15 for 277.50
    / camacho NSC: 150 for 212.50 / DEC: 95 for 50
    koch NSC: 50 for 56 / O2.5: 164.25 for 100
    bektic SUB: 20 for 158.80 / bektic RD3: 15 for 165 / O1.5: 93.75 for 75
    borella: 0 for 75 / borella SUB: 20 for 127.60
    / borella NSC: 50 for 79.50 / chookagian: 0 for 50
    markos -140: 280 for 200
    / markos NSC: 319 for 200
    kish -180: 90 for 50
    silva -171: 51.25 for 100 / silva DEC: 50 for 127.50
    price RD3: 15 for 142.50
    / ITD: 272.50 for 150 / sullivan RD1: 10 for 150
    Arnett DEC: 40 for 140 / arnett NSC: 50 for 106

    props
    FOTN: brunson-jacare: 20 for 80
    FOTN: koch-green: 10 for 80
    Fastest KO: Gillespie: 15 for 150

    Fastest SUB: price: 15 for 180
    parlays
    56 RR for (paid -31.08) 772.06: bermudezDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ chookDEC/ markosDEC/ kishDEC/ arnett
    35 RR for 4,290.19: brunsonRD1/ ggSUB/ camachoDEC/ bekticRD2/ borellaSUB/ priceSUB/ arnettDEC
    35 RR for 1,410.14: brunsonjacareDEC/ rinaldiNSC/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
    21 RR for 1,397.07: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ bekticRD3/ borellaSUB/ kishSUB/ priceRD3
    20 RR for 2,315.49: for jacareKO/ filiKO/ rinaldiNSC/ pepeyNSC/ markosITD/ priceSUB
    35 RR for 2,444.54: brunsonjacareO3.0/ GGSUB/ camachoITD/ borellaITD/ markosITD/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
    21 RR for 1,415.39: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ pepeyRD1/ borellaRD1/ markosITD/ sullivanITD
    56 RR for (paid -20.61) 1,573.75: brunsonjacareO3.0/ rinaldiGGRD1/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ bekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1/ arnettNSC
    20 RR for 1,560.68: brunsonRD1/ GGrinaldiRD1/ kochDEC/ pepeyNSC/ borellaDEC/ priceSUB

    ---

    yep. another ufc. another -6u.

    if camacho didn't get robbed, i would've broken even. /vomit

    i'm down almost 20 units in january. great f'ing start to the year, sigh.
     
    t6p, Jamah, Bless and 1 other person like this.
  3. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,313
    Likes Received:
    1,352
    -3.4u on tips, 1.7u on personal slate since I hedged off Brunson ML with Jacare ML and cashed out Camacho ML when he gassed in the second for a 1.2* profit.
     
    Yotsuya likes this.
  4. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    11,525
    Likes Received:
    5,178
    Just curious, not being obnoxious- did you think Camacho won the fight? I was on him also but I didn’t feel good about it when the fight was over. The 30-27 was suspect for sure but I feel like Dober winning was *probably* the right decision.
     
  5. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,313
    Likes Received:
    1,352
    I think it was a legitimate 50-50. Media scorecards are tied. I'd have preferred Camacho since I think that he was the aggressor throughout Round 3, and Dober wasn't landing hard enough to overcome the aggression/takedown edge. I personally cashed as soon as Camacho started gassing in the second, though. It was crazy you could have gotten Camacho @ 7 when he hit the TD in the third, too.

    Live odds were also surprisingly close to actual fight outcomes today. I've seen a few times where the live odds haven't reflected reality, such as Seanz-Dashivili, but the books were heavily-favoring Fili and Dober live.
     
  6. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2016
    Messages:
    483
    Likes Received:
    529
    Location:
    Sofia
    +3.375u for the night
    I was thinking to play Markos and Chook DEC lines, but then said to myself that its enough for this shitty event...
     
    MT6ix, t6p, Jamah and 2 others like this.
  7. MixedMartialFarts

    MixedMartialFarts Jiu-Shitsu and Pooey Thai

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2017
    Messages:
    146
    Likes Received:
    147
    Location:
    Canada
    -0.682u for my first losing ufc event in awhile.

    A couple silly mistakes on my part, could have gave me a small profit instead, in hindsight I should have not bet Arnett (very sloppy) and made single bets on Fili and Koch instead of a parlay(also very sloppy). I picked Jacare to win but bet Brunson rd1 and rd2 because the odds were so tempting, I still need to get better trusting my gut in certain scenarios.

    All in all, you live and you learn and I'm thankful Pichel performed like I thought he would.
     
    t6p and And like this.
  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    12,204
    Likes Received:
    7,231
    I feel like I would have made some money if I had bet the full card like usual, but oh well. Small risk and 3u loss.

    UFC on Fox 27 Results
    Risk $300.000

    Derek Brunson (+145) $300.00 for $435.00= -$300.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$300.00
     
    EzFlyer, Obsidian Fracture and t6p like this.
  9. Yotsuya

    Yotsuya Green Belt

    Joined:
    May 26, 2004
    Messages:
    1,287
    Likes Received:
    1,349
    Down almost 2u. Would have pretty much broke even if I had stayed with my new years resolution not to bet more than 1u on main events. Better judging would have been nice too.
     
  10. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,935
    Likes Received:
    17,105
    Location:
    philly
    I was counting my money on Camacho. It was clear 19-19 for me and I absolutely thought he won Rd 3. So did a few friends with whom I watch the fights. We were all somewhat stunned.
     
  11. chemmy

    chemmy Green Belt

    Joined:
    May 9, 2002
    Messages:
    1,027
    Likes Received:
    688
    Location:
    Canada
    +4.58 units

    The night of the coin-flip decisions! I feel fortunate to land on the right side of the ones that I had action on.
     
    EzFlyer, Obsidian Fracture and t6p like this.
  12. ADD

    ADD White Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 12, 2017
    Messages:
    71
    Likes Received:
    136
    Location:
    Sweden
    Added 1.5u on Fili at +135 so
    total bets 6.75u and a profit at 4.14u
     
  13. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,313
    Likes Received:
    1,352
    Yeah. I cashed out in the second after he gassed like a minute in for a slight profit, but went back in again on Camacho @ +500 just before the takedown in the third. It was an easy Camacho dec in my book, since Dober didn't outland him, Camacho was the aggressor, had a takedown and seemed to be hitting harder.
     
    EzFlyer likes this.
  14. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,202
    Likes Received:
    9,235
    I was so gutted Camacho didn't win. I live betted Dober huge at great odds and cashed out beginning of round 3. During r1 I lb Camacho pretty big and i also took him @ +700 between r2 and r3. I was so sure i was gonna get paid out twice on the same fight once Camacho got his second wind in r2. I still profited decently but the double payout would have been hilarious/awesome!

    The Chook lb lines were absolutely insane. I had over 2k on Chook pre fight so i didn't want to risk much more but I added another £100 @ +300 i think between r2 and r3.
     
    greenmouse likes this.

Share This Page