Your Official UFC 217 Bets

[Antagonist88]

1u Bisping +105
0.5u Bisping DEC +365
1.866u Bisping/GSP o4.5 -140
1u Joanna UD +145
3.3u JJ/Rose o3.5 -165
0.3u Rose SUB +1085
2u TJ +150
1u TJ DEC +300ish
1u Masvidal +155
0.33u Masvidal DEC +320 (Regret missing the good o2.5 on this fight)
0.133u Masvidal TKO/KO +889
1u Hendricks +200 (I'll be adding at the current price around +300. Just needs to find a takedown or survive the first and I think he has it)
8.4u Duffy -140 (Plan was to hedge off to around 5u but missed the good movement, may let it ride now. Really not sure)
0.8u Duffy TKO/KO +250 (Pile it on!)
4.33u Walt + Cutelaba (So Walt -315)
1u Bader -5.5 + Davis -3.5 + Walt ITD +180
1.25u Walt/Godbeer u1.5 -125
1.65u OSP -165
0.33u OSP TKO/KO +230
1u Randy Brown +100
0.33u Oleinik SUB +750
1.35u Blaydes/Oleinik o1.5 -135
1u Zahabi +150
0.33u Zahabi DEC +350

TOTAL RISK: Around 35u, plus some lottos. That's a lot. Built up a bit of a Bellator cushion, but need some things to go right tonight, especially Duffy.

 

[Polarize]

+3.8u last event. Kepping the action small and livebet.
----

0.5u Oleynik (3.75)
2u Masvidal (2.50)
0.5u JJ-Namajunas ITD (2.25)
0.5u Garbrandt ITD (3.00)

parlay:
1u OSP-Anderson o1.5/Bisping-GSP o1.5 (1.92)

 

[5cent Refund]

Very small Bankroll
1u Rose by Sub @ 11.00 (+1000 for you crazy Americans)
12.5u free bet -TJ ML @2.60 (+160)

 

[hugdeeznuts]

added cody

 

[Antagonist88]

Lost somewhere between 20-25u... yeah.

Happy TJ won at least

 

[AxeMurderer]

Total = EVEN
OSP $145 to win $100
Duffy $300 to win $200
Blaydes/OLY ITD $185 to win $100
GSP +5.5 $225 to win $100

 

[piglord]

not the worst event of the year but it felt like it. i predicted one fight right. it's agonising i backed so many fighters who looked to be taking control only to get finished suddenly. anderson, duffy, bisping and garbrandt were all hideous losses.

at least i got rose sub right even if i didn't get paid for it.

WINS

Ruth, davis, borra £100 returns £195

Borra r2 £22 returns £132

LOSSES

Bisping £30 returns £60

Bisping £70 returns £130

Bisping, garbrandt £132 returns £372

Rose sub £25 returns £221

Masvidal £135 returns £344

Borra r1 £100 returns £340

Borra r3 £13 returns £117

Bader, duffy £350 returns £737

Anderson £100 returns £210

zahabi dec, gall sub, Anderson dec, borra r1, masvidal, cody ko £11 returns £9842

zahabi, harris £20 returns £64

bader, ruth, davis Garbrandt, bisping, gall, duffy, harris, borra, masvidal, £25 returns £1828

Harris ko £30 returns £47

cody itd, rose itd, masvidal, borra/Hendricks u1.5, harris free bet returns £1511

LOSS: £836

 

[Gugabe]

Starting slow

Dillashaw @ 2.58 - 2.5u
Brown @ 2.14 - 2.5u
Vick @ 2.74 - 1u

GSP-Bisping not to start round 3 @ 3.47 - 1u - Close L

JJ ML + NOT Cody Dec @ 1.26 & 1.4 parlayed for 1.76 - 2u - L

Hendricks ML 1U - L
Brown KO 1.5u - L

3.13u profit. Should have given GSP a little more time.

 

[5cent Refund]

Very small Bankroll
1u Rose by Sub @ 11.00 (+1000 for you crazy Americans)
12.5u free bet -TJ ML @2.60 (+160)

Up 19u of my shitty BR (presuming they keep Rose as a TKO) - more importantly one of the most fun events I have watched!

 

[NorthernLights]

]Bisping - 0 for 9.5u
GSP - 0 for 4.9u

4u Duffy - 1.60
2u Dillashaw - 2.40
2u Borra KO/TKO - 1.87
1.5u Bisping/GSP Winner by DEC - 1.87
1u Anderson - 2.40
0.5u Oleinik/Blaydes o1.5 - 1.70
0.5u JJ DEC + Borra R1 + Thompson DEC + Cutelaba - 18.90
0.5u Borra R1 - 3.40
0.3u Hendricks DEC - 6.00
0.25u Anderson DEC - 3.40
0.25u Zahabi DEC - 4.00
0.25u Oleinik ITD - 6.00
0.05u Hendricks DRAW - 67.00

+ 0.15u worth of hail mary parlays

Live bets/late additions:

2u Masvidal - 2.40
1.5u Vick - 2.55
0.5u Harris R1 - 2.10
0.5u Anderson/OSP ITD - 2.65
0.5u Zahabi - 2.25
0.5u Dillashaw/Garbrandt u2.5 - 3.20
0.25u Masvidal DEC - 3.50
0.1u Masvidal R3 - 21.00

Total: +3.9u

I have no business whatsoever making money on this card after being wrong about pretty much every single fight. It feels dirty. If it wasn't for the crazy Ohmbet lines I would have taken a loss. I was just way off tonight, just like a lot of people here. Crazy event. Better luck next time guys!

