UFC FIGHT NIGHT 129 | Page 12

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Wiktoruspro, May 13, 2018.

  1. Karmello Orange Belt

    Karmello
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    Sad enough on the eurobooks I use Suarez opened between -400 and -500 and is now -700.

    I would've love to get some money in on Suarez between -110 and -200.

    Weirdly enough I think the odds on Grasso will get even bigger in the next couple days, so I'm going to wait a little longer and see what happens.
     
    #221
  2. Larthus White Belt

    Larthus
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    Maia sitting at +500 on Betonline rn, Usman -675
     
    #222
  3. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    any intel on davis' counter-wrestling?
     
    #223
  4. Black Paladin #BrownsForever

    Black Paladin
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    Some lucky bastards are arbing their asses off.
     
    #224
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  5. levitation White Belt

    levitation
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    I gotta agree with the sentiment that Grasso is worth playing. I remember watching her tape when she was going against Herrig and was impressed. Grasso looked good in her Invicta fights but it just hasn't translated as well in the UFC. It could be the quality of opponents, but she has looked more technical and tame since fighting in the UFC. One thing I do remember is that Grasso's BJJ actually isn't that bad, its her TDD and wrestling that is lacking. I agree Grasso's boxing should be much better then Suarez so that means the only significant advantage Suraez will have is wrestling and takedowns. I don't think thats enough to justify a -700 favorite.

    One parlay I'm playing is Grasso + Evans at +1800. I think Rashad Evans vs Anthony Smith should be a pickem but thats for UFC 225.
     
    #225
  6. Karmello Orange Belt

    Karmello
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  7. Xuh Black Belt

    Xuh
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    it's not a 'low-level WMMA fight'
     
    #227
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  8. Gugabe Blue Belt

    Gugabe
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    Fine. Mid-level. Winner's realistically atleast 2 fights from a title shot, possibly 3.
     
    #228
  9. Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Stunna77
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    Confidence increase on Botehlo, some banned bum calling Kondo easy money who clearly hasn't watched any Botehlo tape besides Pearl fight. Kondo has pillows for hands and fought mostly atomweights while Bohtelo been finishing 125ers. Power and strength difference is going to be massive, Kondo ain't wrestling shit.
     
    #229
  10. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    anyone know if it's new rules?
     
    #230
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  11. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    I'll never discourage anyone from playing a +500 dog, especially in WMMA, but I think Grasso's chances of winning this fight are very low. Grasso's tdd is mediocre at best and Saurez imo is the best overall grappler outside of the top 5, maybe the entire division. She's dominated every round of every UFC fight and TUF fight she's had. Grasso does have some decent get ups, but she also a bit sloppy which could leave openings for Saurez. Even if Grasso is able to scramble back to her feet, it's very likely that she's going to get taken down again, Saurez is relentless with her grappling. Also, Grasso likely won't be able to use her kicks and she'll be tentative on the feet because of the threat of the takedown.

    I'll be surprised if Grasso can do enough to win a round, let alone two rounds. I think her best chance is likely catching a sub during a scramble. All that said, I'll still probably take a small stab at Grasso in some form.
     
    #231
  12. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Sham5916910
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    JB no decision 4 unit bets this card my man #evolve
     
    #232
  13. OutRun I'm giving you a night call to tell you how I feel

    OutRun
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    this is my favorite alt so far please don't get this one banned dude
     
    #233
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  14. Chief Tomahawk Banned

    Chief Tomahawk
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    I am Chief Tomahawk aka He Who Is One With The Wind. They can ban my account, but my spirit will forever roam with the buffalo #indianshit #mosteliteindian
     
    #234
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  15. iGnP Silver Belt

    iGnP
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    Lol that was fast
     
    #235
  16. OutRun I'm giving you a night call to tell you how I feel

    OutRun
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    racist mods silencing a proud Amerindian leader
    he will post no more forever
     
    #236
  17. Sadistics Green Belt

    Sadistics
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    We saw about the same amount of movement last time BetOnline opened a line with Marshman +300, he was around -400 when the fight got cancelled.

    In his 2 UFC fights combined he's defended 21/25 TD attempts, the few times he was taken down he popped right back up. If Barzola can get him down I don't see him holding him there as his top control sucks
     
    #237
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  18. iGnP Silver Belt

    iGnP
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    MMA twitter seems to overwhelmingly be on Prazeres except for like 1 or 2 people
     
    #238
  19. Wiktoruspro Blue Belt

    Wiktoruspro
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    Guys where is levels and cheese?
    {<huh}
     
    #239
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  20. Jamah Green Belt

    Jamah
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    Is that a good or a bad sign?
     
    #240

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