Your Official UFC 204 Bets
- Thread starter EzFlyer
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added:
0.65u roberts -130
0.15u roberts DEC +575
0.3u bisping 3/4/5 basically net around +300ish
0.1u bisping SUB +1800
0.15u belfort RD1 +700
0.15u manuwa DEC +1015
0.1u font DEC +750
0.2u omielanczuk DEC +485
0.94u NOT struve ITD =157
0.33u edwards DEC +431
0.4u martins-santos DEC +120
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more props!
0.1u sajewski sub +1000
0.575u doane-bektic ITD -115
0.25u bektic SUB +615
0.1u bektic RD3 +1025
0.06u doane RD1 +1600
0.1u santos dec +480
0.1u (now 0.5u) santos-martins dec +120
0.06u roberts RD3 +1275
0.25u roberts SUB +397
0.3u perry RD1 +250
0.5u edwards NSC +383
0.25u edwards SUB +1545
0.98u entwistle-font RD1 -151
0.15u struve sub +720
0.1u grant RD3 +1100
0.5u pickett +145 (this is a small hedge to my 2.6u -130 alcantara, so now it's 1.875u alcantara -125)
0.1u sajewski sub +1000
0.575u doane-bektic ITD -115
0.25u bektic SUB +615
0.1u bektic RD3 +1025
0.06u doane RD1 +1600
0.1u santos dec +480
0.1u (now 0.5u) santos-martins dec +120
0.06u roberts RD3 +1275
0.25u roberts SUB +397
0.3u perry RD1 +250
0.5u edwards NSC +383
0.25u edwards SUB +1545
0.98u entwistle-font RD1 -151
0.15u struve sub +720
0.1u grant RD3 +1100
0.5u pickett +145 (this is a small hedge to my 2.6u -130 alcantara, so now it's 1.875u alcantara -125)
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Wager (sort by time)
Risk Win
Manuwa wins by decision +600 1 unit
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Michael Bisping ML (-240)
Davey Grant ML (-170)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Stefan Struve ML (-180)
Davey Grant ML (-170)
2 Team - Parlay 5 units
Michael Bisping ML (-240)
Gegard Mousasi ML (-330)
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Albert Tumenov ML (-250)
Danny Roberts ML (-135)
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Gegard Mousasi ML (-315)
Davey Grant ML (-170)
Risk Win
Manuwa wins by decision +600 1 unit
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Michael Bisping ML (-240)
Davey Grant ML (-170)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Stefan Struve ML (-180)
Davey Grant ML (-170)
2 Team - Parlay 5 units
Michael Bisping ML (-240)
Gegard Mousasi ML (-330)
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15U Bisping + Mousasi @1.91
3U over 2.5 Jimi/OSP @2.35
3U Roberts @1.77
3U Grant/Tumenov parlay @ 2.15
I really think this is a very favourite heavy card, I don't think more than 3 dogs cash.
Typically I do not wager more than 3U per bet, this is absolutely huge for me. If I lose then I will have lost nearly half my yearly winnings in the last 3 weeks (have lost last two weeks, -7.5U).
This is my first year of betting, started in March and broke my bankroll down into 45 units, I now have 101 units. I only mention this because 15U for me is more than it is to most and 15 units for anyone is huge. I have done two other monster bets like this and both have cashed.
What is money management?
3U over 2.5 Jimi/OSP @2.35
3U Roberts @1.77
3U Grant/Tumenov parlay @ 2.15
I really think this is a very favourite heavy card, I don't think more than 3 dogs cash.
Typically I do not wager more than 3U per bet, this is absolutely huge for me. If I lose then I will have lost nearly half my yearly winnings in the last 3 weeks (have lost last two weeks, -7.5U).
This is my first year of betting, started in March and broke my bankroll down into 45 units, I now have 101 units. I only mention this because 15U for me is more than it is to most and 15 units for anyone is huge. I have done two other monster bets like this and both have cashed.
What is money management?
Added 2 units on Davey Grant. I really feel like he controls all 15 minutes of this fight.
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Added .8U on OSP -155.
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$20 for OSP & Belfort to win @$5.76 = $115.20
$20 on Grant to win in rd3 & Struve/Omie fight to finish in KO @$28 = $560
$20 on Bisping to win and Manuwa to win on points @$10.65 = $213
$60 on Alcantara / Tumenov / Roberts to win @$3.73 = $223.80
$20 on Grant to win in rd3 & Struve/Omie fight to finish in KO @$28 = $560
$20 on Bisping to win and Manuwa to win on points @$10.65 = $213
$60 on Alcantara / Tumenov / Roberts to win @$3.73 = $223.80
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I'm in Vegas right now and I don't bet often but here goes. 
