Your Official UFC 215 Bets

Martins ITD $135 to get $100
shevchenko $1150 to get $1000
stephens $115 to get $100
Reis/Cejudo will go to dec $97.50 to get $50
Glenn $100 to get $175
McMann $275 to get $100
McMann and Martins $75 to get $53
McMann and Shevchenko $75 to get $112
Martins and Shevchenko $75 to get $98
Martins and Mcmann and Shevchenko $75 to get $161
Lusi Henrique $42 to get $68
 
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Pats screwed me it's time for a big boy bet

$325.02/$400.84
cejudo/reis starts rd 3 -305
Magny/dos Anjos starts round 3 -279
Steelers -420
 
2u Tucker + Cejudo @1.86

0.8u Magny @2.62
0.8u Latifi @2.10
0.7u Vieira @3.25
0.5u Clarke @2.75

0.1u /Nunes r1 @6.50/ Nunes r2 @8.00/ Nunes sub r1 @21.00 / Nunes sub r2 @26.00 / Nunes sub r3 @41.00/

* I'll probably livebet on Valentina after the 1st or 2nd round if I can get good odds on her.
 
1u Magny/Anjos O2,5+Glenn/Tucker O2,5+Reis/Cejudo O2,5+Stephens/Melendez O2,5 +357

cant really find anything i love on this card.. might bet Magny and Bhullar/Pedro if prices gets better.. will also be looking to livebet Valentina after R1-R2 and Vieira if she is looking good early

added:

0.85u Magny +170
0.15u Magny DEC +260

0.7u Clarke +175
0.35u Clarke DEC +520

0.35u Valentina R4 OR R5 +998
 
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Shevchenko KO +709 .3u
Shevchenko RD4 +2500 .1u
Shevchenko RD5 +3300 .1u

Cejudo -315 3u
Cejudo/Reis O2.5 -220 2u
Cejudo DEC -143 1u

RDA -180 5u

Latifi -111 1u

Stephens -115 1u

Vieira +225 1u

Tucker -140 4.2u
Tucker/Glenn O2.5 -210 2.1u
Glenn RD3 +2050 .2u

White/Clarke O2.5 -115 2u

Henrique +150 1u

Martins -182 5.5u


MM + Cejudo + AES -103 2u

Cutting it off here, way too exposed with about 30u risked
 
Tucker + cejudo double -125 5u
Shev itd +180 1u
Small on shev rd 3.4.5
Stephens itd .75u +300
Latifi itd +190 1u
Might do small rda dec.
And small on veira
 
Going to the event so forcing some little silly ones for action/fun/watchability.

Sheva-Nunes draw: $7.69 for $500.00
Sheva ML: $34.00 for $27.20
Sheva KO: $14.29 for $50.00
Sheva Rd. 4: $9.09 for $100.00
Sheva Rd. 5: $6.25 for $100.00

RDA by dec: $20.00 for $23.00
RDA Rd. 3: $4.17 for $50.00
RDA by sub: $4.00 for $30.00

O2.5 RDA/Magny + Gilbert/Stephens: $50.00 for $48.60

Gilbert by dec: $29.41 for $50.00

Latifi: $18.18 for $20.00
Latifi Rd. 2: $8.33 for $50.00
Latifi Rd. 3: $4.17 for $50.00

Vieira: $11.43 for $20.00

Martins/Johnson ITD: $36.00 for $20.00

Martins + Tucker + Cejudo: $30.00 for $31.47

bathroom break picks:
Bhullar + White + Evans-Smith: $10.40 for $20.00
barking dogs:
Henri + Viera + Latifi + Magny + Nunes: $7.49 for $538.27


Good luck all! No more fucking cancelled fights please! (wish there was a prop for that...)
 
