UFN 126 - Cowboy vs Medeiros - Austin

[TheOneTrueKing]

Dimes opened -125, was at -195 within about 15 seconds. Managed to get 4u on the opener.

did dimes pretty much just copy all the openers on sportsbook then?

 

[Sadistics]

did dimes pretty much just copy all the openers on sportsbook then?

All except for the Northcutt line which opened -195 vs Sportsbooks -215. Still waiting on dimes to release 2 more fights

 

[NinjaCat456]

the real line is where the public takes them. wisdom of crowds and all that. opener means very little v quickly. eg sadistic example above

Catching good opening lines matters if you like making money.

 

[TheOneTrueKing]

Catching good opening lines matters if you like making money.

good for roi. and a bit of easy money. but if you want a decent clip down it aint that big a deal. at least once the bookie is onto you its not a big deal

 

[Card]

Short Notice:
- Brandon Davis (in for Humberto Bandenay) vs. Steven Peterson [0 days notice]
- James Vick vs. Francisco Trinaldo [announced 5 weeks ago]
- Thiago Alves vs. Curtis Millender [announced 3 weeks ago]
- Jared Gordon vs. Diego Ferreira [announced 5 weeks ago]
- Geoff Neal vs. Brian Camozzi [announced 5 weeks ago]
- Sarah Moras vs. Lucie Pudilova [announced 6 weeks ago]
- Oskar Piechota vs. Tim Williams [announced 4 weeks ago]
- Joshua Burkman vs. Alex Morono [announced 1 week ago]

Ring Rust:
- Derrick Lewis 248 days
- Carlos Diego Ferreira 744 days (Failed Drug Test) vs. Trujillo in 2016
- Lucie Pudilova 240 days
- Tim Williams 359 days

Returning from TKO loss:
- Donald Cerrone TKOed by Till in Oct
- Derrick Lewis TKOed by Hunt in June
- Brian Camozzi TKOed by Laprise in July
- Josh Burkman TKOed by Dober in July

 

[Card]

Guys from Texas:
- Derrick Lewis
- Sage Northcutt
- James Vick
- Geoffrey Neal
- Roberto Sanchez
- Carlos Diego Ferreira
- Alex Morono
- Steven Peterson

 

[Reign Supreme]

Catching good opening lines matters if you like making money.

This is why I don't like Bookmaker they release the lines and props so late

 

[mposhtkouhi]

Fights I like and how I see them ending. I will post my bets once all the odds are up lost money last 2 events time for a turnaround!!!!!

WIlliams-decision
Morono-Decision
Davis-Decision
Moras-Decision
Joby Sanchez-Decision
Neal-Ko2
Gordon-Decision
Northcutt-Decision
Alves-Decision
Lewis-ko1
Medieros-Ko3

Im also excited to see prop bets for 0 subs and 8 decisions if its over+500 ill bet it

 

[El Jefe The Don]

After watching tape on Yancy and Cowboy, both are too damn hittable and even rockable. I'd have to have at least 4:1 on my money to choose a side. It's like whoever connects first wins.

 

[piglord]

After watching tape on Yancy and Cowboy, both are too damn hittable and even rockable. I'd have to have at least 4:1 on my money to choose a side. It's like whoever connects first wins.

if you think it goes that way, why not take the more durable guy at + money?

 

[El Jefe The Don]

if you think it goes that way, why not take the more durable guy at + money?

As I said, I want 4:1.

 

[Omni1]

Why haven't the last 2 fights been released yet? Both fights get cancelled? Or does the new guy still not know WTF he is doing?

 

[iGnP]

As I said, I want 4:1.

It's probably better for you to pass but if you really feel as though this is a coin flip fight, betting Yancy at + odds is +EV

 

[Omni1]

It's probably better for you to pass but if you really feel as though this is a coin flip fight, betting Yancy at + odds is +EV

Was going to say the same thing. However, maybe he has an intuitive feeling that his assessment may not be correct & he just prefers to pass.

 

[vkram]

I actually thought that Brandon Davis beat Kyle Bochniak. He didn't fight the smartest fight so there is also room for improvement. I believe it was said on the broadcast that he had a knee/leg injury coming into the fight so who knows if it has healed in less than a month.

 

[Sadistics]

I actually thought that Brandon Davis beat Kyle Bochniak. He didn't fight the smartest fight so there is also room for improvement. I believe it was said on the broadcast that he had a knee/leg injury coming into the fight so who knows if it has healed in less than a month.

He had a hip injury during camp for that fight so couldn't train properly but it was mostly healed by fight time.

 

[vkram]

He had a hip injury during camp for that fight so couldn't train properly but it was mostly healed by fight time.

Yeah that’s it. Hopefully it won’t affect him in this fight/training camp.

 

[piglord]

i can't find that fight on fightpass. how did davis' gastank look against bochniak? i saw him slow down in some of his pre-ufc footage and this is on short notice.

 

[Sadistics]

i can't find that fight on fightpass. how did davis' gastank look against bochniak? i saw him slow down in some of his pre-ufc footage and this is on short notice.

Search the event and skip to that fight. The cardio looked fine against Bochniak.

 

[DevilsAvocado]

As I said, I want 4:1.

I sense a solid maths background and a great understanding of EV