Your Official UFC 217 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 24, 2017.

  1. Joedaman55

    Joedaman55 Don't be homeless

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    $50 on the guy going against Blaydez, +275
     
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  2. Antagonist88

    Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    1u Bisping +105
    0.5u Bisping DEC +365
    1.866u Bisping/GSP o4.5 -140
    1u Joanna UD +145
    3.3u JJ/Rose o3.5 -165
    0.3u Rose SUB +1085
    2u TJ +150
    1u TJ DEC +300ish
    1u Masvidal +155
    0.33u Masvidal DEC +320 (Regret missing the good o2.5 on this fight)
    0.133u Masvidal TKO/KO +889
    1u Hendricks +200 (I'll be adding at the current price around +300. Just needs to find a takedown or survive the first and I think he has it)
    8.4u Duffy -140 (Plan was to hedge off to around 5u but missed the good movement, may let it ride now. Really not sure)
    0.8u Duffy TKO/KO +250 (Pile it on!)
    4.33u Walt + Cutelaba (So Walt -315)
    1u Bader -5.5 + Davis -3.5 + Walt ITD +180
    1.25u Walt/Godbeer u1.5 -125
    1.65u OSP -165
    0.33u OSP TKO/KO +230
    1u Randy Brown +100
    0.33u Oleinik SUB +750
    1.35u Blaydes/Oleinik o1.5 -135
    1u Zahabi +150
    0.33u Zahabi DEC +350

    TOTAL RISK: Around 35u, plus some lottos. That's a lot. Built up a bit of a Bellator cushion, but need some things to go right tonight, especially Duffy.
     
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  3. Polarize

    Polarize Green Belt

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    +3.8u last event. Kepping the action small and livebet.
    ----

    0.5u Oleynik (3.75)
    2u Masvidal (2.50)
    0.5u JJ-Namajunas ITD (2.25)
    0.5u Garbrandt ITD (3.00)

    parlay:
    1u OSP-Anderson o1.5/Bisping-GSP o1.5 (1.92)
     
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  4. 5cent Refund

    5cent Refund White Belt

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    Very small Bankroll
    1u Rose by Sub @ 11.00 (+1000 for you crazy Americans)
    12.5u free bet -TJ ML @2.60 (+160)
     
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  5. hugdeeznuts

    hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    added cody
     
  6. Antagonist88

    Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    Lost somewhere between 20-25u... yeah.

    Happy TJ won at least
     
  7. AxeMurderer

    AxeMurderer Orange Belt

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    Total = EVEN
    OSP $145 to win $100
    Duffy $300 to win $200
    Blaydes/OLY ITD $185 to win $100
    GSP +5.5 $225 to win $100
     
  8. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

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    not the worst event of the year but it felt like it. i predicted one fight right. it's agonising i backed so many fighters who looked to be taking control only to get finished suddenly. anderson, duffy, bisping and garbrandt were all hideous losses.

    at least i got rose sub right even if i didn't get paid for it.

    WINS

    Ruth, davis, borra £100 returns £195

    Borra r2 £22 returns £132

    LOSSES

    Bisping £30 returns £60

    Bisping £70 returns £130

    Bisping, garbrandt £132 returns £372

    Rose sub £25 returns £221

    Masvidal £135 returns £344

    Borra r1 £100 returns £340

    Borra r3 £13 returns £117

    Bader, duffy £350 returns £737

    Anderson £100 returns £210

    zahabi dec, gall sub, Anderson dec, borra r1, masvidal, cody ko £11 returns £9842

    zahabi, harris £20 returns £64

    bader, ruth, davis Garbrandt, bisping, gall, duffy, harris, borra, masvidal, £25 returns £1828

    Harris ko £30 returns £47

    cody itd, rose itd, masvidal, borra/Hendricks u1.5, harris free bet returns £1511

    LOSS: £836
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2017
  9. Gugabe

    Gugabe Blue Belt

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    3.13u profit. Should have given GSP a little more time.
     
