Your Official UFC Fox 24 Bets

UFC on FOX 24

Jacaré x Whittaker
Over 1.5 @1.80 1un

Rose x Waterson
Waterson @2.10 1un

Stephens x Moicano
Stephens @1.57 1un

Clark x Collier
Collier @2.25 1un

Nelson x Volkov
Volkov DEC @2.87 1un
 
After losing about 32 units in the last month I need to decrease my unit size from 50 to 40 which hurts bad. I am horrible at bankroll management so just the fact that I am actually down sizing my units is impressive (to me).

Waterson - 2u
DJ over 3.5 - 2u
Rose over 2.5 - 1u
Green - 1u
various parlays - 5u

View attachment 218613
32 units, ouch! I can relate though.

I don't like to disclose big losses, but josh emmett crippled my 5dimes bankroll.


Good luck with the parlay. I love watching big parlays hit!
 
.5u Williams +900
.75u Green +300
2u Namajunas -120
Really hate this card for betting hopefully there are some nice LB opportunities.
 
Pretty sure I'm set unless we get some more crazy movement. Wishing I didn't go so big on Rose

Namajunas -135 4u

Whittaker +205 2u

Stephens -175 1.5u
Stephens KO +225 .5u

Duquesnoy KO +115 1u

Green +275 .5u

Mendes +270 3u

Sanchez DEC +160 1u

AES -140 1u
AES DEC +125 .5u


Cummings -312 + Sanchez -238 3u for 2.7u

Duquesnoy -370 + Sanchez -238 + Cummings -312 3u for 4.2u

Duquesnoy -470 + Cummings -410 2u for 1u

Stephens -175 + Aljo/Mendes O2.5 -255 + Not Volkov ITD -350 1u for 1.8u

Elliot -255 + Not Volkov ITD -350 + Cummings ITD -150 1u for 2u


A couple lotto parlays, this is the big one at 8643:1
 

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2.25U Jacare @ $1.45 = $90 to profit $40.50
1.5U Rose/Waterson O2.5 @ 1.58 = $60 to profit $34.80
1U Rose @ 1.75 = $40 to profit $30
 
3u AES @ 1.61
3u Jacare @ 1.50
2u Nelson @ 2.30
0.8u Green @ 4.15
2u Elliot DEC @ 2.50
1u Rose @ 1.92
1u Stephens @ 1.57
0.7u Williams @ 6
0.3u Williams @ 9
1u Stephens+Sterling+o3.5 MM + Cummings @ 3.79
0.2u Jacare + Green + Williams + Cummings + Stephens + Sanchez + AES + Nelson @ 274.9
0.1u Jacare + Green + Williams + Cummings + Stephens + Sanchez + AES + Nelson + Collier + Elliot + Rose @ 1889
0.05u Jacare + Green + Williams + Cummings + Stephens + Sanchez + AES + Nelson + Collier + Elliot + Rose + Mendes @ 8568

BOL to everybody
 
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1u Whittaker+Mendes+Waterson+Cummings vs Coy u 1,5+Stephens+Nelson
1u Whittaker
1u Stephens
1u Nelson
1u Mendes
1u Nelson
1u Stephens+Evans Smith
3U Stephens+Nelson vs Volkov o 1,5
 
DJ KO 1u +210
Thug Rose 1.2u -120
Whit dec 1u +925
Stephens 1.7u -170
Nelson NSC 2.5u -160, 1.5u -180
Williams .25u +425
Green .8u +250, Green dec .6u +420
Smolka .5u +220
Collier dec .4u +456
Aljo dec 1u +132, 1u +100
Cummings itd 1.03u -103, 1.3u -130
AES NSC 3u -170, AES .87u -160

Not Moicano itd + Not Mago itd 1.5u -160

RR in 3s and 4s. 7.7u at risk to win 17u I think -- Dantas (won), o2.5 Weichel/Brazilian (won), Zak, Sanchez, Not Volkov itd, o2.5 Aljo/Mendes, o2.5 Green/Rashid, Stephens

Solid chance i'll make a few more doubles using guys like Sanchez who i'd feel comfortable having more money on.
 
Rose - 2 units

Williams vs Fire Kid UNDER 1.5 - 1.8 units

Smolka vs Elliot UNDER 2.5 - 1 unit

Smith vs Sanchez UNDER 2.5 - 1 unit

The obligatory 8 teamer:
(1) Anthony Smith/Andrew Sanchez under 2½ -110 + (2) Augusto Mendes +305 + (3) Zak Cummings. -490 + (4) Patrick Williams +585 +(5) Louis Smolka/Tim Elliott under 2½ +185 + (6) Wilson Reis/Demetrious Johnson under 3½ +150 + (7) Rose Namajunas -125 + (8) Renato Moicano/Jeremy Stephens under 2½ +120. $5.50 to win $10,000.
 
