UFN 112 - Chiesa vs Lee - Oklahoma City

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Mcgregorian, Jun 12, 2017.

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  1. Ham Socks

    Ham Socks Professional Fighter

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    I had a retard moment when I made that post. I totally confused her with valentina schevchenko.

    Moroz fought danielle taylor. Fade moroz.
     
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  2. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Vettori + Esparza. Vettori itd. Means in 2 or 3. Herrig NSC. Stans - Kimball starts round 2 + Martin/Case o2.5.

    Weird event that i'm kinda gonna play as I go. Eyeing Herrig and BJ no sc. Have a prop round robin thats continuing and off to a good start hitting 3 of 5 last night (Mitrione, Couture dec, Bader dec. Missed Larkin dec and Gallagher dec) prob just livebet and keep my eye on that hoping it rakes in some dough
     
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  3. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    yep. bizarre. i really think decision is garcia's much more realistic chance for a win, dirty brid has a chin
     
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  4. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    whoa, i wish i did more than 0.3u at +500!

    -245 not fotn? on a 13 fight card? i might have to
     
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  5. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    i've got a half unit on quinones and a half unit on quinones dec +3xx, i like that quite a bit
     
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  6. Bestonian

    Bestonian cba grammar

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    Lost my bank card today and it's late night here, bankroll divided differently. Can't bet for fuck sake.

    Id go so hard on Boetsch, BJ Penn and Chiesa tho. like 3 units on each, minimum.
     
  7. 1PunchKO

    1PunchKO Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Not quite understanding the odds on Vettori. Miranda is getting up there in age but he's looked a lot better in his UFC fights than Vettori.. Throwing .5u on Miranda ITD at +600.
     
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  8. 1PunchKO

    1PunchKO Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    When's the last time Hendricks killed anyone, let alone a guy that's way bigger and stronger?
     
  9. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    I think it has to do with vettori's ground game keeping up with shoeface and winning a round versus Miranda getting grapple fuxked by camozzi.

    I'm staying away from it though.
     
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  10. Dooze

    Dooze Purple Belt

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    What do you guys think is BJs likely route to victory here? I want to bet him but he's only +125 SU now. Prop wise though I can get Dec +500 ITD +350, KO +600 sub +500 and sub/Dec +210.

    It seems like they're a bit all over the place and I'd be able to get a better profit on him winning by backing 2 props on him that cover a Penn win; either Dec + ITD and hope for a Dec, or KO for 1 bet and the sub/Dec for the other.

    Those of you betting BJ, what are you actually giving him chances wise, both just in terms of winning and the likelihood of each method? Most of the reasoning I've seen on this fight is just betting cos Silver looks awful and BJ not as bad and its lower level competition than he's had, but in terms of strategy and that not seen much.

    I should probably just leave this geriatric fight alone but not betting a BJ Penn fight feels wrong.
     
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  11. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Sub/dec +210 is a nice angle
     
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  12. DevilsPt2

    DevilsPt2 The OriginAl

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    Feel like Esparza DEC should be the play but I have a strange feeling Carla going to go ADCC on Moroz. Anyone thnk Carla gets the RNC?

    For the information I offer the fact BJ only wins ITD, Siver is hard to KO especially quickly, BJ will have a hard time getting takedowns and will likely gas if he fails his first 2 attempts. BJ is low volume and Siver should be more active. Siver has 5 sub losses but dont let that fool you, he is hard to sub too. Siver is also not a quitter and BJ is washed up, I suggest no one bets BJ.
     
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  13. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    bingo: it's the cammozi fight. and as a guy who's also on miranda.. i can't really argue that logic TOO much, hehe.
     
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  14. quincy k

    quincy k Brown Belt

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    other than the hermann fight, tim only loses to top 185s. he was argubally on his way to beating thales before he got submitted.

    hendricks is not a top 185 nor will he ever be.
     
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  15. Ukram

    Ukram Silver Belt

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  16. lawmills2006

    lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    1u Stansbury ITD first fight.
     
  17. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

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    well, i've definitely gone the sloppy degenerate route with this card rather than cool and calculated, let's see if it pays off.
     
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  18. CR0W

    CR0W BOXING

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    Kimball upset in the first fight to start the night off well.
     
  19. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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