  10. 5cent Refund

    5cent Refund White Belt

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    Up 19u of my shitty BR (presuming they keep Rose as a TKO) - more importantly one of the most fun events I have watched!
     
  11. NorthernLights

    NorthernLights Blue Belt

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    ]Bisping - 0 for 9.5u
    GSP - 0 for 4.9u

    4u Duffy - 1.60
    2u Dillashaw - 2.40
    2u Borra KO/TKO - 1.87

    1.5u Bisping/GSP Winner by DEC - 1.87
    1u Anderson - 2.40
    0.5u Oleinik/Blaydes o1.5 - 1.70
    0.5u JJ DEC + Borra R1 + Thompson DEC + Cutelaba - 18.90
    0.5u Borra R1 - 3.40
    0.3u Hendricks DEC - 6.00
    0.25u Anderson DEC - 3.40
    0.25u Zahabi DEC - 4.00
    0.25u Oleinik ITD - 6.00
    0.05u Hendricks DRAW - 67.00


    + 0.15u worth of hail mary parlays

    Live bets/late additions:

    2u Masvidal - 2.40
    1.5u Vick - 2.55
    0.5u Harris R1 - 2.10
    0.5u Anderson/OSP ITD - 2.65
    0.5u Zahabi - 2.25
    0.5u Dillashaw/Garbrandt u2.5 - 3.20
    0.25u Masvidal DEC - 3.50
    0.1u Masvidal R3 - 21.00


    Total: +3.9u

    I have no business whatsoever making money on this card after being wrong about pretty much every single fight. It feels dirty. If it wasn't for the crazy Ohmbet lines I would have taken a loss. I was just way off tonight, just like a lot of people here. Crazy event. Better luck next time guys!

    ...and congratulations to all the winners!
     
  12. And

    And White Belt

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    1u GSP -105 +0.95u
    1u GSP -5.5 +195 +1.95u

    0.1u GSP R4 or R5 +1400 -0.1u
    0.05u GSP-Bisping draw +7500 -0.05u


    3u Dillashaw +176 +5.28u
    1u Dillashaw NSC +235 +2.35u

    0.5u Dillashaw dec. +331 -0.5u
    0.5u Garbrandt ITD +200 -0.5u

    0.5u Fight ends in R1 or R2 +225 +1.125u
    0.1u Dillashaw R4 or R5 +1400 -0.1u
    0.05u Dillashaw-Garbrandt draw +7500 -0.05u


    1u Namajunas NSC +371 +3.71u
    0.2u Namajunas +600 +1.2u
    0.05u Namajunas KO/TKO/DQ +2100 +1.05u

    0.05u Jedrzejczyk Sub. +2500 -0.05u

    1u Masvidal NSC +150
    0.1u Masvidal KO/TKO +781 -0.1u
    0.1u Masvidal ITD +565 -0.1u

    0.5u Costa R1 +240 -0.5u
    0.5u Hendricks +315 -0.5u
    0.1u Hendricks R3 +2500 -0.1u
    0.05u Costa-Hendricks draw +9000 -0.05u

    2u Duffy -145 -2u
    0.5u Duffy-Vick GTD +162 -0.5u

    0.15u Harris-Godbeer GTD +350 -0.15u


    0.2u Anderson NSC +372 -0.2u
    0.1u Anderson R3 +2800 -0.1u
    0.05u Anderson-St. Preux draw +8500 -0.05u


    1.5u Brown +100 +1.5u
    0.5u Brown-Gall GTD +200 +1u

    0.1u Brown R3 +1600 -0.1u

    0.2u Oleinik ITD +500 -0.2u

    1u Zahabi +175 -1u
    0.5u Zahabi dec. +330 -0.5u
    0.4u Zahabi NSC +295 -0.4u
    0.1u Zahabi R3 +2200 -0.1u

    Total: +12.115u

    Edit: Sorry, I miscalculated. It should be correct now.
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2017
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  13. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    Same shitty boat man, worst night of my betting career with a 23u loss. Erased the last month of profit.