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UFC 215 Risk: 2,766
DJ RD4: 6 parlays
nunes +108: 150 for 162.50 - 25 parlays / nunes SUB: 9 parlays / nunes RD1: 30 for 150 - 6 parlays / nunes RD2: 20 for 150 / nunes SPLIT: 10 for 100.80 / nunes +5.5: 77.50 for 50 / draw: 4 for 280 / shevchenko DEC: 50 for 167.50 - 12 parlays / shev SPLIT: 10 for 87.70 / shev RD4: 10 for 130 - 6 parlays / shev RD5: 10 for 160
magny DEC: 30 for 101.40 - 12 parlays / magny RD3: 10 for 210 / DEC: 90 for 50 / RDA ITD: 9 parlays
latifi -123: 246 for 200 - 25 parlays / latifi DEC: 6 parlays / latifi RD3: 10 for 120 - 6 parlays / DEC: 12 parlays / pedro
stephens -127: 190 for 150 - 25 parlays / stephens ITD: 18 parlays / stephens RD3: 10 for 130 - 6 parlays / stephens NSC: 120 for 100 / DEC: 87.50 for 50 / melendez
mcmann ITD: 12 parlays / mcmann SUB: 50 for 285.50 - 15 parlays / mcmann RD3: 10 for 155 / vieira
reis +325: 30 for 97.50 / reis SUB: 9 parlays / DEC: 92.50 for 50 / O2.5: 90 for 50 / cejudo
evans-smith ITD: 21 parlays / evans-smith RD2: 35 for 299.75 / evans-smith RD3: 35 for 485 - 6 parlays / evans-smith -3.5: 25 parlays / moras
glenn +191: 200 for 381.25 / glenn DEC: 6 parlays / glenn +3.5: 25 parlays / tucker
white -140: 140 for 100 / clarke SUB: 25 for 106.25 - 9 parlays
henrique +160: 100 for 172.50 / henrique DEC: 6 parlays / bhullar DEC: 30 for 67.50 / bhullar RD3: 31 for 259 - 6 parlays
martins -194: 387.50 for 200 / martins ITD: 25 parlays / martins SUB: 30 for 203.10 - 9 parlays / martins RD2: 12 parlays / martins RD3: 12 parlays / johnson
props
DEC O5.5: 123 for 100
DEC O6.5: 20 for 51.40
DEC O7.5: 8 for 63.92
DEC O8.5: 2 for 66
DEC O9.5: 1 for 330
Fastest SUB: nunes: 5 for 75
Fastest SUB: mcmann: 5 for 100
FOTN: glenn-tucker: 10 for 75
parlays
21 RR for 2,958.03: DJRD4/ shevRD4/ latifiRD3/ stephensRD3/ evanssmithRD3/ bhullarRD3/ martinsRD3
21 RR for 3,651.10: nunesSUB/ rdaITD/ reisSUB/ mcmannSUB/ evanssmithITD/ clarkeSUB/ martinsSUB
50 RR for 336.60: nunes/ latifi/ stephens/ evanssmith-3.5/ glenn+3.5/ martinsITD
28 RR for 2,327.31: shevDEC/ magnyDEC/ padrolatifiDEC/ stephensITD/ mcmannITD/ evanssmithITD/ martinsRD2
21 RR for 811.90: nunesRD1/ latifiDEC/ stephensITD/ mcmannSUB/ glennDEC/ henriqueDEC/ martinsRD3
---

edit: ok, now set.

exposed big on 3 outcomes:
-shevchenko ITD (particularly in 1/2/3)
-melendez ITD
-kajan johnson any way
 
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Valentina/white double
White/Viera double
Stephens/Tucker double

Going light on this card, too much soccer on this weekend for my money
 
Nunes 0.2u 2.2 / sub R2 0.05u 23.0
Shevchenko R4 0.05u 26.0 / R4 0.05u 34.0
Magny 0.5u 2.71
Magny - RDA o2.5 1u 1.57
Stephens 2.5u 1.94
Latifi 1u 2.1
Cejudo itd 0.1u 4.62
Vieira 0.2u 3.25 / dec 0.1u 4.75
Evans-Smith R3 0.05u 17.0
Tucker + Repo (Cage 40) 0.2u 2.1
Tucker + Henrique 0.25u 3.85
Tucker + Latif 0.25u 3.1
Clarke 0.1u 2.75 / itd 0.1u 4.5
Henrique 0.75u 2.78
Martins itd 0.2u 1.83
Martins + Ferguson 1u 1.96
Tiny parlay stuff 0.2u

+ Degenerate bets on Magny and Stephens 250 euros each. I think I start doing this kind of separate bets too from now on, because it's just fun to make disportioned gambles, but fucking up my bankroll because of them would suck.
 
RDA 1u @ -185
Lafiti 0.5u @ +115
 
1.5u RDA @1.53
0.5u RDA [email protected]
0.3u Shev DEC @4.33
1u Stephens @1.80
0.5u RDA/Magny + Cejudo/Reis O2.5 @2.40
0.5u Latifi @2.10

0.5u Shev + RDA/Magny O2.5R
0.25u Nunes/Shev + RDA/Magny + Stephens/Melendez + Cejudo/Reis all O2.5R @5.14
 
Repo, evans smith £100 returns £204

Vieira £134 returns £435

Magny £115 returns £316

Cejudo, Anthony smith £212 returns £513

Smith, tucker, Vieira, cejudo, pedro, Shevchenko £63 returns £1891

Tucker, cejudo £385 returns £715

Shevchenko £300 returns £600

Shevchenko r4 £20 returns £520

Shevchenko r5 £10 returns £340

Bhullar, white, tucker, cejudo/reis o2.5, Vieira, aes, shev itd, mouse itd, pedro, magny dec, stephens/Melendez o2.5 £5 returns £5854

Shev r4, magny dec, Vieira ko, martins sub RR £5 returns ?

