UFN 125 - Anders vs Machida - Brazil

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 27, 2018.

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  1. arrelione

    arrelione Member of the YES!!! Revolution

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    Santos dec +700 is off imo, hitting that small
     
  2. Caicara

    Caicara Purple Belt

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    I'm confident but it doesn't pay a lot, that's why I'm small.

    I'm a big numbers man
     
  3. NewcastleTom

    NewcastleTom Purple Belt

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    Wow and it's only been a month - Max Holloway's UFC 222 withdrawal marks the SIXTH main or co-main event change to the UFC calendar so far in 2018.
     
  4. Gambling Man

    Gambling Man Orange Belt

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    Do you think Santos is more of a lock tonight than when he fought Spicely?
     
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  5. MidgardSerpent

    MidgardSerpent Brown Belt

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    So few bets for me for this card, least stake this whole year so far. Only have Machida/Anders starts round 2 @-138 and Machida nsc @+324 right now. Maybe will bet Golm NOT itd @-139. Also maybe Shev DEC or starts round 2 (-225) ?
     
  6. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    no such thing as a lock but i believe the spicely fight was an aberration. just as well because he would be unplayable tonight if his only loss in recent years was to mousasi.
     
  7. MidgardSerpent

    MidgardSerpent Brown Belt

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  8. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

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    I tend to agree. That's the thing too, when a guy is -400 the prevailing thought is that they almost "can't lose". But if the odds are actually a true reflection of the fight, that guy is gonna lose 20% of the time. There's variance, weird stuff happens.

    Also, at least stylistically, this fight is way different. Smith most likely will stand and bang, which is what Santos wants.
     
  9. Dooze

    Dooze Purple Belt

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    How long until this event starts?

    I ended up drinking expecting to go out tonight but plans fell through. Might get some drunk MMA gambling on the go instead if I can say awake.

    I like Iuri as a pick em, Means if his odds get a bit better, Shevchenko decision and maybe Douglas Andrade as a decent dog. Potentially Prazeres as a pick em too.
     
  10. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

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    Soto at evens on 5d. I favor him marginally here, I think he's better than Iuri.

    2u Soto ML at -105.
    Tiny hedge Alcantara sub .15u at +557.
     
  11. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

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    15 min
     
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  12. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

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    someone hammering the Morales line.. i am taking a shot on Figueiredo now at close to evens
     
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  13. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

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    wow Morales went from +140 to evens in a couple minutes :D
     
  14. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

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    Fuck and I'm big on him at -147...
     
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  15. Agent Mulder

    Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Whatsup with the delay btw?
     
  16. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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