- Joined
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UFC 204 Risk: 1,887.45
bisping -210: 210 for 100 - 50 parlay / bisping SUB: 10 for 180 / bisping RD3: 25 for 165 / bisping RD4: 15 for 155 / bisping RD5: 10 for 156.25 / hendo
belfort SUB: 5 for 90 / belfort RD1: 15 for 105 / mousasi
manuwa DEC: 15 for 152.25 / DEC: 30 for 105 / O1.5: 50 for 67.50 / OSP DEC: 20 for 150
omielanczuk DEC: 20 for 97 / omie NSC: 35 for 59.50 / NOT struve ITD: 94.20 for 60 / struve SUB: 15 for 108
bektic sub: 25 FOR 153.75 / bektic RD3: 10 for 102.50 / ITD: 57.50 for 50 / doane RD1: 6 for 96
alcantara -125: 187.50 for 150 / pickett
font DEC: 10 for 75 / RD1: 98.15 for 65 / entwistle
grant RD3: 9 for 99 / stasiak
edwards DEC: 33 for 142.23 / edwards SUB: 25 for 386.25 / edwards +3.5: 60 for 93 / edwards NSC: 50 for 191.50 / NOT tumenov ITD: 82.80 for 60
roberts -135: 337.50 for 250 / roberts DEC: 15 for 86.25 / roberts SUB: 25 for 99.25 / roberts RD3: 6 for 76.50 / U1.5: 50.80 for 40 / perry RD1: 30 for 75
santos dec: 10 FOR 48 / DEC: 50 for 60 / martins
sajewski SUB: 10 for 100 / diakiese
props
DEC O5.5: 22 for 68.42
DEC O6.5: 5 for 43.45
DEC O7.5: 2 for 56
DEC O8.5: 1 for 135
SUB O2.5: 20 for 40.20
SUB O3.5: 7 for 43.40
SUB O4.5: 2 for 4320
SUB O5.5: 1 for 92.50
draws: 20 for 1,402.50
parlays
50 for 54.43: bisping -235 & makhachev-wade O2.5 -210 (ufn 94)
---
i'll update one more time tomorrow, prolly after throwing away a couple hundy on some dumb RR's
bisping -210: 210 for 100 - 50 parlay / bisping SUB: 10 for 180 / bisping RD3: 25 for 165 / bisping RD4: 15 for 155 / bisping RD5: 10 for 156.25 / hendo
belfort SUB: 5 for 90 / belfort RD1: 15 for 105 / mousasi
manuwa DEC: 15 for 152.25 / DEC: 30 for 105 / O1.5: 50 for 67.50 / OSP DEC: 20 for 150
omielanczuk DEC: 20 for 97 / omie NSC: 35 for 59.50 / NOT struve ITD: 94.20 for 60 / struve SUB: 15 for 108
bektic sub: 25 FOR 153.75 / bektic RD3: 10 for 102.50 / ITD: 57.50 for 50 / doane RD1: 6 for 96
alcantara -125: 187.50 for 150 / pickett
font DEC: 10 for 75 / RD1: 98.15 for 65 / entwistle
grant RD3: 9 for 99 / stasiak
edwards DEC: 33 for 142.23 / edwards SUB: 25 for 386.25 / edwards +3.5: 60 for 93 / edwards NSC: 50 for 191.50 / NOT tumenov ITD: 82.80 for 60
roberts -135: 337.50 for 250 / roberts DEC: 15 for 86.25 / roberts SUB: 25 for 99.25 / roberts RD3: 6 for 76.50 / U1.5: 50.80 for 40 / perry RD1: 30 for 75
santos dec: 10 FOR 48 / DEC: 50 for 60 / martins
sajewski SUB: 10 for 100 / diakiese
props
DEC O5.5: 22 for 68.42
DEC O6.5: 5 for 43.45
DEC O7.5: 2 for 56
DEC O8.5: 1 for 135
SUB O2.5: 20 for 40.20
SUB O3.5: 7 for 43.40
SUB O4.5: 2 for 4320
SUB O5.5: 1 for 92.50
draws: 20 for 1,402.50
parlays
50 for 54.43: bisping -235 & makhachev-wade O2.5 -210 (ufn 94)
---
i'll update one more time tomorrow, prolly after throwing away a couple hundy on some dumb RR's
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UPDATED
6u Bisping-Hendo ITD @ -350
2u Bisping DEC @ +420
1u Bisping Split/Maj DEC @ +1060
2u Parlay: Moose-Belfort ITD + Tumenov ML @ -115
4u Tumenov ML @ -220
2u OSP-Manuwa Over 1.5 @ +130
2u Parlay: Entwistle-Font Under 1.5 + Tumenov ML @ +105
1u Parlay: Struve + Bektic + Grant @ +175
2u Moose Round 1 @ +165
1u Moose Round 2 @ +350
.5u Bektic Submission @ +500
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FINAL:
Main Bets
10u Bisping-Hendo ITD @ -200
5u Bisping + Mousasi-Vitor ITD @ -118
4u Roberts @ -137
2u Bektic-Doane ITD @ +110
Round Robins
2u to win 8.9u Bisping KO/TKO + Mousasi-Vitor under 1.5 + OSP-Manuwa over 1.5 + Edwards-Tumenov over 1.5
Total Risk
23u
--
Let's fucking go.
