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Ngannou believed his own hype and had a bad performance, but I would hardly think that he would be the favourite against Goodridge (as much as I like the guy). No Ngannous doesn't have the technical defense like Cro Cop, but he has an iron chin. I'm with you on that Fedor would be a clear favourite going into the fight, but underestimating someone is a sure way to lose.Fedor fought massive brawlers and well I would also favor Gary Goodridge against Nganou.
Speed kills especially when its combined with power like Fedor had. Ngannou doesnt have a technical defense game like prime Arlovski or Crocop to nullify that at least to a point and make Fedor pay.
I'm 100% sure no one would have said that Goodridge was a favourite over Ngannou before the Stipe fight. We don't know his full potential yet, let's see if he can perform better if he has the right mentality.