UFN 121 - Werdum vs Tybura - Australia | Page 14

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 28, 2017.

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  1. turbozed Red Belt

    turbozed
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    Really? The notes I took on the fight look like this:

    Looking good against Oliveira early chasing him around the cage; Cowboy fighting back lands a sweet turning side kick to the body that hurts Means; the two exchange evenly and grapple a bit before Means fouls Cowboy for NC

    So seemed pretty even to me *shrugs*
     
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  2. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    FATALITY
     
    #262
  3. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    This is accurate. There's a perception that Means was dominating that fight because of how it ended up in reality it was competitive before the knees. Hence why Means closed at +110 in the first fight and -210 in the second.
     
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  4. Stunna77 Green Belt

    Stunna77
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    Right, but just because it was pretty even doesn't mean he wasn't looking good. iirc he reversed Cowboy a couple of times on the mat (no easy feat), and was looking aggressive and landing shots on the feet. Exactly what he needs to do this fight..
     
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  5. Wiktoruspro Orange Belt

    Wiktoruspro
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    Shit happens but I will eat my socks if Werdum loses
     
    #265
  6. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    Absolutely, he looked fine. Probably how you want him to look if you're backing him here, but that fight was brought up in the context of Means best performances. I didn't see evidence in that fight that would make me think his line should move from + money to more than a 2/1 favorite in the rematch is all.
     
    #266
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  7. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Just be aware that Kassem is gonna dwarf her, and that Chambers has gassed within the 1st round of every UFC/TUF fight.

    They're brother in laws
     
    #267
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  8. rille31 Brown Belt

    rille31
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    Astro chick is 40 and hasn't fought in 2 years?
     
    #268
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  9. CR0W ʙᴏxɪɴɢ

    CR0W
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    Shelton is 100% going to implement a takedown heavy gameplan against Lausa, he may mix up some kicks on the feet but he's just putting himself in danger against the better boxer if he tries to trade inside. He has a clear advantage on the mat and I'll be shocked if he doesn't utilise that. Wish they wouldn't have given Lausa 2 tough match ups in a row, nice to see his showcase his boxing but hard to see past Shelton here, won't be playing him at his current price though.
     
    #269
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  10. DarkneT Sherdog hero

    DarkneT
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    Shelton Werdum and Brooks are locks of the card for me
     
    #270
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  11. Yotsuya Orange Belt

    Yotsuya
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    I had a small bet on Camacho vs. Li and he really impressed me back then. I just rewatched the fight and even in the third round after taking tons on damage by Li's hard jabs and low kicks he still seemed to have significant power left in some exchanges and the attitude was 100% no retreat, no surrender. Brown does not seem to have the power to threaten Camacho and could get knocked out himself if he tries to outwork him with volume. Tuck dropped him with a single short straight right. Or am I wrong about Brown's hands? Zane Simon said, that he has "sneaky power". o_O

    Btw, this is Camacho's first fight at 155 since 2015, but he will have 5" reach advantage. Fight was announced less than a month ago, but since both guys are from that area, they have probably hoped to get signed for this event and trained accordingly.
     
    #271
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  12. Wiktoruspro Orange Belt

    Wiktoruspro
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    Watched Rawlings fight against Teccia and she was doing quiete ,,ok" against a top strawweight.
    I think she is a good bet for this event.
    This chick lost against Kaufman and won a split last fight plus short notice
     
    #272
  13. rev0lver Orange Belt

    rev0lver
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    I am

    He's fighting someone 10x easier than his UFC and TUF opponents, who he had close fights with each time. Lausa's lone UFC win was against a 2-3 fighter and couldn't finish, got absolutely mauled in the other. Shelton -400 = ez $100 or parlay material
     
    #273
  14. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    Horrible reasoning
     
    #274
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  15. NorthernLights Orange Belt

    NorthernLights
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    I just rewatched Sherman vs Coulter...I think that the main thing we all should learn from that fight is that Chase Sherman has to be one of the dumbest guys on the roster. Also, it's the perfect example of how heavyweight fights sometimes manage to be shit and absolutely amazing at the same time!
     
    #275
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  16. thewiggo White Belt

    thewiggo
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    I just see too good value in Lausa to pass up. Im actually holding off because I think i will end up getting more. Dont get me wrong... Shelton is the favourite for a reason but I dont see why he is his much of one...
    These are the type of picks you have to consider to make a profit betting this sport on the long run, thats what ive learned in the last couple of years anyway
     
    #276
  17. lifeisgood12345 Orange Belt

    lifeisgood12345
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    Lausa is trash and Shelton is decent. What's the argument for Lausa other than "Shelton is 0-2 and anything is possible!"

    Not sure I'll be betting it but -350 feels slightly low
     
    #277
  18. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    Lausa is trash just because he lost to one of the best prospects in the division?

    Are you also gonna say "HURR DURR HE ONLY BEAT A 3-2 CHINESE GUY LOL!!!" too?

    You can only beat who's put in front of you and he looked good. Obviously has good striking. Shelton hasn't beat anyone either.

    If you're even thinking about betting Shelton at this price you're a bum. End of story.
     
    #278
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  19. Sham5916910 Yellow Card

    Sham5916910
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    Lausa got a gift decision against some phillipino bum before his ufc debut. Got wrestlefucked and showed no ability like in both ufc fights to get off his back
     
    #279
  20. betrayedlurker Yellow Card

    betrayedlurker
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    Please don't play Shelton @ -400
     
    #280
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