UFN 100 - Bader vs Lil Nog - Brazil

[EzFlyer]

http://www.sherdog.com/events/UFC-Fight-Night-100-Bader-vs-Nogueira-2-54993

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC Fight Night 100: Bader vs. Nogueira
NOVEMBER 19, 2016
Ibirapuera Gymnasium | Sao Paulo, Brazil

MAIN CARD

Antonio Rogerio Nogueira +250
Ryan Bader -350

Over 1.5 -190
Under 1.5 +150
–

Albert Morales +185
Thomas Almeida -265

Over 1.5 -160
Under 1.5 +120
–

Cortney Casey +325
Claudia Gadelha -475

Over 2.5 -190
Under 2.5 +150
–

Krzysztof Jotko +120
Thales Leites -160

Over 2.5 -130
Under 2.5 -110
–

Warlley Alves +175
Kamaru Usman -245

Over 2.5 -140
Under 2.5 +100
–

 

[EzFlyer]

casey +325 hrmmm idk, maybe... mehhhh...

gotta think almeida gets bet here, but i'm not laying -265.

jotko-leites super interesting, but no lean on those odds

usman gonna have a SUUUUPER tough time finishing alves, even if alves gasses. usman not a finisher. O2.5 -140 all day if you lean usman, much better than -245

 

[EzFlyer]

god the limits are shit on o/u openers, argggh, and usman O2.5 -140 is alrdy -230 within a minute

 

[mkess101]

Leites kinda becoming a poor man's LHW version of Maia. Think I like him -160. Not sure if line moves much...but I kinda think he ends up -200ish. Might bet him now.

 

[EzFlyer]

Leites kinda becoming a poor man's LHW version of Maia. Think I like him -160. Not sure if line moves much...but I kinda think he ends up -200ish. Might bet him now.

not sure if i understnad the comparison -- leites' striking is a lot better than maia's but his td's are nowhere near as good..

 

[mkess101]

not sure if i understnad the comparison -- leites' striking is a lot better than maia's but his td's are nowhere near as good..

No not as good but his ability to get fights to the mat or take the back (even standing) has improved dramatically. And when he gets ahold of guys he is like glue, can't shake him. His striking is better for sure.

 

[Sham5916910]

Bader + Almeida subject to tape review mainly on Almeida's opponent.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Jotko about to get schooled. Thales all day.

 

[Gabe]

Jotko about to get schooled. Thales all day.

Thales thrives in fights where he is the favorite. The loss to Bisping was super close too. I think he gets it done here although Jotko is legit.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Thales thrives in fights where he is the favorite. The loss to Bisping was super close too. I think he gets it done here although Jotko is legit.

dont forget brazil and their judges

 

[piglord]

what's jotko's takedown defence like? thales has some power but i don't like his standup.

 

[rille31]

dont forget brazil and their judges

they usually have murican judges on the brazil cards

 

[rille31]

nog bader under 1.5?

think it happens like 40-50% of the time

 

[EzFlyer]

nog bader under 1.5?

think it happens like 40-50% of the time

does 5 rounds change your opinion though

 

[Sham5916910]

nog bader under 1.5?

think it happens like 40-50% of the time

Really? Lil Nog is still tough as old boots.

Forgot it was a five rounder tho.

 

[Agent Mulder]

nog bader under 1.5?

think it happens like 40-50% of the time

I think Bader by dec is pretty likely.

Edit: oh shit didn't realise it was 5 rounds.

 

[Cptn1NSAN0]

Loving the U1.5 for Almeida/Morales @ +120. Pretty much all of Morales' wins have come in the first round and Almeida throws bombs. I'd say this fight is a quick shootout at least 60% of the time.

 

[Joseph Budden]

I think Bader by dec is pretty likely.

Edit: oh shit didn't realise it was 5 rounds.

Still think its likely

 

[EzFlyer]

Loving the U1.5 for Almeida/Morales @ +120. Pretty much all of Morales' wins have come in the first round and Almeida throws bombs. I'd say this fight is a quick shootout at least 60% of the time.

i'll consider that, have no angle on the fight other than a shot on morales if almeida gets parlayed a ton, driving the line up