Your Official UFC Fox 27 Bets

[And]

2u Jacaré ML -111
0.15u Jacaré R1 +350
0.1u Brunson R1 +550
0.06u Brunson DEC. +1000
0.05u Brunson SUB. +4000

0.2u Bermudez ITD +375
0.1u Bermudez R3 +2200
0.07u Bermudez (SC=NA) -118

1u Kim ML +280
0.45u Kim DEC. +450

0.6u Price-Sullivan U1.5 +150
0.05u Sullivan R1 +1650
0.05u Sullivan KO/TKO +1275
0.05u Sullivan (SC=NA) +568


RR 11x0.05u (Kim DEC +450, Bektic DEC +200, Price-Sullivan U1.5 +130, Chookagian DEC +160)

Parlay 0.3u (Jacaré -115, Green -152, Chookagian -152, Markos -152) +751

Total risk: 5.78u

2u Jacaré ML -111 1.802u
0.15u Jacaré R1 +350 +0.525u
0.1u Brunson R1 +550
0.06u Brunson DEC. +1000
0.05u Brunson SUB. +4000

0.2u Bermudez ITD +375
0.1u Bermudez R3 +2200
0.07u Bermudez (SC=NA) -118

1u Kim ML +280 +1.8u
0.45u Kim DEC. +450 2.025u

0.6u Price-Sullivan U1.5 +150
0.05u Sullivan R1 +1650
0.05u Sullivan KO/TKO +1275
0.05u Sullivan (SC=NA) +568


RR 11x0.05u (Kim DEC +450, Bektic DEC +200, Price-Sullivan U1.5 +130, Chookagian DEC +160) +0.165u

Parlay 0.3u (Jacaré -115, Green -152, Chookagian -152, Markos -152) +751 +2.253u

Result: +7.31u

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC FOX 27 Net: -961.69
Brunson +145: 270 for 391.50 / Brunson DEC: 30 for 307.50 / brunson SPLIT: 9.50 for 186.20 / O1.5: 128 for 100 / jacare SPLIT: 10.50 for 183.23
latifi +125: 100 for 125
bermudez: 0 for 85 / bermudez KO: 25 for 213.75 / fili ITD: 50 for 159
rinaldi ITD: 25 for 175.50 / rinaldi NSC: 100 for 425 / GG SUB: 50 for 293.60
camacho +244: 225 for 550 / camacho DEC: 40 for 161 / camacho SUB: 15 for 277.50 / camacho NSC: 150 for 212.50 / DEC: 95 for 50
koch NSC: 50 for 56 / O2.5: 164.25 for 100
bektic SUB: 20 for 158.80 / bektic RD3: 15 for 165 / O1.5: 93.75 for 75
borella: 0 for 75 / borella SUB: 20 for 127.60 / borella NSC: 50 for 79.50 / chookagian: 0 for 50
markos -140: 280 for 200 / markos NSC: 319 for 200
kish -180: 90 for 50
silva -171: 51.25 for 100 / silva DEC: 50 for 127.50
price RD3: 15 for 142.50 / ITD: 272.50 for 150 / sullivan RD1: 10 for 150
Arnett DEC: 40 for 140 / arnett NSC: 50 for 106
props
FOTN: brunson-jacare: 20 for 80
FOTN: koch-green: 10 for 80
Fastest KO: Gillespie: 15 for 150
Fastest SUB: price: 15 for 180
parlays
56 RR for (paid -31.08) 772.06: bermudezDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ chookDEC/ markosDEC/ kishDEC/ arnett
35 RR for 4,290.19: brunsonRD1/ ggSUB/ camachoDEC/ bekticRD2/ borellaSUB/ priceSUB/ arnettDEC
35 RR for 1,410.14: brunsonjacareDEC/ rinaldiNSC/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
21 RR for 1,397.07: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ bekticRD3/ borellaSUB/ kishSUB/ priceRD3
20 RR for 2,315.49: for jacareKO/ filiKO/ rinaldiNSC/ pepeyNSC/ markosITD/ priceSUB
35 RR for 2,444.54: brunsonjacareO3.0/ GGSUB/ camachoITD/ borellaITD/ markosITD/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
21 RR for 1,415.39: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ pepeyRD1/ borellaRD1/ markosITD/ sullivanITD
56 RR for (paid -20.61) 1,573.75: brunsonjacareO3.0/ rinaldiGGRD1/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ bekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1/ arnettNSC
20 RR for 1,560.68: brunsonRD1/ GGrinaldiRD1/ kochDEC/ pepeyNSC/ borellaDEC/ priceSUB
---

yep. another ufc. another -6u.

if camacho didn't get robbed, i would've broken even. /vomit

i'm down almost 20 units in january. great f'ing start to the year, sigh.