Vieira ko £50 returns £550
 
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2500 Schevchenko
600 Clarke
600 Henrique
525 Gil
748 RDA
450 Schev-RDA

Smaller parlays and some props

Might get out of my Gil bet if I can
 
Stephens/Melendez FDNGD, Cejudo DEC + AES ITD = £10 returns £168

Henrique, Nunes/Shev FGTD, Cejudo DEC + RDA DEC = £10 returns £325

Henrique DEC, Tucker ITD + Viera ITD = £2 returns £450

RDA, Tucker ITD, Henrique/Bhullar o2.5 + AES ITD = £5 returns £237.18

Martins DEC, Clarke/White FDNGD + Viera ITD = £4 returns £179.63

Nunes R2, Cejudo R3 + Stephens ITD = £1 returns £489.60

Cejudo, RDA DEC + AES = £16 returns £72

Johnson ITD, Tucker ITD, Shevchenko + Latifi DEC = £1 returns £1096.87

Magny R3, Henrique R3 + Shevchenko R4 = £1 returns £8303

Viera R2, AES R3 + Stephens R2 = £1 returns £2907

Clarke R3, Viera ITD + Latifi R3 = £1 returns £2184

Henrique ITD, Latifi DEC, AES ITD + Tucker DEC = £5 returns £1006.74

Johnson/Martins o1.5, Stephens, AES + Latifi = £20.27 returns £149.07

Henrique, Latifi/Pedro o1.5 + Tucker = £19 returns £136.02

Henrique SUB = £2 returns £22

Henrique SUB, Viera TKO/KO, Latifi TKO/KO + Magny SUB = £1 returns £20,570

Henrique SUB + Latifi TKO/KO = £6.50 returns £715

AES TKO/KO = £13 returns £58.50

Viera TKO/KO = £2 returns £22

Latifi TKO/KO = £6 returns £60

Magny SUB = £2 returns £34

(doubles)
£9 potential returns £1,839.75
Stephens SUB + Latifi SUB + Magny SUB + Nunes SUB
 
Just added these few as well -

White ITD, Tucker R2 + Stephens ITD = £2 returns £249.37

McMann DEC, Bhullar DEC + RDA R1 = £1.50 returns £73.80

Nunes/Shevchenko DRAW, White R3 + Cejudo R3 = £0.50 returns £5635.50

Reis R3, Henrique R3 + Shevchenko R5 = £0.50 returns £5681.10

Martins ITD, Henrique ITD, AES ITD, Cejudo DEC, RDA DEC + Latifi R2 = £2 returns £1371.09
 
Nunes
RDA
Pedro
Stephens
Cejudo/mcmann
white by dec
Bhullar/Tucker
 
+7u last event
-----

0.5u Johnson-Martins o1.5 (1.57)
0.1u Kajan DEC (8.50)
0.3u White TKO (3.40)
0.1u White R2 (7.00)
1.5u Tucker DEC (1.90)

1u Stephens (2.00)
0.1u Stephens R3 (21.00)
1.2u Latifi (2.10)
0.2u Latifi DEC (7.50)

2u Cejudo-Reis DEC (1.53)
0.6u Cejudo DEC (1.80)

0.2u Shev R3 (19.00)
0.2u Shev R4 (26.00)
0.2u Shev R5 (34.00)

Parlay:
0.5u Tucker DEC-Cejudo DEC (3.43)

RR:
Latifi/Stephens/Shevchenko/Cejudo DEC/Tucker DEC
1.33u to win 3.5u
 
I apologize that these are so scattered sho and in shitty formation but I wanted to get them in in time


Vieira +180 $250 to win $450

Clarke +150 $450 to win $675.50

Melendez By Decision +175 $176 to win $308

Vieira +180 + Cejudo -345 $80 to win $208.92

Vieira x KO,TKO OR DQ +1050 $20 to win $205

Cejudo -345 + Evans-Smith -250 + Martins -500 1025.00 to win 1450.00

Melendez/Stephens o2.5 -225 + Reis/Cejudo o2.5 -270 + Martins -455 $450 to win $636.50

Shevchenko Draw +7000 $30 to win $2100 .00

Shevchenko wins in round 4 +1247 $70.00 to win $$872.92

Shevchenko wins in round 5 +1613 $50 to win $800.65

Magny By Decision +238 $70 to win $166.66

Cejudo By KO,TKO OR DQ +425 $30 to win $125

Pedro By Decision +575 $100 to win $575

Latifi +110 $450 to win $495.50

Clarke By Decision +500 $100 to win $500

Moras wins in rnd 3 +2024 $30 to win $600.72

Moras By Submission +615 $70 to win $430.25

Evans-Smith -270 + Arjan -215 $175 to win $176.40

Nunes/Shevchenko o2.5 -150 + Cejudo -425 $250 to win $260.47


BOL
 
0.2u Shevchenko KO +694
0.1u Shevchenko RD3 +1150
0.1u Shevchenko RD4 +1300
0.1u Shevchenko RD5 +1550

3.69u RDA -143

1.8u Reis-Cejudo o2.5 -180
0.5u Reis NSC +187

2.25u Latifi -107

0.5u Henrique +185

0.1u Latifi/Stephens/Cejudo DEC/RDA DEC/Shevchenko +2499

Still considering plays on Stephens and Shev ML. Will post in advance if I decide to add them.
 
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