...and congratulations to all the winners!

 

[And]

1u GSP -105
1u GSP -5.5 +195
0.1u GSP R4 or R5 +1400
0.05u GSP-Bisping draw +7500

3u Dillashaw +176
1u Dillashaw NSC +235
0.5u Dillashaw dec. +331
0.5u Garbrandt ITD +200
0.5u Fight ends in R1 or R2 +225
0.1u Dillashaw R4 or R5 +1400
0.05u Dillashaw-Garbrandt draw +7500

1u Namajunas NSC +371
0.2u Namajunas +600
0.05u Namajunas KO/TKO/DQ +2100
0.05u Jedrzejczyk Sub. +2500

1u Masvidal NSC +150
0.1u Masvidal KO/TKO +781
0.1u Masvidal ITD +565

0.5u Costa R1 +240
0.5u Hendricks +315
0.1u Hendricks R3 +2500
0.05u Costa-Hendricks draw +9000

2u Duffy -145
0.5u Duffy-Vick GTD +162

0.15u Harris-Godbeer GTD +350

0.2u Anderson NSC +372
0.1u Anderson R3 +2800
0.05u Anderson-St. Preux draw +8500

1.5u Brown +100
0.5u Brown-Gall GTD +200
0.1u Brown R3 +1600

0.2u Oleinik ITD +500

1u Zahabi +175
0.5u Zahabi dec. +330
0.4u Zahabi NSC +295
0.1u Zahabi R3 +2200

1u GSP -105 +0.95u
1u GSP -5.5 +195 +1.95u
0.1u GSP R4 or R5 +1400 -0.1u
0.05u GSP-Bisping draw +7500 -0.05u

3u Dillashaw +176 +5.28u
1u Dillashaw NSC +235 +2.35u
0.5u Dillashaw dec. +331 -0.5u
0.5u Garbrandt ITD +200 -0.5u
0.5u Fight ends in R1 or R2 +225 +1.125u
0.1u Dillashaw R4 or R5 +1400 -0.1u
0.05u Dillashaw-Garbrandt draw +7500 -0.05u

1u Namajunas NSC +371 +3.71u
0.2u Namajunas +600 +1.2u
0.05u Namajunas KO/TKO/DQ +2100 +1.05u
0.05u Jedrzejczyk Sub. +2500 -0.05u

1u Masvidal NSC +150
0.1u Masvidal KO/TKO +781 -0.1u
0.1u Masvidal ITD +565 -0.1u

0.5u Costa R1 +240 -0.5u
0.5u Hendricks +315 -0.5u
0.1u Hendricks R3 +2500 -0.1u
0.05u Costa-Hendricks draw +9000 -0.05u

2u Duffy -145 -2u
0.5u Duffy-Vick GTD +162 -0.5u

0.15u Harris-Godbeer GTD +350 -0.15u

0.2u Anderson NSC +372 -0.2u
0.1u Anderson R3 +2800 -0.1u
0.05u Anderson-St. Preux draw +8500 -0.05u

1.5u Brown +100 +1.5u
0.5u Brown-Gall GTD +200 +1u
0.1u Brown R3 +1600 -0.1u

0.2u Oleinik ITD +500 -0.2u

1u Zahabi +175 -1u
0.5u Zahabi dec. +330 -0.5u
0.4u Zahabi NSC +295 -0.4u
0.1u Zahabi R3 +2200 -0.1u

Total: +12.115u

Edit: Sorry, I miscalculated. It should be correct now.

 

[Sadistics]

Lost somewhere between 20-25u... yeah.

Happy TJ won at least

Same shitty boat man, worst night of my betting career with a 23u loss. Erased the last month of profit.

Thank fuck Duffy won the first and allowed me to hedge, went 5u Vick +220 to bring my Duffy bet down to 9.3u. That was a terrible stoppage, steps in as Duffy is defending and the bell goes. The whole card seemed cursed, crazy that 3 belts changed hands. Only thing to do is lower the unit size and move on.

