UFC on Fox 18 - Post Your Bets!

UFC Fox 18 Net: +713.39
Bader RD 4: 8.50 for 293.25 / Bader RD 5: 6.50 for 289.25 / bader SUB: 25 for 147.50 / Bader +5.5: 100 for 192.50 / U1.0: 50 for 97
barnett -185: 185 for 100 / O2.5: 50 for 70 / NOT rothwell ITD: 230 for 100 / Rothwell DEC: 30 for 194.10
rivera -112: 224.64 for 199.99 / rivera -3.5: 50 for 93.50 / rivera DEC: 30 parlays
barberena +440: 50 for 220 / barberena +3.5: 100 for 160 / o1.5: 67.50 for 50
saffiedine -177: 392.70 for 222 / saff DEC: 30 parlays
CDF +134: 20 for 26.80
/ OAM DEC: 30 parlays
natal +110: 210 for 230 / natal DEC: 30 parlays / natal RD 3: 10 for 120 / natal SUB: 10 for 94 / natal no scorecards: 80 for 113.60 / U2.5: 0 for 17.40
ortiz -120: 96 for 80 / ortiz RD 3: 30 for 444.55 / ortiz DEC: 30 parlays

yakovlev -118: 118 for 100 / yakovlev DEC: 30 parlays / sullivan no scorecards: 50 for 52.50
caceres SUB: 50 for 116
dwyer: 0 for 82.50
makashvili DEC: 30 parlays

martin SUB: 50 for 150
props
DEC O6.5: 60 for 75
DEC O7.5: 25 for 80
DEC O8.5: 10 for 83.50
DEC O9.5: 4 for 104
DEC O10.5: 1 for 107
FOTN: northcutt-barberena: 20 for 190

parlays
70 RR for 738.48: rivDEC/ saffDEC/ OAMDEC/ natalDEC/ ortizDEC/ yakoDEC/ makDEC
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just freakin ouch on barnett. lost just about 5u on that fight. got middled.

suuuuper frustrated on CDF. i tried to live bet him like 100 times, no bets went thru. a friend was able to get me a bet on betfair for 0.2u. lol.

natal, barberena were my biggies.

and man did i feel stupid on dustin the ortiz fight

overall, i couldn't be happier with the first month of 2016 for mma betting. +55.66 units. feels great.
 
Small profit. Really should have been more with how many fights I picked right but those parlays cut into my winnings. Edit- Corrected small calculation error below.

UFC on Fox 18 Results


Ryan Bader (+250) vs Anthony Johnson $100.00 for $250.00= -$100.00
Ryan Bader wins by submission (+665) $25.00 for $166.25= -$25.00
Ryan Bader wins in round 4 (+3375) $5.00 for $168.75= -$5.00
Ryan Bader wins in round 5 (+4375) $5.00 for $218.75= -$5.00
Ryan Bader wins by 5 round decision (+775) $50.00 for $387.50= -$50.00
Anthony Johnson wins in round 1 (+200) $50.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Anthony Johnson wins in round 2 (+300) $30.00 for $90.00= -$30.00

Ben Rothwell (+140) vs Josh Barnett $100.00 for $140.00= $140.00
Ben Rothwell (+125) vs Josh Barnett $100.00 for $125.00= $125.00
Ben Rothwell wins by 3 round decision (+647) $50.00 for $323.50= -$50.00
Ben Rothwell wins by 3 round decision (+745) $50.00 for $372.50= -$50.00

Jimmie Rivera (-140) vs Iuri Alcantara $280.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Jimmie Rivera wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00= -$10.00

Sage Northcutt/Bryan Barberena Over 1½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Tarec Saffiedine (-185) vs Jake Ellenberger $370.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Tarec Saffiedine wins inside distance (+325) $35.00 for $113.75= -$35.00
Olivier Aubin-Mercier/Carlos Diego Ferreira won’t go 3 round distance (+150) $75.00 for $112.50= -$75.00
Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by submission (+700) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $10.00 for $70.00= -$10.00
Rafael Natal (-165) vs Kevin Casey $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Rafael Natal wins inside distance (+245) $40.00 for $98.00= $98.00
Rafael Natal wins by TKO/KO (+435) $25.00 for $108.75= $108.75
Rafael Natal wins by 3 round decision (+170) $75.00 for $127.50= -$75.00
Kevin Casey wins in round 1 (+475) $25.00 for $118.75= -$25.00
Dustin Ortiz wins by submission (+1183) vs Wilson Reis $10.00 for $118.30= -$10.00
Dustin Ortiz wins in round 3 (+1475) vs Wilson Reis $10.00 for $147.50= -$10.00
Dustin Ortiz wins in round 3 (+1250) $10.00 for $125.00= -$10.00
Alexander Yakovlev (-110) vs George Sullivan $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
George Sullivan scorecards = no action (+105) vs Alexander Yakovlev $75.00 for $78.75= -$75.00
Alex Caceres wins by submission (+200) vs Masio Fullen $30.00 for $60.00= -$30.00

