Your Official UFC 214 Bets

Cyborg RD2 +550 .2u

Jones DEC or SUB -120 1u
Jones/Cormier O4.5 -140 2u
Cormier/Jones draw +5500 .05u

Woodley -175 2u
Woodley KO -107 1.07u

Lawler/Cerrone to end by KO +135 1u

Knight +100 1u

Barao -120 5u

Moicano -140 3u
Moicano/Ortega O2.5 -165 2u
Moicano DEC +145 1u

Curran/Albu O2.5 -145 1u
Curran +3.5 -125 1u

Dober -175 5u

Woodley -175 + Manuwa -166 2u for 3u

Jones -250 + Fili -333 2u for 1.66u

RR in 3s: Jones Unan DEC +170 + Cyborg RD2 +525 + Lawler KO +244 + Manuwa DEC +620 + Barao DEC +207 + Moicano DEC +115 + Curran DEC +312

Only gonna be able to catch the main card live, will have to watch the replay tomorrow. Good luck everyone!

Dammit 214, could've at least used some lube! I got absolutely raped, haven't watched the prelims replay or added up the loss but looking at the BR it was a terrible night. Chased with Cyborg + Woodley + Jones to recover some losses but not nearly enough
 
Thank you sir. I actually didn't really consider Woodley decision until I saw you mention it in the discussion thread. After I thought about it more, with the way Wood fights I saw good value in that line and decided to add it to the RR. Big credit to you on that!
Lets do it again...
 
I don't know anything about the numbers but Jimi getting KO'ed like a spastic cost me a £300 pay out
 
1.78u Jones NSC -178 +1u
1.25u Jones -5.5 -125 +1u

1u Maia SUB +320 -1u

0.25u Evinger-Cyborg o1.5 +285 +0.73u

0.5u Cerrone SUB +1415 -0.5u

4u Manuwa -160 -4u

2u Lamas +110 +2.2u
0.3u Lamas DEC +383 -0.3u

2u Barao +113 -2u
1u Barao NSC +146 +0u
0.1u Barao ITD +535 -0.1u
0.05u Barao SUB +1275 -0.05u
0.05u Barao RD1 +975 -0.05u

0.5u Ortega +150 +0.75u
0.05u Ortega RD3 +1800 +0.9u

0.1u Barao/Lamas/Manuwa/Maia/Jones +2216 -0.1u
1.05u RR (3s,6) Ortega/Lamas/Barao/Manuwa -3.5/Maia NSC/Jones -5.5 +1.29u
1u RR (2s,3s) Ortega ITD/Lamas ITD/Lawler DEC/Woodley DEC/Jones ITD +66.61u

NET: +66.38u

Wow. Best night ever for me by far. I can't believe everything in that round robin hit. Pretty much broke even on the rest of my plays but 66u on a 1u win risk parlay, man I don't know if I'll ever pull that off again. Had I played that by 4s and 5 too I can't even imagine what the payout must have been. Lucky more than good but I'll take it!

Dude, congratulations. That is amazing. First time I've popped my head in the gambling section to check everyone's wins. Glad I got to see this. Incredible.
 
Dude, congratulations. That is amazing. First time I've popped my head in the gambling section to check everyone's wins. Glad I got to see this. Incredible.

Thanks bud, I appreciate it!
 
This was silly. Moicano giving up all his advantages fighting toe-to-toe and Ortega showing up with really improved boxing, Barao giving up the first takedown in 15 fights and me getting rid of my Lamas nsc-hedge and betting Manuwa just because of an ok arbitrage opportunity.
Fuuuck, now I realize what's going on. I just remembered, that a gypsy beggar lady cursed me last Thursday.
 
UFC 214 Net: +1,792.65
JJ -5.5: 105 for 100 - 25 parlays / JJ ITD: 36 parlays / JJ SUB: 7 parlays / JJ RD1: 11 parlays / JJ NSC: 265.50 for 150 - 25 parlay / TIMEOUT: 20 for 42 / NOT DC ITD: 50 parlay
Twood DEC: 20 for 102
/ Twood SPLIT: 12 for 135 / Twood SUB: 6 for 201 / Twood RD1: 15 parlays / Twood RD4: 5 parlays / ITD: 2.50 for 47.25 / maia +2200: 15 for 330 / maia ITD: 21 parlays / maia RD1: 13 parlays / maia RD2: 5 parlays / Maia SPLIT: 8 for 194 / maia NSC: 100 for 176 - 15 parlays
cyborg KO: 100 parlays / Cyborg RD2: 20 for 135 - 23 parlays / cyborg RD3: 5 parlays / O1.5: 15 parlays / evinger +1200: 15 for 180
cowboy: 0 for 95 / cowboy SUB: 125 for 1,570 - 7 parlays / cowboy RD3: 11 parlays
/ cowboy NSC: 15 parlays / DEC: 136.50 for 105 / U2.5: 99.80 for 90 - 25 parlays
manuwa -160: 160 for 100 - 25 parlay / manuwa RD2: 6 parlays / manuwa RD3: 10 parlays / O2.0: 15 parlays / O1.5: 15 parlays