 

[Papi]

7u duffy -160
4u harris/blaydes double (olenik sub hedge
4U bisping
1u tj +170 ( i favor cody but too much value here)
1U JJ itd +160
1U borra rd 1 +185
1U osp itd +125
1U gall +120
1U mas dec +285
.5u zahabi +165
Sucks i had a lot on cutelaba itd and the under. And a triple Plus hes one of my fav fighters. Oh well

-17.5u by far my worst event ever i got decimated. Ironically before the fight my wife said rose is gonna win i told her no way. But i threw .4u on rose itd for shits and gigs to make her happy and it hit lol. So on top of all this losing my wife is rubbing it in my face lol. She wanted me to throw 2u on rose lol. I guess the wife always is right

At least the fights were awesome

 

[t6p]

1u GSP +100 +1u
1u Bisping-GSP o4.5 -140 -1u

3u Dillashaw +145 +4.35u
1u Dillashaw DEC +275 -1u

0.4u Namajunas SUB +1085 -0.4u

2u Masvidal +163 -2u
0.5u Masvidal DEC +320 -0.5u
0.1u Masvidal KO +946 -0.1u

0.3u Hendricks +295 -0.3u
0.2u Hendricks DEC +460 -0.2u
0.05u Hendricks RD3 +3100 -0.05u

5u Duffy -140 -5u

1.5u Anderson +130 -1.5u
0.05u Anderson RD3 +2250 -0.05u

2.5u Brown +106 +2.65u
0.1u Brown SUB +1010 -0.1u
0.1u Brown RD3 +1350 -0.1u

0.2u Oliynyk SUB +650 -0.2u

0.1u Brown/Anderson/Duffy/Masvidal/Dillashaw/GSP +10279 -0.1u

0.8u RR (3s,4s,5) Brown DEC/Anderson DEC/Duffy ITD/JJ-Rose ITD/GSP DEC -0.8u
1.1u RR (4s,5s,6) Brown/Anderson/Masvidal/Namajunas NSC/Dillashaw/GSP +0.94u

NET: -4.46u

I can't get that one break that turns a bad card into a good one. Anderson winning would have closed two more round robins pieces for me. Being greedy and not playing Rose ITD cost me big time too.

This is also the second week in a row my most confident pick lost. I badly underestimated how much trouble Vick's size advantage was going to trouble Duffy. I probably underestimate Vick as a fighter also.

At least it was an awesome card to watch. I was rooting for all three challengers, especially TJ. He never should have lost the belt to begin with IMO.

 

[Papi]

I have to ask @EzFlyer how many units are you up tonight?

 

[Obsidian Fracture]

3.75U on Borrachinha over Hendricks @ $1.48. $150 to profit $72.
1.5U on Thompson over Masvidal @ $1.75. $60 to profit $45.
1.25U on Cody over TJ @ $1.77. $50 to profit $38.50.

This is such a good card, can see myself putting more bets on during the event for some action.

Added
1U on Zahabi over Ramos @ $2.70 = $40 to profit $68
1U on Vick over Duffy @ 2.35 = $40 to profit $54

Hits:
Borrachinha over Hendricks = $74
Thompson over Masvidal = $45
Vick over Duffy = $54
Added $100 on the Brown/Gall O1.5 @ $1.77 = $77

Missed:
Zahabi over Ramos = -$40
Cody over TJ = -$50

Total = +$160 = 4U

 

[Davem10]

not the worst event of the year but it felt like it. i predicted one fight right. it's agonising i backed so many fighters who looked to be taking control only to get finished suddenly. anderson, duffy, bisping and garbrandt were all hideous losses.

at least i got rose sub right even if i didn't get paid for it.

WINS

Ruth, davis, borra £100 returns £195

Borra r2 £22 returns £132

LOSSES

Bisping £30 returns £60

Bisping £70 returns £130

Bisping, garbrandt £132 returns £372

Rose sub £25 returns £221

Masvidal £135 returns £344

Borra r1 £100 returns £340

Borra r3 £13 returns £117

Bader, duffy £350 returns £737

Anderson £100 returns £210

zahabi dec, gall sub, Anderson dec, borra r1, masvidal, cody ko £11 returns £9842

zahabi, harris £20 returns £64

bader, ruth, davis Garbrandt, bisping, gall, duffy, harris, borra, masvidal, £25 returns £1828

Harris ko £30 returns £47

cody itd, rose itd, masvidal, borra/Hendricks u1.5, harris free bet returns £1511

LOSS: £836

Do you mind telling me your occupation and also your age

Just out of pure curiosity because to me that is a lot of money to lose

 

[northsofia]

I am 0:0 after some live bets, TJ saved my night but i dont really care, because that was FUCKIN AWESOME EVENT

 

[Sapp]

Wow, in terms of the amount I bet, this is by far my biggest event ever, never cleared $5k before. I kept adding to my earlier picks.


12U Wonderboy @1.71
10U [email protected] (Ouch)
10U OSP @1.6
10U GSP @1.8
2U Oleinik @4.20
2U Wonderboy/Joanna
2U Johny v Paulo O1.5 @1.9
2U Cody/TJ O3.5
1U Vick @2.74

Overall: +6.26 U

Pretty grievous misstep by me on Joanna, this could have been a fantastic event instead of just good.

Respect to all Rose bettors, I still don't know what you guys saw.

 

[danareem]

Hope everybody did well yesterday
Bankroll was tied in other bets, or I would have hit jj/rose itd @2.25
for 1.5 units. F U Duffy!
But I'm very grateful for profiting.
The key for me is to stick to a maxbet of 2units (in very rare cases 3u).
This way I avoid swings> chasing >tilt

Edit: the Duffy/Brown Gall double @2.89 was 0.66u freebet and 0.33u real money, hence the 0.33u loss