Main Bets
10u Bisping-Hendo ITD @ -200
5u Bisping + Mousasi-Vitor ITD @ -118
4u Roberts @ -137
2u Bektic-Doane ITD @ +110
Round Robins
2u to win 8.9u Bisping KO/TKO + Mousasi-Vitor under 1.5 + OSP-Manuwa over 1.5 + Edwards-Tumenov over 1.5
Total Risk
23u
--
Let's fucking go.
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Grant + Tumenov + Struve + Manuwa OSP o 1.5 + Moose 0.5 units @ +800
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- Sep 2, 2015
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2u Bisping -222
2u Grant -189 (+Cancelled Guchi/Bagau O2.5)
1.5u Struve/Omielanczuk O1.5 -133
1u Manuwa +162
1u Manuwa/StPreux O1.5 +137
1u Font -303 (+Cancelled Guchi/Bagau O2.5)
0.5u Edwards dec +400
0.5u Struve dec +300
0.35u Mousasi dec +450
0.3u Manuwa dec +700
0.2u Henderson r1 +550
0.2u Henderson r2 +1200
0.1u Henderson r3 +2000
0.1u Bisping r4 +1600
0.1u Bisping r5 +2200
3u Mousasi ML + Nelson ML -152
1.5u Struve ML + Santos/Martins O1.5 +146
1u Bisping ML + Wade/Makhachev O2.5 +112
1u Bisping ML + Barao ML -122
1u Bisping ML + Canada ML (WC) -122
1u Mousasi ML + Formiga/Ortiz O2.5 -105
*EDIT* Added:
0.15u Grant r3 +2500
0.10u Roberts r3 +1600
2u Alcantara -125
2u Grant -189 (+Cancelled Guchi/Bagau O2.5)
1.5u Struve/Omielanczuk O1.5 -133
1u Manuwa +162
1u Manuwa/StPreux O1.5 +137
1u Font -303 (+Cancelled Guchi/Bagau O2.5)
0.5u Edwards dec +400
0.5u Struve dec +300
0.35u Mousasi dec +450
0.3u Manuwa dec +700
0.2u Henderson r1 +550
0.2u Henderson r2 +1200
0.1u Henderson r3 +2000
0.1u Bisping r4 +1600
0.1u Bisping r5 +2200
3u Mousasi ML + Nelson ML -152
1.5u Struve ML + Santos/Martins O1.5 +146
1u Bisping ML + Wade/Makhachev O2.5 +112
1u Bisping ML + Barao ML -122
1u Bisping ML + Canada ML (WC) -122
1u Mousasi ML + Formiga/Ortiz O2.5 -105
*EDIT* Added:
0.15u Grant r3 +2500
0.10u Roberts r3 +1600
2u Alcantara -125
Last edited:
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Total
1.8u Bisping via KO/TKO @ 2.00
1.125u Struve/Daniel o1.5 + Tumenov/Edwards o1.5 @ 2.33
1.125u OSP/Manuwa o1.5 @ 2.23
1.125u Perry/Roberts o1.5 @ 2.30
0.375u Santos ML @ 2.63
0.25u Perry ML @ 2.20
0.25u Struve via 3rd round finish @ 11.00
0.5u Struve/Daniel o1.5 + Santos/Martins o1.5 @ 2.44
0.5u Bektic/Doane o1.5 + Pocket/Alcantara o2.5 @ 2.29
0.375u Picket via DEC @ 3.25
0.00125u Doane via DEC @ 11.00
1.8u Bisping via KO/TKO @ 2.00
1.125u Struve/Daniel o1.5 + Tumenov/Edwards o1.5 @ 2.33
1.125u OSP/Manuwa o1.5 @ 2.23
1.125u Perry/Roberts o1.5 @ 2.30
0.375u Santos ML @ 2.63
0.25u Perry ML @ 2.20
0.25u Struve via 3rd round finish @ 11.00
0.5u Struve/Daniel o1.5 + Santos/Martins o1.5 @ 2.44
0.5u Bektic/Doane o1.5 + Pocket/Alcantara o2.5 @ 2.29
0.375u Picket via DEC @ 3.25
0.00125u Doane via DEC @ 11.00
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.5u OSP Decision +640
1u Mousasi Decision +650
.5u Tumenov Decision +225
1u Sajewski +250
2u Alcantara -130
.1u Henderson Round 3 +1700
.5u Alcantara Decision +323
.15u RR (by 3s) & Parlay: OSP Dec +495/Mousasi Dec +650/Tumenov Dec +225/Sajewski +250/Alcantara -130/Jedrzejczyk -350/Clinton & Trump Say Trillion Under 10.5 times -135
Kind of a fun card for dumb parlays on props where I like the odds.
1u Mousasi Decision +650
.5u Tumenov Decision +225
1u Sajewski +250
2u Alcantara -130
.1u Henderson Round 3 +1700
.5u Alcantara Decision +323
.15u RR (by 3s) & Parlay: OSP Dec +495/Mousasi Dec +650/Tumenov Dec +225/Sajewski +250/Alcantara -130/Jedrzejczyk -350/Clinton & Trump Say Trillion Under 10.5 times -135
Kind of a fun card for dumb parlays on props where I like the odds.
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