Your Official UFC Fox 27 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by pytycrys, Jan 22, 2018.

  1. And

    And White Belt

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    Total risk: 5.78u

    2u Jacaré ML -111 1.802u
    0.15u Jacaré R1 +350 +0.525u

    0.1u Brunson R1 +550
    0.06u Brunson DEC. +1000
    0.05u Brunson SUB. +4000


    0.2u Bermudez ITD +375
    0.1u Bermudez R3 +2200

    0.07u Bermudez (SC=NA) -118

    1u Kim ML +280 +1.8u
    0.45u Kim DEC. +450 2.025u


    0.6u Price-Sullivan U1.5 +150
    0.05u Sullivan R1 +1650
    0.05u Sullivan KO/TKO +1275
    0.05u Sullivan (SC=NA) +568



    RR 11x0.05u (Kim DEC +450, Bektic DEC +200, Price-Sullivan U1.5 +130, Chookagian DEC +160) +0.165u

    Parlay 0.3u (Jacaré -115, Green -152, Chookagian -152, Markos -152) +751 +2.253u

    Result: +7.31u
     
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  2. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    UFC FOX 27 Net: -961.69
    Brunson +145: 270 for 391.50 / Brunson DEC: 30 for 307.50 / brunson SPLIT: 9.50 for 186.20 / O1.5: 128 for 100 / jacare SPLIT: 10.50 for 183.23
    latifi +125: 100 for 125
    bermudez: 0 for 85 / bermudez KO: 25 for 213.75 / fili ITD: 50 for 159
    rinaldi ITD: 25 for 175.50 / rinaldi NSC: 100 for 425 / GG SUB: 50 for 293.60
    camacho +244: 225 for 550 / camacho DEC: 40 for 161 / camacho SUB: 15 for 277.50
    / camacho NSC: 150 for 212.50 / DEC: 95 for 50
    koch NSC: 50 for 56 / O2.5: 164.25 for 100
    bektic SUB: 20 for 158.80 / bektic RD3: 15 for 165 / O1.5: 93.75 for 75
    borella: 0 for 75 / borella SUB: 20 for 127.60
    / borella NSC: 50 for 79.50 / chookagian: 0 for 50
    markos -140: 280 for 200
    / markos NSC: 319 for 200
    kish -180: 90 for 50
    silva -171: 51.25 for 100 / silva DEC: 50 for 127.50
    price RD3: 15 for 142.50
    / ITD: 272.50 for 150 / sullivan RD1: 10 for 150
    Arnett DEC: 40 for 140 / arnett NSC: 50 for 106

    props
    FOTN: brunson-jacare: 20 for 80
    FOTN: koch-green: 10 for 80
    Fastest KO: Gillespie: 15 for 150

    Fastest SUB: price: 15 for 180
    parlays
    56 RR for (paid -31.08) 772.06: bermudezDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ chookDEC/ markosDEC/ kishDEC/ arnett
    35 RR for 4,290.19: brunsonRD1/ ggSUB/ camachoDEC/ bekticRD2/ borellaSUB/ priceSUB/ arnettDEC
    35 RR for 1,410.14: brunsonjacareDEC/ rinaldiNSC/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
    21 RR for 1,397.07: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ bekticRD3/ borellaSUB/ kishSUB/ priceRD3
    20 RR for 2,315.49: for jacareKO/ filiKO/ rinaldiNSC/ pepeyNSC/ markosITD/ priceSUB
    35 RR for 2,444.54: brunsonjacareO3.0/ GGSUB/ camachoITD/ borellaITD/ markosITD/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
    21 RR for 1,415.39: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ pepeyRD1/ borellaRD1/ markosITD/ sullivanITD
    56 RR for (paid -20.61) 1,573.75: brunsonjacareO3.0/ rinaldiGGRD1/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ bekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1/ arnettNSC
    20 RR for 1,560.68: brunsonRD1/ GGrinaldiRD1/ kochDEC/ pepeyNSC/ borellaDEC/ priceSUB

    ---

    yep. another ufc. another -6u.

    if camacho didn't get robbed, i would've broken even. /vomit

    i'm down almost 20 units in january. great f'ing start to the year, sigh.
     
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  3. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

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    -3.4u on tips, 1.7u on personal slate since I hedged off Brunson ML with Jacare ML and cashed out Camacho ML when he gassed in the second for a 1.2* profit.
     
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  4. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Just curious, not being obnoxious- did you think Camacho won the fight? I was on him also but I didn’t feel good about it when the fight was over. The 30-27 was suspect for sure but I feel like Dober winning was *probably* the right decision.
     
  5. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

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    I think it was a legitimate 50-50. Media scorecards are tied. I'd have preferred Camacho since I think that he was the aggressor throughout Round 3, and Dober wasn't landing hard enough to overcome the aggression/takedown edge. I personally cashed as soon as Camacho started gassing in the second, though. It was crazy you could have gotten Camacho @ 7 when he hit the TD in the third, too.

    Live odds were also surprisingly close to actual fight outcomes today. I've seen a few times where the live odds haven't reflected reality, such as Seanz-Dashivili, but the books were heavily-favoring Fili and Dober live.
     
  6. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

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    +3.375u for the night
    I was thinking to play Markos and Chook DEC lines, but then said to myself that its enough for this shitty event...
     
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  7. MixedMartialFarts

    MixedMartialFarts Jiu-Shitsu and Pooey Thai

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    -0.682u for my first losing ufc event in awhile.

    A couple silly mistakes on my part, could have gave me a small profit instead, in hindsight I should have not bet Arnett (very sloppy) and made single bets on Fili and Koch instead of a parlay(also very sloppy). I picked Jacare to win but bet Brunson rd1 and rd2 because the odds were so tempting, I still need to get better trusting my gut in certain scenarios.

    All in all, you live and you learn and I'm thankful Pichel performed like I thought he would.
     
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  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I feel like I would have made some money if I had bet the full card like usual, but oh well. Small risk and 3u loss.

    UFC on Fox 27 Results
    Risk $300.000

    Derek Brunson (+145) $300.00 for $435.00= -$300.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$300.00
     
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  9. Yotsuya

    Yotsuya Green Belt

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    Down almost 2u. Would have pretty much broke even if I had stayed with my new years resolution not to bet more than 1u on main events. Better judging would have been nice too.
     
  10. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    I was counting my money on Camacho. It was clear 19-19 for me and I absolutely thought he won Rd 3. So did a few friends with whom I watch the fights. We were all somewhat stunned.
     
  11. chemmy

    chemmy Blue Belt

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    +4.58 units

    The night of the coin-flip decisions! I feel fortunate to land on the right side of the ones that I had action on.
     
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  12. ADD

    ADD White Belt

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    Added 1.5u on Fili at +135 so
    total bets 6.75u and a profit at 4.14u
     
  13. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

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    Yeah. I cashed out in the second after he gassed like a minute in for a slight profit, but went back in again on Camacho @ +500 just before the takedown in the third. It was an easy Camacho dec in my book, since Dober didn't outland him, Camacho was the aggressor, had a takedown and seemed to be hitting harder.
     
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  14. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I was so gutted Camacho didn't win. I live betted Dober huge at great odds and cashed out beginning of round 3. During r1 I lb Camacho pretty big and i also took him @ +700 between r2 and r3. I was so sure i was gonna get paid out twice on the same fight once Camacho got his second wind in r2. I still profited decently but the double payout would have been hilarious/awesome!

    The Chook lb lines were absolutely insane. I had over 2k on Chook pre fight so i didn't want to risk much more but I added another £100 @ +300 i think between r2 and r3.
     
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