Levan Makashvili wins by 3 round decision (+120) vs Damon Jackson $40.00 for $48.00= -$40.00
Tony Martin wins in round 1 (+300) vs Felipe Olivieri $10.00 for $30.00= -$10.00
Tony Martin wins by submission (+250) $20.00 for $50.00= $50.00
Matt Dwyer (+160) vs Randy Brown $100.00 for $160.00= -$100.00
Randy Brown wins by TKO/KO (+220) $50.00 for $110.00= -$50.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+125) $40.00 for $50.00= $50.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+320) $25.00 for $80.00= -$25.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+835) $15.00 for $125.25= -$15.00
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+2600)$10.00 for $260.00= -$10.00
Fights to go distance over 10½ (+10700) $5.00 for $535.00= -$5.00

Alex Caceres wins Fastest SUB (+825) $10.00 for $82.50= -$10.00
Tarec Saffiedine wins Fastest KO (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00= -$10.00
Sage Northcutt/Bryan Barberena FOTN award winner (+950) $10.00 for $95.00= -$10.00

Parlays:
George Sullivan/Alexander Yakovlev Over 2½ (-230) + Dustin Ortiz (-220) vs Wilson Reis $100.00 for $108.70= -$100.00
Round Robin $10.00 ea. x 21 parlays of Makashvili decision + Yakovlev decision + Ortiz decision + Natal decision + Aubin-Mercier decision + Saffiedine decision + Rivera decision $210.00 for $742.08= -$174.20
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Total Profit= $132.55
 
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Rivera $200 to win $155 +$155 / $300 to win $190 +$190
Tarec $250 to win $130 +$130
Barnett $277 to win $211 -$277
Dwyer $225 to win $366 -$225
Natal $225 to win $142 +$142 / $225 to win $132 +$132
Ortiz $300 to win $146 -$300
Martin $225 to win $153 +$153
Yakovlev $150 to win $127 +$127


Rothwell/Barnett o2.5 $75 to win $105 -$75 / o2.5 $75 to win $75 -$75
Bader/Johnson u1.5 $75 to win $83 +$83 / u1.5 $75 to win $75 +$75
Casey/Natal o2.5 $150 to win $91 +$91
Rivera/Alcentara o2.5 $300 to win $154 +$154
Ellenberger/Saf o2.5 $300 to win $140 +$140
DGF/OAM o2.5 $300 to win $136 +$136
Sage/Barb o1.5 $200 to win $149 +$149

AJ+Sage $600 to win $554 -$600

total risk: $3,727
Result: +$305
ROI: 106%

Placed the Sage+AJ double 1min before Sage fight started. that screwed me a bit, but thought it was a good return so went for it. oh well, congrats everyone
 
My biggest night ever just over £2k profit. Half from AJ + Tarec half from lb.
 
Wow I just realized how many damn bets I have. Joseph B is right, I really hope this isn't a trap card. So many seemingly likely outcomes, I have this sinking feeling I may end up saying "WTF happened?" at the end of the night. Oh well, I have:

Bader +265 ML
Bader rd 4 +3450
Bader rd 5 +4450
Bader by dec +775

Rumble rd 1 +195
Rothwell KO/TKO +225
Barnett sub +375
Barnett/Rothwell over 2.5 +145

Overs in a bunch of fights: Acantara/Rivera, Casey/Natal, Ellenburger/Saff, Mercier/Ferrera, Reis/Ortiz (big)
Ortiz by dec +115
Saff by dec -110
Rivera by dec *140

Rivera rd 3 +1800
Jackson ML +265-no action
Jackson by dec +550-no action
Natal ML -150 (big)
Natal by dec +170
Martin ML -170
Martin by sub +225
CDF dec +450

Decisions over 6.5, 7.5, 8.5


I think that's most of them, probably missed a few I have in little lottery ticket parlays but that's about it. Honestly, in looking at this card I think I will live bet very little and stick with my original thoughts. There's a couple exceptions where I think live bet might be a good chance to make $. If Ellenburger is having success taking Saff down might have to switch to him. I think possibly CDM could be good livebet opportunity if he's getting the better of it. If Barnett is spending a lot of energy trying to take Rothwell down and not having success maybe LB Ben. And if Rumble looks tired after rd 2 Bader could be a great LB esp if Rumble is maybe ahead on the cards but looks really tired and can get Bader at really nice odds I might add. Okay I know this one isn't for discussion so I'm done LOL.


Awesome night, up 19.7 units. I forgot I made a Rothwell itd bet before I made his KO/TKO bet. No idea why as I no way saw him winning by sub LOL but I'll take it!
 
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Still amazed how bad bader looked and that barnett got subbed....speechless.

The bader who fought rashad was a legit threat
 
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