UFN 119 - Machida vs Brunson - Sao Paulo | Page 29

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 8, 2017.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

    MMA Goodfella
    Joined:
    Oct 9, 2009
    Messages:
    16,997
    Likes Received:
    3,239
    Location:
    In front of the TV waiting for Game of Thrones S8
    Pedro Munhoz vs Rob Font preview


    This ought to be a damn good scrap between two of the bantamweight division’s brightest future stars. Given the skill set and toughness of each man, I expect to see a competitive tilt regardless of the official outcome. Nevertheless, when the ref raises the hand of the winning fighter, I expect it to be the kid from Boston, Massachusetts. Indeed, while I expect a competitive affair, the work that Font has put in with striking Coach Mark DellaGrotte has been evident. It’s turned a plus athlete into an absolute sniper. Font will have a pronounced speed advantage, but it’s the reach discrepancy between the two that changes the entire dynamic. Specifically, Munoz and Font clock in with a 65 and 72 inch reach respectively.

    Given his anatomical advantages and edge in speed and striking technique, Font is set up perfectly for a breakout performance. In fact, the only why I see Pedro pulling out the victory here is if Font makes a mistake and gets his head caught in the spring-loaded bear trap that is a Pedro Munoz guillotine choke.

    Font is busts Pedro up from range and wins a clear cut UD in São Paulo.

    PREDICTION : Font via Comic Sans UD
     
    #561
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2017
    Ukram, raketmannen and t6p like this.
  2. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

    ill800
    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2017
    Messages:
    1,827
    Likes Received:
    852
    Watching some tape on Colby borington.

    Snoozefest fighter. Lay and pray extraordinaire. Striking is pretty crappy.

    His father was a wrestler and his mom was a wrestling cheerleader. So that makes Colby the prototypical jock.


    Relentless takedowns. Good cardio. Plays it pretty safe on the ground. Happy to just lay In your guard for 15 minutes and pop shot you.

    If Maia can’t submit him this ones gonna be boring. I dont think he’s gonna be able to keep Colby off of him. His best chance of winning is hitting a sub in a scramble

    Colby by boring decision
     
    #562
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2017
    TheOneTrueKing likes this.
  3. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,576
    Likes Received:
    15,389
    Location:
    philly
    some crazy stabs:

    covington sub +2150 -- maybe RD3 is better, but yea. he's a sub guy, not a ko guy. if maia TRULY gassed, it could happen. maybe more likely than a tko given colby? /shrug. (rd 3 is prolly better)

    price RD3 +1100 -- short notice for luque and he's a known gasser

    marshman RD3 +2225: he has heart & shoeface has fallen off in fights before..

    zaleski RD3 +1450 <-- already had some on this one and doing more... i seriously think he breaks griffin. griffin is a lesser version of lyman good as i see it. in brazil.. he faded hard vs colby ... granted it was his debut and he was stuck on bottom... zaleski got a rd 3 stoppage a couple fights ago (akhmedov gasses even harder, i'm aware)....
     
    #563
  4. Joseph Budden Yellow Card

    Joseph Budden
    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    21,934
    Likes Received:
    16,590
    Location:
    NJ
    Dk how I could've ever thought this could've been a good betting card yet when its all said and done its one of the weirdest/worst of the year.

    ACJ itd big
    Maia NSC big
    Fig NSC
    Font 1.5u
    Joker 1.5u and only that much cause im forcing.

    Everything else is such a clear pass. A few props that hold value im small on too. Still loling @ Munhoz sub +1020
     
    #564
  5. Joedaman55 Don't be homeless

    Joedaman55
    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2017
    Messages:
    87
    Likes Received:
    54
    Weird betting card, can’t understand how Maia, Machida and Griffin are underdogs. I will probably bet those.
     
    #565
  6. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    3,913
    Likes Received:
    3,387
    Location:
    Sewers
    i think marshman is going to get strangled but i can't resist a stab at +400.
     
    #566
    EzFlyer likes this.
  7. Sham5916910 Yellow Card

    Sham5916910
    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    11,280
    Likes Received:
    8,274
    May as well take his ko line imo
     
    #567
    EzFlyer likes this.
  8. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    3,913
    Likes Received:
    3,387
    Location:
    Sewers
    got half a bottle of gentleman jack, gonna smash the entire thing as it's a long night.
     
    #568
  9. rille31 Brown Belt

    rille31
    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    3,328
    Likes Received:
    1,486
    Location:
    sweden
    Dont know about Griffin, think he's pretty meh
     
    #569
  10. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,576
    Likes Received:
    15,389
    Location:
    philly
    Man I know I'm the dummy who has marshman ko and marshman NSC small but..

