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Not sure its fair to say that. He looked tired in the Stipe fight, but he fought like a dummy and got sucked into a fight where he was defensive wrestling the whole time. Against Blaydes he didn't seem to gas at all.
True. But Blaydes is ok fighting a slow paced fight with a lot of feints and looking for opportunities. BB isn't usually that patient. And because BB is so hittable and Ngannou probably will have success landing early, Francis likely isn't going to be able to help going for the finish. Odds are he gets it imo, but if not I'd bet he's tired after rd 1.