UFC Fox 24 Risk: 1,818.50
reis +660: 30 for 198 / reis DEC: 20 for 261 / DJ RD4: 15 for 217.50 / DJ RD5: 10 for 215
waterson +115: 50 for 57.50 / waterson DEC: 9 parlays / O2.5: 99 for 60 / namajunas
jacare -200: 200 for 100 - 100 parlay / jacare RD2: 5 parlays / DEC: 20 parlays / O1.5: 49.75 for 25 / whittaker
stephens ITD: 9 parlays / stephens RD3: 5 parlays / stephens NSC: 108 for 50 / moicano
nelson ITD: 9 parlays / nelson NSC: 99.75 for 75 / volkov
williams +754: 100 for 753.75 / duquesnoy
magomedov-green O2.5: 87.50 for 50 - 50 parlay
elliot DEC: 50 for 78 - 20 parlays / elliot ITD: 9 parlays / elliot RD3: 15 for 165 - 5 parlays / smolka
sterling DEC: 20 parlays / O2.5: 87.50 for 50 - 50 parlay / mendes DEC: 25 for 150
collier +125: 100 for 125 / collier ITD: 9 parlays / collier RD2: 10 for 67.50 - 5 parlays / DEC: 20 parlays / clark
sanchez DEC: 20 parlays / sanchez ITD: 9 parlays / sanchez RD3: 15 for 138.75 - 5 parlays / smith
cummings: 250 parlays / cummings ITD: 103 for 100 / cummings RD2: 9 parlays / coy
evans-smith -142: 71 for 50 / evans-smith DEC: 20 parlays / evans-smith RD3: 15 for 198.75 - 5 parlays / evans-smith NSC: 102 for 60 / vieira
props
Fastest KO: DJ: 10 for 145
Fastest SUB: Jacare: 10 for 50
FOTN: waterson-namajunas: 10 for 55
parlays
50 for 55.67 cummings -290 & Mendes-Sterling O2.5 -175
50 for 52.63 cummings -290 & magomedov-green O2.5 -190
100 for 101.72 cummings -290 & Jacare -200
50 for 52.63 cummings -290 & dantas-higo O2.5 -190 (bella 177)
40 RR for 554.04: whitjacareDEC/ elliotDEC/ collclarkDEC/ sanchezDEC/ sterlingDEC/ evanssmithDEC
21 RR for 741.53: watersonDEC/ stephensITD/ nelsonITD/ elliotITD/ collierITD/ sanchezITD/ cummingsRD2
15 RR for 1,190.21: jacareRD2/ stephensRD3/ elliotRD3/ collierRD2/ sanchezRD3/ evanssmithRD3
---

if williams wins i'll be happy!

if cummings doesn't dominate like i expect i'll feel dumb.

hate my bets, haha. i forced too much. walking away before i do more. it's less than a normal 13 fight ufc risk, but more than it should be
 
2u Whittaker +205

3u Stephens -175

.3u Green +305

5u Cummings + Sanchez +100
Added:

.3u Mendes +350

1u Green/Mago O2.5 + Duquesnoy ITD -103

.3u Sanchez rd 3 +925



And my little hail mary round robin for the event (2s and 3s):

Cummings SUB
Mendes DEC
Sanchez rd 3
Duquesnoy KO
Volkov DEC
Stephens KO
DJ/Reis U3.5

Risking $28.50 to win $7k+
 
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Whittaker (+185) risk: 4u to win 7.4u
(Composed of: Whittaker (+200) risk: 2u to win 4u
Whittaker (+170) risk: 2u to win 3.4u)

Nelson (+130) risk: 1u to win 1.3u

Thug Rose (-130) risk: 0.65u to win 0.5u
 
I have been super busy at work so I haven't posted picks in a while. I'm VERY heavy on Cummings on this card. Here is what I've got so far:

Underdog/Value plays
Mendes ML +320 (.25u to win .8u)
Williams ML +650 (.25u to win 1.63u)
Green ML +290 (.25u to win .73u)

Moneyline Picks
Clark ML -145 (.5u to win .35u)
Nelson +123 (.5u to win .62u)
Stephens -180 (.5u to win .28u)
Souza -235 (.5u to win .22u)
Namajunas -123 (.5u to win .41u)