 

[Gugabe]

-3.4u on tips, 1.7u on personal slate since I hedged off Brunson ML with Jacare ML and cashed out Camacho ML when he gassed in the second for a 1.2* profit.

 

[iGnP]

UFC FOX 27 Net: -961.69
Brunson +145: 270 for 391.50 / Brunson DEC: 30 for 307.50 / brunson SPLIT: 9.50 for 186.20 / O1.5: 128 for 100 / jacare SPLIT: 10.50 for 183.23
latifi +125: 100 for 125
bermudez: 0 for 85 / bermudez KO: 25 for 213.75 / fili ITD: 50 for 159
rinaldi ITD: 25 for 175.50 / rinaldi NSC: 100 for 425 / GG SUB: 50 for 293.60
camacho +244: 225 for 550 / camacho DEC: 40 for 161 / camacho SUB: 15 for 277.50 / camacho NSC: 150 for 212.50 / DEC: 95 for 50
koch NSC: 50 for 56 / O2.5: 164.25 for 100
bektic SUB: 20 for 158.80 / bektic RD3: 15 for 165 / O1.5: 93.75 for 75
borella: 0 for 75 / borella SUB: 20 for 127.60 / borella NSC: 50 for 79.50 / chookagian: 0 for 50
markos -140: 280 for 200 / markos NSC: 319 for 200
kish -180: 90 for 50
silva -171: 51.25 for 100 / silva DEC: 50 for 127.50
price RD3: 15 for 142.50 / ITD: 272.50 for 150 / sullivan RD1: 10 for 150
Arnett DEC: 40 for 140 / arnett NSC: 50 for 106
props
FOTN: brunson-jacare: 20 for 80
FOTN: koch-green: 10 for 80
Fastest KO: Gillespie: 15 for 150
Fastest SUB: price: 15 for 180
parlays
56 RR for (paid -31.08) 772.06: bermudezDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ chookDEC/ markosDEC/ kishDEC/ arnett
35 RR for 4,290.19: brunsonRD1/ ggSUB/ camachoDEC/ bekticRD2/ borellaSUB/ priceSUB/ arnettDEC
35 RR for 1,410.14: brunsonjacareDEC/ rinaldiNSC/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ pepeybekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
21 RR for 1,397.07: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ bekticRD3/ borellaSUB/ kishSUB/ priceRD3
20 RR for 2,315.49: for jacareKO/ filiKO/ rinaldiNSC/ pepeyNSC/ markosITD/ priceSUB
35 RR for 2,444.54: brunsonjacareO3.0/ GGSUB/ camachoITD/ borellaITD/ markosITD/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1
21 RR for 1,415.39: brunsonDEC/ rinaldiITD/ kochSUB/ pepeyRD1/ borellaRD1/ markosITD/ sullivanITD
56 RR for (paid -20.61) 1,573.75: brunsonjacareO3.0/ rinaldiGGRD1/ doberDEC/ greenDEC/ bekticDEC/ silvaDEC/ pricesullivanRD1/ arnettNSC
20 RR for 1,560.68: brunsonRD1/ GGrinaldiRD1/ kochDEC/ pepeyNSC/ borellaDEC/ priceSUB
---

yep. another ufc. another -6u.

if camacho didn't get robbed, i would've broken even. /vomit

i'm down almost 20 units in january. great f'ing start to the year, sigh.

Just curious, not being obnoxious- did you think Camacho won the fight? I was on him also but I didn’t feel good about it when the fight was over. The 30-27 was suspect for sure but I feel like Dober winning was *probably* the right decision.

 

[Gugabe]

Just curious, not being obnoxious- did you think Camacho won the fight? I was on him also but I didn’t feel good about it when the fight was over. The 30-27 was suspect for sure but I feel like Dober winning was *probably* the right decision.

I think it was a legitimate 50-50. Media scorecards are tied. I'd have preferred Camacho since I think that he was the aggressor throughout Round 3, and Dober wasn't landing hard enough to overcome the aggression/takedown edge. I personally cashed as soon as Camacho started gassing in the second, though. It was crazy you could have gotten Camacho @ 7 when he hit the TD in the third, too.

