UFN 108 - PBP/Discussion | Page 71

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 22, 2017.

  1. Cornrow Kenny #MakeSherdogGreatAgain

    Cornrow Kenny
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    @MMA Gambling Expert disappeared because he went 0-2 tonight. I guess "never meet your heroes" is true. Disappointed.

    Would like a personal apology from you and to be named the most elite bettor during this break.

    You said Al Iaquinta wouldn't KO Diego because Diego had only been stopped once, but stats don't mean shit in this fight the decline in his chin was clear to expert bettors. Also acted like the layoff will matter in this particular fight. Not elite reasoning at all sorry.
     
    #1401
  2. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Up about 5.55 units. I mentioned that the main event was going to go just like that in the pre-fight thread. But I post sparingly lately and I'm not hashtag #elite so I am sure no one listened, lol.
     
    #1402
  3. Cornrow Kenny #MakeSherdogGreatAgain

    Cornrow Kenny
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    How did you do tonight bro?
     
    #1403
  4. Shancock9 Yellow Belt

    Shancock9
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    I Rarely even go to 3 units unless im really confident, im definitely conservative & very aware that no matter how confident I am, anything can happen
     
    #1404
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  5. Cornrow Kenny #MakeSherdogGreatAgain

    Cornrow Kenny
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    Great job bro.
     
    #1405
  6. Shancock9 Yellow Belt

    Shancock9
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    Sure alot of people do listen, notice your posts mostly from boxing thread, very aware of who gives good advice, nothing wrong with being quieter
     
    #1406
  7. Shancock9 Yellow Belt

    Shancock9
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    Need to learn a lesson here man, anything can happen, this isnt just a weird year, unexpected things will continue to happen, nothing is a sure thing
     
    #1407
  8. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Won 23-24 units I think .. I'll add it up in a bit.. huge night.
     
    #1408
    Sadistics, wack3d and t6p like this.
  9. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Wow, got fotn on lobov-swanson, what a night
     
    #1409
    Shancock9 likes this.
  10. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    almost no MMA until ufc 211.. two entire weekends off... no one do anything dumb...
     
    #1410
  11. onC Orange Belt

    onC
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    They're probably casuals and not worried about losing they bankroll. Atleast I hope so. I wouldnt take seriously anyone who has over 5u relying on a single fight. My absolute maximum is 2.5u which I've only bet this year on two or three occasions, including that ridicilous over tonight.
     
    #1411
  12. Shancock9 Yellow Belt

    Shancock9
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    Very similar to myself, I had 5u on Mikey Garcia to beat zlatcanin but that was last time I had more than 3 units on anything and that was a few months back
     
    #1412
  13. JDB Brown Belt

    JDB
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    This guy fucked himself proper trying to hit the nail on the head.
     
    #1413
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  14. MMA Gambling Expert #1

    MMA Gambling Expert
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    Tonight is my first real L this year, I had a couple other losing events but they were barely losses. But I can actually find a positive from this. I've been absolutely destroying my books this year so I'm happy to lose, it helps the longevity of my accounts, beat your bookie too bad and they ban you.

    I'll take my L like a man and come back stronger like I always do. I thought Schnell and Ellenberger were solid plays but they turned out not to be, but my biggest regret is not playing Moreno. I'm winning over 60% and I'm hitting dogs, as long as you win more than you lose, that's all that matter.

    I'm an experienced bettor now, in the past when I would take L's, I'd feel like throwing up because these bums make me so sick but now I'm on a totally different level mentally, didn't even break a sweat.

    #ComeBackStronger #LearnFromLosses #Grow #DoYourBest #StopGuessingStartWinning #MakePlays #Motivated #GettingMine #GetYours
     
    #1414
    Last edited: Apr 23, 2017
    iGnP, Jamah and edole like this.
  15. MMA Gambling Expert #1

    MMA Gambling Expert
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    I doubted you CK and you proved me wrong, well done, you should be proud, you made a solid play. Still if you want to be acknowledged as an elite bettor than you must post a winning underdog pick that is at least +200, then no one can deny you.
     
    #1415
    Joseph Budden likes this.
  16. Sapp Brown Belt

    Sapp
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    I'm still hot. My dogs got crushed but OSP came through for me, and that's the fight I put the most on.
     
    #1416
  17. Kowboy Karl Brown Belt

    Kowboy Karl
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    Rockets an bcks left

    left IMG_7964.PNG
     
    #1417
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  18. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    bound to happen eventually for everyone, be careful not to make any rash bets after a losing event, always the temptation to chase, make abnormal bets.

    It's a bit of a misconception that the bookies will ban you if you continue to win on their site, they hedge all of the bets they take anyway so it's mainly due to the odds you take and how it cuts into their profit margin, the better value odds you take consistently, the quicker they will ban you, as for all they know you could be arbing those prices. a losing night certainly can't hurt though a lot of the time. I try to split up bets that have good lines among as many bookies as I can to minimise risk, but that ship has long since sailed for most of my bookies accounts.
     
    #1418
    Last edited: Apr 23, 2017
    LEMONZEST, Jamah, Ukram and 1 other person like this.
  19. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    Worst event in a while, down 4-5 U thanks to being too big on guys I didn't really believe in but hoped would win.

    I'm still think De Lima at 2.50 was a good bet, and the over 1.5@3.00 was what, 10 seconds away?

    I should really listen more to my gut feeling and I knew Perry and Iaquinta would get the KO, but played the other side cause off the odds.

    It so hard to not play the underdog when the odds are too wide, but I guess I'll just have to learn my lesson.
     
    #1419
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  20. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    I'm in the same boat, although I had a good night I wanted to put a lot more on iaquinta ko, but the disparity in the odds and all the big upsets that happen put me off putting more on it. I know I'm guilty of over-analysing strong initial leans I have for fights, and it definitely cuts into my profit. I hedge too much because the opportunity is there to freeroll or reduce risk significantly, but knowing when to hedge is a hard skill to master.
     
    #1420
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