2 way Parlays, each placed together with Cummings ML -475
Evans-Smith -150 (.5u to win .51u)
Clark -145 (.25u to win .26u)
Sanchez -330 (1u to win .58u)
Sanchez/Smith O2.5 -120 (.25u to win .3u)
Nelson +130 (.5u to win .9u)
Stephens -180 (.25u to win .22u)
Souza -235 (.5u to win .37u)
Namajunas -123 (.25u to win .3u)
KH/Namajunas O2.5 -170 (.25u to win .23u)

Props
Reis Rd 1 (.02u to win .66u)
Reis Rd 2 (.02u to win .8u)
DJ Rd 3 (.02u to win .15u)
DJ Rd 4 (.02u to win .22u)
DJ Rd 5 (.02u to win .28u)
Williams Rd 1 (.05u to win .8u)
Smolka Sub (.05u to win .47u)

Parlays
Cummings/Sanchez/Stephens/DJ (.4u to win .72u)
Mago/Nelson/Souza/Johnson (.1u to win .39u)
Cummings/AES/Sterling/Stephens/DJ Reis O3.5 (.1u to win .52u)
Cummings/Sterling/Stephens/Elliot/Namajunas (.1u to win .54u)
Cummings/Clark Collier O1.5/Smith Sanchez O2.5/Williams Duguesnoy O1.5/Namajunes (.05u to win .71u)

Home Run Parlay
Cummings/AES/Sanchez/Stephens/Nelson/Souza/Namajunes/DJ (.01u to win .27u)
 
3u Stephens - 1.57
1.5u Namajunas - 1.80
1.5u Souza - 1.50
1u Cummings ITD - 1.75
1u Johnson/Reis o3.5 - 1.65
1u Mendes - 4.20
0,5u Nelson DEC + Souza SUB - 15.47
0,5u Stephens KO/TKO - 2.40
0,5u Namajunas DEC - 3.00
0,5u Sterling/Mendes o2.5 + Green/Magomedov o2.5 - 2.20
0,5u Green/Magomedov o2.5 + Souza - 2.35
0,4u Johnson/Reis o3.5 + Souza - 2.38
0,4u Volkov/Nelson o1.5 - 1.70
0,25u Johnson DEC - 2.10
0,25u Williams - 8.60

+ Lotto parlay:
0,1u Cummings R1 + Souza R2 + Namajunas + Stephens KO/TKO + Elliot/Smolka Any fighter by Sub - 311.4
 
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Roy
Green
Elliott/Duquesnoy parlay
Cummings/Sterling/Mighty mouse parlay
Stephens
Jacare/Mighty mouse parlay
Rose
 
Not loving this card for betting. Trying to be disciplined and left a few parlay spots open that I'll probably roll over to the next card:

0.3u Reis +660
0.1u Reis RD1 +2300
0.1u Reis RD2 +2700

2.385u Namajunas NSC -159

3u Jacare -187

1u NOT Volkov ITD -315/(open spot)

0.5u Williams +640

0.5u Green +245
0.5u Green DEC +420
0.15u Green ITD +1065

0.25u Elliott SUB +474

1.8u Sanchez -180

1u Cummings -290/(open spot)
1u Cummings -290/(open spot)

0.1u Elliot/Nelson/Jacare SUB/Rose +1476
0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Cummings SUB +255/Sterling DEC -136/Stephens ITD +155/Johnson ITD +145
 
4u Namajunas -149
4u Whittaker +220 (still looking to hedge this down to 2u)
1u Mendes +345
1u Williams (0.66u +600, 0.33u +800)
1u Nelson +133
0.66u Green +290

0.33u Green DEC +600
0.5u Nelson DEC +550
0.13u Evans-Smith r3 +2800

3.33u DJ + Cub -161
2u Stephens + Sanchez +106
1u Stephens + Cejudo/Pettis O2.5 +115
 
-2u last week.
----------

0.25u Williams (9.00)
0.5u Mendes (4.00)

0.5u Elliot DEC (2.50)
0.5u Volkov DEC (2.87)
0.5u Souza-Whittaker o1.5 (1.80)
0.8u Namajunas-Waterson DEC (1.66)

crazy parlay:
0.1u Whittaker-Souza o1.5 / Volkov DEC / Elliot DEC /Mendes-Sterling DEC /Cummings ITD (30.18)

RR:
Whittaker-Souza o1.5 / Volkov DEC / Elliot DEC /Mendes-Sterling DEC /Cummings ITD
1u to win 3.1u

That's all, maybe I bet on Carneiro later

Edit:
0.5u Carneiro DEC (4.00)
 
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