Live odds were also surprisingly close to actual fight outcomes today. I've seen a few times where the live odds haven't reflected reality, such as Seanz-Dashivili, but the books were heavily-favoring Fili and Dober live.

 

[northsofia]

0.7u Brunson @2.40
0.5u Kim @3.75

1u Jacare/Brunson DNGD + Pichel/Silva O2.5
1u Markos/Lima + Kish/Kim GTD

0.5u Camacho @2.50

0.5u Bektic DEC @2.87

0.5u Fili DEC @4.50

+3.375u for the night
I was thinking to play Markos and Chook DEC lines, but then said to myself that its enough for this shitty event...

 

[MixedMartialFarts]

-0.682u for my first losing ufc event in awhile.

A couple silly mistakes on my part, could have gave me a small profit instead, in hindsight I should have not bet Arnett (very sloppy) and made single bets on Fili and Koch instead of a parlay(also very sloppy). I picked Jacare to win but bet Brunson rd1 and rd2 because the odds were so tempting, I still need to get better trusting my gut in certain scenarios.

All in all, you live and you learn and I'm thankful Pichel performed like I thought he would.

 

[null]

I feel like I would have made some money if I had bet the full card like usual, but oh well. Small risk and 3u loss.

UFC on Fox 27 Results Risk $300.000

Derek Brunson (+145) $300.00 for $435.00= -$300.00
-----
Total Loss= -$300.00

 

[Yotsuya]

I took a beating last weekend and I'm feeling pretty lazy this week. Not an inspiring card either.

Brunson 2.5u 2.39
Brunson dec 0.2u 11.0
Brunson R1 0.1u 6.0
Bermudez 1.25u 1.68
Gillespie tko/ko 0.2u 3.8
Camacho 0.75 2.55
Green 1.5u 1.66
Pepey 0.3u 5.7
Chookagian 0.3u 1.68
Chookagian dec 0.2u 2.6
Markos nsc 0.5u 1.65
Markos 0.5u 1.66
Markos R3 0.05u 17.0
Markos itd 0.1u 3.95
Kim 0.5u 3.8
Silva 1.5u 1.915
Silva nsc 0.5u 1.83
Price 2.5u 1.45

Edit. Tiny additions.

Down almost 2u. Would have pretty much broke even if I had stayed with my new years resolution not to bet more than 1u on main events. Better judging would have been nice too.

 

[EzFlyer]

Just curious, not being obnoxious- did you think Camacho won the fight? I was on him also but I didn’t feel good about it when the fight was over. The 30-27 was suspect for sure but I feel like Dober winning was *probably* the right decision.

I was counting my money on Camacho. It was clear 19-19 for me and I absolutely thought he won Rd 3. So did a few friends with whom I watch the fights. We were all somewhat stunned.

 

[chemmy]

Brunson - Risk 2 units @ +140
Markos - To win 1 unit @ -151
Markos/Lima Over 2.5 -- To win 1 unit @ -205
Chookagian - To win 1 unit @ -154
Kim - Risk 1 unit @ +2.58
Price - To win 1 unit @ -227
Pichel/SIlva Over 2.5 - To win 1 unit @ -152

+4.58 units

The night of the coin-flip decisions! I feel fortunate to land on the right side of the ones that I had action on.

 

[ADD]

1u Price -227
0.5u Price TKO/KO +180
1.5u Brunson +140
1.5u Pinchel +100
0.75u Kim +290

Added 1.5u on Fili at +135 so
total bets 6.75u and a profit at 4.14u

 

[Gugabe]

I was counting my money on Camacho. It was clear 19-19 for me and I absolutely thought he won Rd 3. So did a few friends with whom I watch the fights. We were all somewhat stunned.

Yeah. I cashed out in the second after he gassed like a minute in for a slight profit, but went back in again on Camacho @ +500 just before the takedown in the third. It was an easy Camacho dec in my book, since Dober didn't outland him, Camacho was the aggressor, had a takedown and seemed to be hitting harder.

 

[Sham5916910]

I was so gutted Camacho didn't win. I live betted Dober huge at great odds and cashed out beginning of round 3. During r1 I lb Camacho pretty big and i also took him @ +700 between r2 and r3. I was so sure i was gonna get paid out twice on the same fight once Camacho got his second wind in r2. I still profited decently but the double payout would have been hilarious/awesome!

The Chook lb lines were absolutely insane. I had over 2k on Chook pre fight so i didn't want to risk much more but I added another £100 @ +300 i think between r2 and r3.