UFN 126 - Cowboy vs Medeiros - Austin

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 27, 2018.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. MidgardSerpent

    MidgardSerpent Brown Belt

    Joined:
    May 30, 2006
    Messages:
    4,526
    Likes Received:
    1,927
    Location:
    Holland
    There might not be a tko/ko loss next to his name against Brazilian Cowboy and Trinaldo, but you could easily make the argument Yancy took similar damage as Cerrone in his tko/ko losses, if not more so. Those were beatings where Yancy took huge shots all throughout both fights. But obviously coming off 3 official wins your mindset is better than coming off 3 losses....
     
    Agent Mulder, Bless, Stunna77 and 2 others like this.
  2. Shoulder

    Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,779
    Likes Received:
    1,661
    Location:
    Sweden
    Isn’t the fact that Cowboy doesn’t watch take something his coaches compensate by watching twice as much? I remember reading that they do all the background work and Cerrone just drills the answers to what they find on tape. So Cowboy doesn’t need to watch tape, and he never has.

    I think they said Jon Jones watches as much as his coaches, while Cowboy just wants his people to tell him what will happen.
     
  3. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,309
    Likes Received:
    1,343
    Yeah. I'm gonna put a small hedge with the KO1 for Yancy, but I don't see how Yancy takes this unless Cowboy's 100% done.
     
    Stunna77 likes this.
  4. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    1,999
    Likes Received:
    2,921
    Couldn't sum it up any better, I was more than happy to get 2u down on Cowboy at -120. Will also look to play Cowboy by sub as he is levels above there. Could see him hitting a reactive double on an aggressive Yancy and quickly subbing him or a club and sub. If Yancy does starch Cerrone , than I will be on board the Cerrone is done train, but until he starts losing to non-elite opponents, I can't jump on yet.
     
    Agent Mulder and t6p like this.
  5. AxeMurderer

    AxeMurderer Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 23, 2016
    Messages:
    464
    Likes Received:
    530
    Throw in that Yancy took quite a beating, in a winning effort, but a beating just the same, not too long ago. The body can only take so much damage before it gives out. I don’t think his body can take another war so soon and that is how I see him having to do to win.
     
  6. NorthernLights

    NorthernLights Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2017
    Messages:
    671
    Likes Received:
    1,092
    This is pretty much how I've been doing my capping so far in 2018. Not too much tape watching, I just want my people to tell me what will happen! Confidence increase Cowboy.
     
  7. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    1,999
    Likes Received:
    2,921
    Yancy takes a lot of punishment in most fights. The amount of flush power shots he took in the Trinaldo fight was obscene.
     
  8. MacPherson911

    MacPherson911 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2014
    Messages:
    835
    Likes Received:
    373
    Location:
    parts unknown
    Fransisco Trindaldo getting some serious disrespect at +190...am I underestimating Vick or what?
     
    Stunna77 likes this.
  9. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2016
    Messages:
    483
    Likes Received:
    529
    Location:
    Sofia
    +190??? Vick has beaten noone in the division, why is this respect for him? At first glance i am picking Trinaldo at this price for sure, he is 39, but he has won against some good fighters - Miller, Felder, Medeiros and Pearson. Only loss in 9 bouts is from Kevin Lee. At the same time Vick`s best win is Jospeh Duffy :D
     
  10. NorthernLights

    NorthernLights Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2017
    Messages:
    671
    Likes Received:
    1,092
    People do tend to underestimate Vick in my opinion, but at this price brazilian grandpa is the right side
     
  11. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,309
    Likes Received:
    1,343
    Books seem to underrate Trinaldo. He was like -160 against Miller recently, though I guess it stops them being completely blind-sided by the fight where Trinaldo just gets too old. I think Vick wins this one, but +190's a good price for Trinaldo here. Honestly don't get why they're booking Vick into Trinaldo, I'd rather see Vick against a Pettis or another fringe top 15 dude.
     
    lifeisgood12345 likes this.
  12. Wiktoruspro

    Wiktoruspro Green Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2017
    Messages:
    1,417
    Likes Received:
    821
    Duffy is no joke
     
  13. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    2,780
    Likes Received:
    4,207
    Pettis is #13 and Trin is #14. With Vick at #12 and both he and Trin coming off wins, I think it makes sense. Pettis is 1-4 in his last 5 fights at LW.
     
    Stunna77 likes this.
  14. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,309
    Likes Received:
    1,343
    He's not a top 15 LW and likely never will be. He's definitely UFC caliber, but he's not exactly a cornerstone win.
     
    2bet likes this.
  15. vkram

    vkram Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    4,501
    Likes Received:
    1,975
  16. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 1, 2016
    Messages:
    3,262
    Likes Received:
    2,787
    Cashed out my 3u on Yancy before bet365 changed the odds, looks like a lot of money will come in on Cerrone, maybe can get +170-200 before fight night
     
  17. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 1, 2016
    Messages:
    3,262
    Likes Received:
    2,787
    Fuck missing out on easy money on Souza
     
  18. MacPherson911

    MacPherson911 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2014
    Messages:
    835
    Likes Received:
    373
    Location:
    parts unknown
    yeah and even worse is we can't trust Aguilar over some low level Invicta replacement as parlay fodder.
     
  19. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 24, 2012
    Messages:
    492
    Likes Received:
    279
    Betsafe odds (probably similar to 5d)
     

    Attached Files:

  20. rille31

    rille31 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    3,483
    Likes Received:
    1,641
    Location:
    sweden
    Is this on a sunday?
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page