Your Official UFC 212 Bets

first run

0.33u holloway DEC +300
0.75u holloway-aldo O4.5 -150

1.45u gadelha NSC -145
0.5u kowalkiewicz DEC +472

1.5u moyle +130

0.75u lopez -150
 
$12.92/$225.80
Pereira/Moyle over 2.5 -275
Assuncao by decision +249
Guadelha/KK over 2.5 -340
Aldo by decision +200

$56/$101
Alexander Gustafson -310 win
Aldo/halloway over 4.5 -155
Guadelha/karolina over 2.5 -335

$33/$88
Check Kongo -290 win
Rory McDonald -330 win
Guadelha/karolina over 2.5 -335
Aldo/halloway over 4.5 -165

$14/$102.60
Golden state -11.5 -155 win
Cleveland -2 -140 win
Always dreaming no triple crown -400 win
Guadelha/karolina goes to dec -280
Aldo -135

$16.20/$100.79
Golden state beats Cleveland -190
Gadelha by decision -140
Aldo by decision +176
 
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270 to win 200 on Aldo

150 to win 240 on Aldo by decision
 
image.jpeg The cobra strikes again

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While it's nice having action on every fight, it's just not healthy on the br, I've been forcing too many plays. Playing this one conservatively, I won't be able to watch this event nor the next live which will make it easier.


Aldo -130 4.5u
Aldo DEC +190 1.5u
Aldo unan DEC +295 .5u

Medeiros -110 1.1u

Eduardo +140 .5u
Eduardo/Lopez O2.5 -115 1u

Moyle -105 2.1u

Moyle/Pereira O2.5 -280 + Gadehla -300 3u for 2.5u

Moyle/Pereira O2.5 -280 + Shoeface -230 2u for 1.9u
 
Nothing sticks out to me as amazing value yet for this card, so I’m pretty much keeping everything down to single unit plays to not over-expose myself.


Marco Beltran… 1 unit to win 1.38 units

Johnny Eduardo… 1 unit to win 1.68 units

Viviane Periera… 1 unit to win 0.91 units

Holloway/Aldo Over 4.5… 1.51 units to win 1 unit

Moyle/Perreira O2.5 + Moraes/Assuncao O2.5… 1 unit to win 1.22 units

Jose Aldo… 1 unit to win 0.91 units
 
10u Gadelha/Aldo @2.67
1.1u Medieros @1.91
1u Chagas/Iuri/Shoeface/Vitor R1 @6.5
 
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first run

0.33u holloway DEC +300
0.75u holloway-aldo O4.5 -150

1.45u gadelha NSC -145
0.5u kowalkiewicz DEC +472

1.5u moyle +130

0.75u lopez -150

added:

1u marquardt +123

0.5u silva +100

0.875u moraes-assuncao DEC -175

0.5u bamgbose +275

feels like i'm reaching this week... think my hot streak will come to an abrupt and untimely end...
 
$12 to win $75.60
Marquardt win
Assuncao win

$20 to win $70.98
Rory Macdonald win
Gadelha win
Holloway win

$25 to win $52.50
Holloway win
 
edole is yuge on Joe Say

View attachment 233865
Ill800 is more huga on josay

Aldo ml 9 units to win almost 7

Parlay with juicer gadelha 3 for 3.8

Ud Aldo + sub gadelha .5 for 20.5
SAUCEY!

Ud Aldo dec juicy G .7 for 4.5

Aldo ud 1 for 3

Aldo dec juicy G dec 1.3 for 5.75

More to come!
 
3u - Aldo ML @ 1.89
5u - Gadelha ML @ 1.37
3u - Shoeface ML @ 1.49
2u - Assunção ML @ 2.50

2u - Aldo ML + Gadelha ML + Shoeface ML + Assunção ML @ 9.64
 
Aldo -130 4.5u
Aldo/Holloway O4.5 -155 1u
Aldo DEC +190 1.5u
Aldo unan DEC +295 .5u

Gadehla SUB +940 .3u

Marquardt KO +280 .5u

Medeiros -110 1.1u

Shoeface KO +600 .2u

Eduardo +165 1u
Eduardo NSC +138 .5u
Eduardo/Lopez O2.5 -115 1u

Kelleher +270 .5u

Moyle -105 2.1u
Moyle DEC +157 .5u

Wallhead RD3 +2175 .1u

Beltran/Deiveson O1.5 -170 1.7u


Moyle/Pereira O2.5 -275 + Gadehla -270 + Shoeface -225 2u for 3.3u

Moyle/Pereira O2.5 -280 + Gadehla -300 3u for 2.5u

Moyle/Pereira O2.5 -280 + Shoeface -230 2u for 1.9u

Gadehla -300 + Shoeface -230 2u for 1.8u


More plays than I wanted, wish I passed on the Eduardo fight. Will be buying out a unit from Moyle if the line shifts enough. Also planning on playing the ME as FOTN rather large, and decision overs starting at 6.

Going on vacation June 2-11 so I'll have to catch up on this and the NZ event when I get back. Already watched tape for the NZ fights I'm interested in so I won't miss any opportunities
 
Vitor + Iuri + Chagas + Beltran/Deiveso O1,5 $300 to win $1200
Aldo + Vitor + Shoeface + Iuri $300 to win $1500
Borrachinha + Erick + Pereira $245 to win $1200
Karolina + Eduardo $108 to win $840
Iuri + Pereira + Chagas + Beltran $140 to win $920
 
4u Jose Aldo -150
2u Jose Aldo DEC +175
2u Fight goes the distance -138
 
UFC 212 Risk: 1,203
holloway +130: 100 for 130 / holloway DEC: 33 for 99 / O4.5: 75 for 50 / aldo
KK DEC: 50 for 236 / gadelha NSC: 145 for 100
marquardt +123: 100 for 123 / marq RD2: 15 for 131.25 / marq RD3: 10 for 170 / belfort
bamgbose +275: 50 for 137.50 / RD1: 92.50 for 50 / costa
silva +115: 100 for 115 / silva DEC: 25 for 120 / medeiros
moraes-assuncao DEC: 87.50 for 50
junior KO: 50 for 300 / spicely SUB: 25 for 121.25
lopez -150: 75 for 50 / eduardo
alcantara-kelleher: idk
moyle +130: 150 for 195 / moyle sub: 10 for 95 / pereira
wallhead RD3: 10 for 217.50 / chagas
beltran-alcantra: idk
props
parlays
---

this is not gonna be a big ufc for me.
 
5u Aldo/Max O4,5 + KK/GD O2,5 @2.22

I think this is going to be all for this night
 
Borrachinha + Carlos Junior 2u
José Aldo 1u
 
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