UFN 121 - Werdum vs Tybura - Australia | Page 15

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 28, 2017.

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  1. SBJJ Black Belt

    SBJJ
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    Clean or dirty. Eating nice clean socks ain't no big thing
     
    #281
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  2. Sham5916910 Yellow Card

    Sham5916910
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    Shelton beat two top prospects on tuf and should have got a 3rd round against elliott. He was also robbed against brooks. Hes -350 now but im undecided need to look at benoit and werdum
     
    #282
  3. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    stop
     
    #283
  4. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    -400 suggests complete domination everywhere. Shelton ain't dominating shit. Bibulatov was -400 vs Lausa, that at least made sense. Now Shelton is? GTFO.

    Lausa +3.5 is a winning bet. It's going to dec and I will side bet anyone here that Shelton doesn't get 30-27 on all 3 scorecards.
     
    #284
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  5. lifeisgood12345 Orange Belt

    lifeisgood12345
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    Kinda like how people who didnt bet Bisping are bums? Wish I could learn to be as non-bummy as you
     
    #285
  6. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    Oh no! Please don't bring up my underdog bet that was clearly taking over until he got caught and actually had a chance to win

    I'd hate to have to point out the fact your last bet was on a bum heavyweight @ -300 who got beat by a guy on a 5 fight losing streak while wearing a fucking adult diaper

    [​IMG]
     
    #286
  7. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Just to touch on howard.. he's more of a power puncher and less volume than belal
     
    #287
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  8. Wiktoruspro Orange Belt

    Wiktoruspro
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    Belals volume scares me of to bet Tim Means
     
    #288
  9. SBJJ Black Belt

    SBJJ
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    Man. People really stake their ground on fights.


    It's entirely possible that 2 sides could be sorta right. EZ jumped on Cezar last fight at I think -140 which ended up being a solid bet. But people who hit Nate @ +200 also had good eyes.

    Means could end up winning a pretty comfy 29-28 where someone betting him @ -200 and someone betting Belal @ +200 both made ok bets.

    This shit ain't politics
     
    #289
  10. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Belal backers may be interested in Not Means ITD -155
     
    #290
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  11. Stunna77 Green Belt

    Stunna77
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    100% agree, meant that Howard came in looking to try to get inside and wrestle, similar to belal. Definitely different approach to their striking games.
     
    #291
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  12. lifeisgood12345 Orange Belt

    lifeisgood12345
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    I got him at -242 for tiny money bc limits were painfully low. Crushed the closing line and lost exactly 0.6% of my Thug Rose winnings, so i am still rich and successful and you are still a fucking loser
     
    #292
  13. Stunna77 Green Belt

    Stunna77
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    Not sure if this is even in reference to me, but I am not talking right or wrong, just discussing a fight and trying to decide if a hedge is necessary.
     
    #293
  14. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    Thank god you crushed the closing line. Makes the money you lost on the worst bet of the year worth it.

    You bet on an unproven heavyweight @ -300 and he got dominated by a guy on a 5 fight losing streak who has no chin
















    ... WHILE WEARING AN ADULT DIAPER {<jordan}<Dana05>
     
    #294
  15. SBJJ Black Belt

    SBJJ
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    Nothing to do with you
     
    #295
  16. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    So I get Mokhtarian is terrible, only has a left leg/body kick and some poor grinding abilities, but I can't trust Benoit. He could easily be 0-5 in the UFC. He's a headhunter that isn't willing to switch it up if he's behind, has never definitively won a round. That style just doesn't work at flyweight.

    He has decent wrestling abilities but seems like he has low fight IQ. Taken down 5 times by both Moreno and Serrano. Kept going for the guillotine when Serrano would shoot which ended up with him getting slammed repeatedly. To his credit that fight was on 10 days notice. He's only landed 1 TD himself, against Pettis who was able to sweep him.

    Benoit moved to Vegas to work with Lundell, says he's fully dedicated now, separated from his family, the best shape and most prepared he's ever been, but I still can't lay the -235 on him.
     
    #296
  17. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    Good post.
     
    #297
  18. SBJJ Black Belt

    SBJJ
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    100% agree
     
    #298
  19. Joseph Budden Yellow Card

    Joseph Budden
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    Betting Benoit >>>> betting Means
     
    #299
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  20. rev0lver Orange Belt

    rev0lver
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    There is 0 value in Lausa. You're throwing money away

    While I generally don't put money on -300 or higher, I also think you need to take easy opportunities when you see one, and this is one. You wouldn't deny a -600 Cain Velasquez against CM Punk just because CM Punk has odds.
     
    #300
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2017
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