    Thank fuck Duffy won the first and allowed me to hedge, went 5u Vick +220 to bring my Duffy bet down to 9.3u. That was a terrible stoppage, steps in as Duffy is defending and the bell goes. The whole card seemed cursed, crazy that 3 belts changed hands. Only thing to do is lower the unit size and move on.
     
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  14. Papi

    Papi Blue Belt

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    At least the fights were awesome
     
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  15. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    1u GSP +100 +1u
    1u Bisping-GSP o4.5 -140 -1u

    3u Dillashaw +145 +4.35u
    1u Dillashaw DEC +275 -1u

    0.4u Namajunas SUB +1085 -0.4u

    2u Masvidal +163 -2u
    0.5u Masvidal DEC +320 -0.5u
    0.1u Masvidal KO +946 -0.1u

    0.3u Hendricks +295 -0.3u
    0.2u Hendricks DEC +460 -0.2u
    0.05u Hendricks RD3 +3100 -0.05u

    5u Duffy -140 -5u

    1.5u Anderson +130 -1.5u
    0.05u Anderson RD3 +2250 -0.05u

    2.5u Brown +106 +2.65u
    0.1u Brown SUB +1010 -0.1u
    0.1u Brown RD3 +1350 -0.1u

    0.2u Oliynyk SUB +650 -0.2u

    0.1u Brown/Anderson/Duffy/Masvidal/Dillashaw/GSP +10279 -0.1u

    0.8u RR (3s,4s,5) Brown DEC/Anderson DEC/Duffy ITD/JJ-Rose ITD/GSP DEC -0.8u
    1.1u RR (4s,5s,6) Brown/Anderson/Masvidal/Namajunas NSC/Dillashaw/GSP +0.94u

    NET: -4.46u

    I can't get that one break that turns a bad card into a good one. Anderson winning would have closed two more round robins pieces for me. Being greedy and not playing Rose ITD cost me big time too.

    This is also the second week in a row my most confident pick lost. I badly underestimated how much trouble Vick's size advantage was going to trouble Duffy. I probably underestimate Vick as a fighter also.

    At least it was an awesome card to watch. I was rooting for all three challengers, especially TJ. He never should have lost the belt to begin with IMO.
     
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  16. Papi

    Papi Blue Belt

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    I have to ask @EzFlyer how many units are you up tonight?
     
  17. Obsidian Fracture

    Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

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    Hits:
    Borrachinha over Hendricks = $74
    Thompson over Masvidal = $45
    Vick over Duffy = $54
    Added $100 on the Brown/Gall O1.5 @ $1.77 = $77

    Missed:
    Zahabi over Ramos = -$40
    Cody over TJ = -$50

    Total = +$160 = 4U
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2017
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  18. Davem10

    Davem10 Purple Belt

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    Do you mind telling me your occupation and also your age

    Just out of pure curiosity because to me that is a lot of money to lose
     
  19. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

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    I am 0:0 after some live bets, TJ saved my night but i dont really care, because that was FUCKIN AWESOME EVENT
     
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  20. Sapp

    Sapp Red Belt

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    Wow, in terms of the amount I bet, this is by far my biggest event ever, never cleared $5k before. I kept adding to my earlier picks.


    12U Wonderboy @1.71
    10U Joanna@1.24 (Ouch)
    10U OSP @1.6
    10U GSP @1.8

    2U Oleinik @4.20
    2U Wonderboy/Joanna
    2U Johny v Paulo O1.5 @1.9
    2U Cody/TJ O3.5

    1U Vick @2.74

    Overall: +6.26 U


    Pretty grievous misstep by me on Joanna, this could have been a fantastic event instead of just good.

    Respect to all Rose bettors, I still don't know what you guys saw.

     
    Last edited: Nov 5, 2017

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