UFN 114 PBP/Discussion

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Aug 5, 2017.

  1. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
  2. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
  3. Caicara Green Belt

    Caicara
    Joined:
    Mar 3, 2013
    Messages:
    1,304
    Likes Received:
    765
    A few thoughts:

    Hard event to predict, some awful lines...

    Hermansson is the most likely to Win, followed by Jouban and then Grasso...And all these odds are good.

    Then Rinaldi ( Sub ).

    Soukhamthat, Moreno, Quinonez can all get finishes too. All good favorites to me...

    Ortiz is good, but he hits me as a guy who fights at his opponent's level and that might cost him the fight.

    Not touching the other fights, except for a stab at Rashad KO, Rashad RR 1/2. Ortiz's ITD line is not bad too.

    I expect a lot of decisions, but I'm not really confident on betting props this time, except for Grasso/Markos GTD.

    BOL!!!!
     
    #3
  4. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    12,285
    Likes Received:
    5,134
    souk nsc +130 nuts he should be a clear favorite on this prop imo
     
    #4
    EzFlyer and Caicara like this.
  5. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
    you're either a genius or a crazy person :)

    rashad ko and ortiz ITD are the two props you think are good? of all of them? i'm leaning the latter!

    (jk, no offense meant.. just an unconventional style / prediction... but i'll give ya mad respect if they come thru, hehe)
     
    #5
  6. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
    i agree, but it's a weird freakin fight, i don't wanna go too big on it. but i defnitely agree, i have it at -odds to win a unit

    also, souk KO was like +5xx earlier today at the same time that perez KO was +3xx

    made me go crosseyed
     
    #6
    turbozed and wack3d like this.
  7. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    1,719
    Likes Received:
    2,239
    Good luck tonight guys. I have a feeling we're in for some crazy results tonight but we'll see.
     
    #7
    EzFlyer likes this.
  8. Caicara Green Belt

    Caicara
    Joined:
    Mar 3, 2013
    Messages:
    1,304
    Likes Received:
    765
    Haha honestly most of my money is on ML lines and DEC props over +330 ( quite a few on favorites ), but I feel these two lines are off.

    IIRC, you do a few RRs.

    I have Rinaldi and Hermansson R3, Rashad R1/2, and Moreno R2/3
     
    #8
    EzFlyer likes this.
  9. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    12,285
    Likes Received:
    5,134
    i am feeling good about Souk here it will be close most likely but i feel like he is the better striker and he have the height and reach advantage
     
    #9
  10. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
    i'm shaking my head at grasso line getting bet this much today.. i thought it would even out w/the weight miss, UTI, antiobiotics, etc etc

    went the other way

    just gonna live bet that shit, i guess.
     
    #10
    wack3d likes this.
  11. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    12,285
    Likes Received:
    5,134
    ya souk ko/tko is +555 now while perez ko/tko is +335 :eek:
     
    #11
    EzFlyer likes this.
  12. cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    cagebrain
    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2013
    Messages:
    2,161
    Likes Received:
    1,605
    EZ you are such a nice guy
     
    #12
    Bless and Caicara like this.
  13. mkess101 Title incoming...

    mkess101
    Joined:
    Sep 25, 2007
    Messages:
    19,178
    Likes Received:
    5,054
    We have friends coming over to hang out tonight. Will have the fights on for sure, but I won't be looking at my computer or live betting (maybe for the last few fights depending on how late they stay). I have to adjust my outlook based on that. No ability to live bet means I don't want to leave myself too exposed on anything. This is going to be a low amount of risk for me. I'm fine with that.
     
    #13
    cagebrain likes this.
  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
    treat others as you would like to be treated...?
     
    #14
  15. PuertoRican Silver Belt

    PuertoRican
    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2012
    Messages:
    11,847
    Likes Received:
    1,993



    Let's get it~
     
    #15
    t6p likes this.
  16. CR0W ʙᴏxɪɴɢ

    CR0W
    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2011
    Messages:
    4,755
    Likes Received:
    2,895
    Rinaldi vs Herrera ends ITD @1.90 to start the night.
     
    #16
    wack3d likes this.
  17. Ukram Silver Belt

    Ukram
    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2013
    Messages:
    13,429
    Likes Received:
    3,330
    New rules tonight
     
    #17
  18. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    36,554
    Likes Received:
    15,340
    Location:
    philly
    new rules are in play
     
    #18
  19. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    12,285
    Likes Received:
    5,134
    1u rinaldi/herrera dont go the distance -105 and 0.1u rinaldi r2 +625

    to start with

    gl everyone
     
    #19
    BigNick100 likes this.
  20. Caicara Green Belt

    Caicara
    Joined:
    Mar 3, 2013
    Messages:
    1,304
    Likes Received:
    765
    Hey, I just feel they are off. It just closes some very low investment expected to lose parlays.
     
    #20

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "fd5733925866a04e50edd70f38dfaa35"
monitoring_string = "603ac9fff68f23709f2a42bf5e29272b"