UFN 106 - Belfort vs Gastelum - Brazil | Page 58

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 21, 2017.

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  1. SalvadorAllende Paper belt

    SalvadorAllende
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    Is spanish and says something like

    "you, who drops blood with me will always be my brother"
     
    #1141
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  2. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    Gian KO/TKO up to +317. I'm hitting that. If Shogun is really shot even Gian with his limited arsenal and speed could catch him.
     
    #1142
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  3. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    Means KO/TKO up to +190????

    Yes please! He's pissed at BC about what he thinks was faking to find a way out last time. Means itd is only +107, and doubtful he goes for the sub. He's gonna try to beat the hell out of BC. This is way better than paying juice on Means imo. BC will look for a way out if getting battered again.
     
    #1143
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  4. Joseph Budden Follow Officer Brown, #1 MMA Gambler and Great Guy

    Joseph Budden
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    Scared as fuck for tonight. Think this is my biggest risk event ever, and I seem to have a dissenting opinion on most fights from people in here and the public. It also doesn't help the last two Brazil events (think they're the last two. The Santos-Spicely debacle and UFC 198) were my two biggest losing nights ever
     
    #1144
  5. BigNick100 Orange Belt

    BigNick100
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    I feel similar, I have a lot riding on Barbs and Gas, if any of those two lose I am fucked.
     
    #1145
    Last edited: Mar 11, 2017
  6. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    FOTN:

    Borg/Juicy A +600
    Soto/Yahya +2000
    Burkman/Prazeras +1700

    I think Borg/Formiga is the favorite to win. Could be some great scrambling and back and forth action.

    Soto/Rani maybe Rani dominating early then Joe coming back? Probably won't win but +2000?

    Josh/Praz could be fun? Burkman always game and if Praz really presses the action could be exciting? +1700 nice payout...
     
    #1146
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  7. BigNick100 Orange Belt

    BigNick100
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    I like Shogun/Gian fight as fight of the night. Shogun has been in wars, I can see this one being another entertaining fight.
     
    #1147
  8. BigNick100 Orange Belt

    BigNick100
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    Means wins in round 2 - +450
    Means wins in round 3- +800

    Such good value, I am hitting those two as well.
     
    #1148
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  9. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    Yeah but +300...no value.
     
    #1149
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  10. BigNick100 Orange Belt

    BigNick100
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    You don't see value in fight that has a good chance to be FOTN at +300? I am taking a shot, I learned my lesson trying to be too greedy. But all of those others you mentioned are good picks as well.
     
    #1150
  11. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

    Cptn1NSAN0
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    Trying to hit event props is a losing man's game. WAY too much variance to be successful long term imo.
     
    #1151
  12. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    Yeah no value to me. Could it win? Sure. Maybe co-favorite with Borg/Formiga to me. I just don't see value at +300. If it was +600 like Borg/Formiga I'd be all over it.
     
    #1152
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  13. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    I keep those bets tiny for fun. I'd tend to agree though. I'm sure I'm down a little on them over the years.
     
    #1153
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  14. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

    Cptn1NSAN0
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    Well you are on Burk and Dariush, you should be scared lol
     
    #1154
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  15. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

    Cptn1NSAN0
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    Fair enough, it's all fun at the end of the day.
     
    #1155
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  16. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    So you can RR rd 3 bets on:

    Means +900 (Kinda self explanatory)
    Shogun +950 (Gian gassing always a chance)
    Lee +1600 (Much younger, better cardio maybe? Could be a bit of a reach here I guess...)
    Soto +1875 (We've seen Rani gas before. He probably doesn't get stopped but never know)

    At $.50 each it costs $5.50 to RR these. If somehow all 4 hit the payout is over $27k. If 3 hit worst case is about $1k. If any 2 hit worst case is about $100.

    For five bucks, why not?
     
    #1156
  17. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

    Cptn1NSAN0
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    @Joseph Budden GL tonight. My last comment came off douchier than I had intended
     
    #1157
  18. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

    Cptn1NSAN0
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    {<huh!}>
     
    #1158
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  19. Joseph Budden Follow Officer Brown, #1 MMA Gambler and Great Guy

    Joseph Budden
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    lol its all good my man, not like your last comment doesn't hold truth
     
    #1159
  20. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

    Cptn1NSAN0
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    If Gast loses we are all fucked. 'cept @Oblivian.
     
    #1160
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