lamas -101: 250 for 247 - 25 parlays / lamas DEC: 21 parlays / lamas KO: 20 for 254 - 5 parlays / knight SUB: 30 for 234.30 - 7 parlays
barao +127: 150 for 191.14 - 25 parlays / barao DEC: 36 parlays
/ O2.5: 25 parlay / sterling NSC: 50 for 130
ortega +163: 300 for 490 - 15 parlays / ortega ITD: 21 parlays / ortega SUB: 40 for 224 - 7 parlays / ortega RD3: 15 for 270 - 16 parlays / ortega NSC: 352.50 for 250 - 50 parlay / O2.5: 67.50 for 50 / NOT moicano DEC: 25 parlays
kattar +155: 50 for 77.50 / DEC: 54 for 30
/ fili: 25 parlay / fili ITD: 15 parlays / fili RD2: 5 parlays / fili RD3: 11 for 99 - 16 parlays
curran DEC: 21 parlays
/ curran +3.5: 50 for 40
shelton +133: 200 for 265 - 40 parlays / shelton DEC: 36 parlays / shelton ITD: 7 parlays / shelton SUB: 20 for 178 - 5 parlays / shelton RD3: 5 parlays / shelton NSC: 115 for 100 / U2.5: 0 for 1.65
dober -165: 206.25 for 125 / dober ITD: 15 parlays / dober RD1: 7 parlays / dober RD3: 5 parlays
props
FOTN: knight-lamas: 10 for 70
parlays
50 for 59.71: NOTDCITD/ cyborgKO/ ortegaNSC
25 for 40.22 jonesNSC/ cyborgKO/ baraosterlingO2.5

25 for 37.08 cyborgKO/ manuwa/ fili
50 RR for (paid -32.44) 313.68: jones-5.5/ cowboyrobbieU2.5/ lamas/ barao/ NOTcarnDEC/ shelton
49 RR for 1,821.94: jonesITD/ maiaITD/ lamasDEC/ baraoDEC/ ortegaITD/ curranDEC/ sheltonDEC

35 RR for (paid +7.48) 1,593.13: jonesITD/ twoodRD1/ evingercyborgO1.5/ cowboyITD/ oezmanuwaO2.0/ sheltonDEC/ doberITD
35 RR for (paid -32.55) 475.75: maiaNSC/ cowboyNSC/ manuwaoezO1.5/ baraoDEC/ ortega/ filiTD/ shelton
28 RR for (paid +2.25) 1,171.45: jonesSUB/ maiaRD1/ cyborgRD2/ cowboySUB/ knightSUB/ ortegaSUB/ sheltonITD/ doberRD1
21 RR for 2,193.25: jonesRD1/ maiaRD1/ cyborgRD2/ cowboyRD3/ manuwaRD2/ ortegaRD3/ filiRD3
15 RR for 1,853.07: JJRD1/ maiaRD2/ cyborgRD3/ manuwaRD3/ filiRD3/ sheltonSUB
15 RR for 1,943.18: TwoodRD4/ cyborgRD2/ cowboyRD3/ manuwaRD3/ ortegaRD3/ filiRD2

15 RR for (paid +200.78) 2,438.80: cyborgRD2/ lamasKO/ ortegaRD3/ filiRD3/ sheltonRD3/ doberRD3
---

hits just keep on comin' :)

+60 units last 3 weeks.. about 20 per week, that's better than i hope for, generally!

if cyborg got the rd 2 finish it would've been another.. idk, 700?

if shelton didn't get robbed, it would've been another... idk, 1500? (yes, really.. including external shit besides standard betting and obviously the RR contributions)

i.
love.
ortega.

I'm still confused as to how you guys win big and I am losing all the time. Like in general my win/loss percentage on tapology is around 65% which is not half bad. It seems maybe the key is parlay betting with specific outcomes
 
I'm still confused as to how you guys win big and I am losing all the time. Like in general my win/loss percentage on tapology is around 65% which is not half bad. It seems maybe the key is parlay betting with specific outcomes

The round robins? Definitely not the key. I think I'm close to even on 2017 on them. (Up a bit).. been close to some huge paydays and haven't gotten there

My success comes from winning the big ones. I still bet practically every televised fight etc... But my style is to go bigger when I see more value in a line

I get tonnnnnssss of bets wrong. The key is winning the biggies and (hopefully) minimizing losses.

I.e. I was ok cowboy, cowboy sub, and U2.5 prefight, but I managed to only lose a little due to live bets on Lawler and goes 3 when the price / situation dictated it

But prefight sometimes I'll play both sides in a fight because I feel I'll get a rebate if my main bet loses , etc.. it's ALL About bet sizing and price(timing)
 
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