UFN 119 - Machida vs Brunson - Sao Paulo

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UFC Fight Night 119: Machida vs. Brunson
OCTOBER 28, 2017
Ibirapuera Gymnasium | Sao Paulo, Brazil

Main Card - (FS1, 10PM ET)

Lyoto Machida +120
Derek Brunson -160

Over 2.5 -110
Under 2.5 -130
-

Demian Maia +100
Colby Covington -140

Over 2.5 -160
Under 2.5 +120
-

Pedro Munhoz +110
Rob Font -150

Over 2.5 -170
Under 2.5 +130
-

Jim Miller +125
Francisco Trinaldo -165

Over 2.5 -170
Under 2.5 +130
-

Jack Hermansson +110
Thiago "Marreta" Santos -150

Over 1.5 +120
Under 1.5 -160
-

Marlon Vera +235
John Lineker -315

Over 1.5 -180
Under 1.5 +140
 
I like and hit Goatchida, Font, and Goatmansson at these opening odds
 
Colby -230 lol too far

Lineker -430 jesus

Goatmansson -180 ok I like him but cmon now stop that
 
Maia surely has to be the play at these odds, right?
I have confirmed rumors that not only do my bets shift lines despite the organization and limits, but that Kalikas has an eye on my account.

I have a play in mind for the Maia vs Colby fight, but I can not release it as this time because Kalikas will open the odds based on my opinion as he should
 
i managed to get colby at + odds (betsafe lol). hit for £200.
 
is the fight order out yet?

i have my eye on one fight on the prelims with an astronomic lean.
 
Colby -230 lol too far

Lineker -430 jesus

Goatmansson -180 ok I like him but cmon now stop that

People hit openers and then the second waves continue to hit almost as if they just feel they need in.
 
I'd just like to say that this fight card is fucking awesome. Very pumped for this one.
 
In Brazil pick the Brazilian

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Only play I like right now is Trinaldo ml

Hesitant to pull the trigger on an old past his prime machida coming off an 18 month ped suspension. His speed and reflexes may have dropped off and he’s going to need that to beat brunson

Besides, I think his line will get bet up more

Fonts line is too high right now. You savages ruined it
 
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I know Colby is younger and more athletic, but isn't Maia's better skill a major problemo for him?

Seems like a stretch to make anybody who doesn't have elite takedown defense this clear a fave vs Maia
 
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Openers I took (was out so bet from phone.. couldn't post them here)

Maia +120 +140 +170 (wish I waited on the +120 part haha). Coinflip fight Imo.. I'll take the Brazilian dog in Brazil in Coinflip
O2.5 -160 (anyone who bets Covington ML when o2.5 is similar price is just silly)

Munhoz +160 .. see above Brazilian dog Coinflip fight

Hermansson +110 and -110 (and I could've done more grrr).. dude has excellent fight Iq.. more well rounded dude here...
Hermansson o1.5 +120

O2.5 miller trinaldo -170 .. no explanation necessary

Brunson -140.. machida now 39 years old.. off two years.. taken SAVAGE beatings in last fights... If it was 5-7 years ago I'd smaaaaash machida here but it's just NOT. Brunson might just outright ko him at this stage..

.....

Happy with opener action so far. But the big bet I have been eyeing Saturday is still missing a line... gonna be a 3-4u play
 
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