man alejandro perez looked worrying, been thinking about pulling the trigger all week now not so sure.
By Giles you mean Mark Perez, right? You had me scratching my head there for a moment.What are the odds Giles gets a submission, dude's got more submission wins than TKO's and I'm liking his Odds at 30 to win 385
I think I might go 50 for him to win by TKO, and 30 for him to win by Submission, and putting 30 on Anders to win by Knockout
I'll have covered any losses that way, I would do the rounds, but I'm not feeling to confident on that, no way to cover the losses there.
I lean Ortega slightly because of finishing ability. He showed a lot of improvement in his last fight, vs moicano.Whaaaaats up people..........
I lean Ortega slightly because of finishing ability. He showed a lot of improvement in his last fight, vs moicano.
Sterling? Idk, fail to see how he decisively beats Moraes
Lawler/Rda card next week is much better for betting imo,
I like Knight/Benitez does not go the distance -110 on BM
i'm very big on cub as i've stated, but man, i had to take some ortega sub +285.. that's how he freakin wins... pseudo hedge...
Fights to end in SUB
O2.5 +105 .4u
O3.5 +319 .2u
O4.5 +929 .1u
O5.5 +2850 .05u
O6.5 +11600 .02u
Could likely see subs from Ortega, Knight, Alex Perez, and Ramos. Then unlikely but possible subs from Morales/Sterling, Markus Perez, Davis, Souk, Alcantara, and Neto.
Swanson should be about -250, Ortega'd already be out of the UFC if he hadn't been pulling off these miracle, low-percentage comebacks. I'd take Guida or Moicano against him in a rematch happily at even money. The Lobov 5-rounder was more a product of the Jackson's gameplan for 5-rounders, along with a case where Swanson dominated him aside from a competitive first round but it's remembered a lot more harshly than it should be since people were expecting a shellacking off the KZ fight.Heres the thing with Swanson, he's 34 years old now, he's slower than he used to be, he's less dangerous, he's on a physical decline. Artem Lobov hit Cub Swanson in the head 80 times and he took him down with a knee tap, that's concerning.
Orgeta is the younger fighter, he's undefeated and he's far more dangerous. Say all you want about Ortega's flaws but the man finds ways to win. Swanson may be the better striker, the better athlete, the better wrestler but he has 5 rounds to make errors and Ortega will capitalise on opportunities.
I just see Swanson ending up on his back in some point of the fight and once Ortega and him are on the ground it will not go well for Swanson. Ortega doesn't even need to take him down, Swanson will throw a cartwheel kick or something and end up on the mat or Ortega might drop him.
Ortega looks better everytime we see him, his striking looked the best it's ever looked last fight. If Artem can land 80 times to the head, I don't see why Ortega can't.
I'm still salty about missing Ortega at +120, thats a great bet. I don't wanna play a beat up line so I'm passing but I'll be surprised if Swanson can pull it off. Ortega clearly the sharp side
Every time you call the over or unders for the fights to go distance event props "dec", it reminds me when we had a rare technical decision in the UFC and it didn't count as one for the over, EZ.
IDK man, I think Ortega's submission game is one the most dangerous in MMA. Ortega is such an opportunist and I just believe Swanson will give him opportunities over the course of 5 rounds.Swanson should be about -250, Ortega'd already be out of the UFC if he hadn't been pulling off these miracle, low-percentage comebacks. I'd take Guida or Moicano against him in a rematch happily at even money. The Lobov 5-rounder was more a product of the Jackson's gameplan for 5-rounders, along with a case where Swanson dominated him aside from a competitive first round but it's remembered a lot more harshly than it should be since people were expecting a shellacking off the KZ fight.
Read your own logic. You're saying Swanson is a better athlete, better striker and better wrestler... but you want to take Ortega to find a miracle comeback kill-shot at even-money? Ortega hasn't shown a huge amount of power in his striking thusfar, and his submission game's being overrated. Moicano panic-wrestled him a gift, and you could see from Moicano's reaction immediately afterwards how much of a brainfart it was. I literally said, immediately after Moic-Ortega, that I'd take Lamas, Aldo, Swanson or any other top FW at -200 against him. Ortega's run is going to be remembered as a weird fluke in a year or two once he goes back to the undercard. I'd take Knight over him as a prospect.
I like Knight/Benitez does not go the distance -110 on BM
Fuck that. Ian McCall pulling out of the Jared Brooks fight was the biggest bullshit ever. If that fight happened and went to a decision which was easily the most likely outcome, I would have won ~$2000 off of $15 from the event over props. Oh yeah, it also voided all the other over event props I would have hit alsofuckin bs!
Yup. Here they are.Fuck that. Ian McCall pulling out of the Jared Brooks fight was the biggest bullshit ever. If that fight happened and went to a decision which was easily the most likely outcome, I would have won ~$2000 off of $15 from the event over props. Oh yeah, it also voided all the other over event props I would have hit also
Also the Dan Omie fight... Fuck Danho. If he would have just manned up and held out instead of pussing out from that light nut shot, I would have won ~$1000 from a 3man big + odd parlay closer