    What the hell is this guy still doing at 185? Seriously? I'm not joking when I say he'd be undersized by a LOT of 155'ers
     
    #570
  11. Joseph Budden Yellow Card

    Joseph Budden
    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    21,934
    Likes Received:
    16,590
    Location:
    NJ
    Gordon NSC -154 #elite
     
    #571
    conmemay and ChoKuRei like this.
  12. Discjockeyshtud Shrooms, weed, pussy and greed

    Discjockeyshtud
    Joined:
    Dec 5, 2004
    Messages:
    1,066
    Likes Received:
    329
    Location:
    Australia
    Agree, lots of weird misinfo

    Machida

    - Getting brutally destroyed by Yoel didnt happen, they were even going into the third and although the elbows were hard theres a chance it was almost stopped early
    - the Yoel fight, for all Machidas flaws was within two months of the Rockhold fight where he caught a brutal elbow at the end of the first.
    - Machida looked visibly fatigued amd tired vs Yoel, he looks 100% better after a rest
    - Machidas not THAT susceptible to ring rust since he has a history of fighting mixed rules bouts straight from Karate points style competition and sparring which is what hes always doing
    - This isnt a damaged old guy vs young up and comer, Machidas 39, Brunsons 33 and Machidas been KOed less
    - Brunsons finishes always come in the 1st, Machidas only been finished in the first by a prime Shogun 7 yrs ago
    - If Brunson doesmt get him in the 1st, Machida will eventually draw him into a counter, he has 25 mins to do it

    Maia

    - CC needs a somewhat stationary opponent to get his TDs off which hes dependent on, Maias boxing in the Woodley fight, despite how boring it was took a leap. The pressure will favor more clinch fighting and more TD opportunities and a variety of positions for Maia
    - Maia got BADLY eye poked in the 1st against Woodley and still had a higher than avg volume, CCs boxing is ordinary at best and Maia will outbox him
    - CC is dependent on singular pinning of opponents and rabbit GnP, Maia has heaps of reversal options and conditioned to grappling a higher weight class. He should be able to hit reversals and chain wrestle CC from a variety of positions and hold dominant position
    - This is CC's 1st top 5 fight, Maia has been fighting top comp for many yrs
     
    #572
    RyuDave likes this.
  13. EndlessCritic Gold Belt

    EndlessCritic
    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2013
    Messages:
    15,661
    Likes Received:
    4,448
    X-factor for why colby beats maia:

    Colby and Masvidal are very close. Almost certainly Colby was helping Masvidal prepare for Maia, and has been studying Maia's game for a while. I think Colby will be prepared for Maia's tricks, and I do believe Colby can KO him from the outside.
     
    #573
  14. BluntTrauma21 Young Martha

    BluntTrauma21
    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2010
    Messages:
    14,195
    Likes Received:
    3,516
    Location:
    Upstate
    He quit on you after like two days didn't he? C'mon Barry.
     
    #574
    iGnP likes this.
  15. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    12,286
    Likes Received:
    5,135
    really? :D i would sit in shock for a while if that happends
     
    #575
  16. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    9,174
    Likes Received:
    3,732
    based on what, though? CC has never KO-ed anyone in his pro career and Maia has been pretty durable during his career
     
    #576
    RyuDave, EzFlyer and t6p like this.
  17. Kowboy Karl Brown Belt

    Kowboy Karl
    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2013
    Messages:
    4,130
    Likes Received:
    2,011
    Machida is old will die via Brunson takedown gnp.

    Maia is gonna snatch a rnc. Don’t let Covington bum trash talk fool you. He’s a small ww and doesn’t possess the striking skills to use his wrestling in reverse to out strike Maia. If he goes forward with wrestling he’s getting swept and subbed. Believe me people.

    Would def take a stab on Marsh an and price
     
    #577
    lifeisgood12345 likes this.
  18. AxeMurderer Orange Belt

    AxeMurderer
    Joined:
    Jun 23, 2016
    Messages:
    299
    Likes Received:
    338
    If cc does fight on the ground with Maia for most of the fight and survives I will be shocked and give him huge props.
     
    #578
  19. EndlessCritic Gold Belt

    EndlessCritic
    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2013
    Messages:
    15,661
    Likes Received:
    4,448
    Styles make fights.

    Colby has never KO'ed anyone because he's been easily able to take everyone down he's fought.

    Maia has been pretty durable because he doesn't get hit very often -- he's usually able to take his opponents down.
     
    #579
  20. lifeisgood12345 Orange Belt

    lifeisgood12345
    Joined:
    Aug 31, 2017
    Messages:
    496
    Likes Received:
    336
    This is what I think...decided to take some Brunson

    Machida hasn't been a threat in so long. It's been > 5 years and a weight class change since he KO'd Bader. Since moving to 185 only has meh KO victims of Dollaway and Munoz, and even Dollaway was almost 3 years ago.

    He looked like a shell vs Rockhold + Yoel, posed no offensive threat + was savagely finished. Now at 39, coming off inactivity, could have been using roids back in LHW days. Who knows how far he may have tumbled. Could be Brunson's easiest fight in a long while.
     
    #580
    Kowboy Karl likes this.
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "fd5733925866a04e50edd70f38dfaa35"
monitoring_string = "603ac9fff68f23709f2a42bf5e29272b"