Im surprised that Sterling is a slight dog, he is a bad match up for Cody.Noticed we didn't have one, and there's openers out for the full card's ML lines.
Liking Camacho, Dodson and Sterling as dogs but not playing anything just yet.
People overplaying the Duquesnoy win a bit, IMO. I honestly think Caraway deserved the win there, and Sterling's been looking improved lately aside from being unconscious against #1 BW Moraes.Im surprised that Sterling is a slight dog, he is a bad match up for Cody.
Valentina will win, better donate a dog shelter than lose money on Montano.I took Camacho at +170, Dodson at +140 and stamann at @+100
Woodley I was on at -145. I’ll be adding if his line keeps dropping
Parlayed Andrade and Tatiana.
Might end up playing Montana at these odds. She could end up blanketing shevchenko. Would feel better about it if it was 3 rds.
Yeah. I was considering that a little bit. Sanchez is done, but White isn't even a high-tier regional guy. It could be a Lauzon-Grutzemacher rerun, though.Is Craig White worth a fade? Haven't watched much tape, but seems to win most of his fights by sub... while having a ton of sub losses as well. Seems odd. Is his striking good enough to crack Diego? Not saying Diego's normally worth a bet but this seems like such a huge step down from anyone he's fought in a while.
Niko going to sleep early, he might try and wrestle fuck but not really his style nor his strength.Sterling is a steal still at evens IMO.
I was about to make a case for Alhassan for having a killer chin and better grappling abilities than he sometimes looks. Then I saw him as a favorite vs Price... LOL.
Roberto Sanchez is another great play imo as a dog. Camacho should probably be closer to evens too. Some pretty great openers here
Niko going to sleep early, he might try and wrestle fuck but not really his style nor his strength.
we’re gonna get Woodley at evens, make my words
Yeah. Till was on pace to close as a -130 or so fav against WB before the weight-cut forced him back out. IIRC he opened at 2.5, WB got pushed to dog odds like 48 hours before the fight and then the weight-miss happened and Till got pushed back to 2.3 before closing at 2.1~I think there's a good chance he will be better than evens at some point. till already down from 2.4ish opener. fight still a while out and till's line slowly shortening. his fanbase and the additional UK money should be favorable for ppl wanting to bet woodley.
Yeah. Till was on pace to close as a -130 or so fav against WB before the weight-cut forced him back out. IIRC he opened at 2.5, WB got pushed to dog odds like 48 hours before the fight and then the weight-miss happened and Till got pushed back to 2.3 before closing at 2.1~
UK public money can warp MMA lines pretty easily, IMO. Especially considering T-Wood isn't exactly popular.
Kinda sucks because I really wanted to bet Till as a solid dog. I've been high on the dude since his debut, and had this assumption that the Wonderboy fight would improve his lines against top comp. Thought he should be at least +200 here.
Does Till really have that big of an influence with the Europeans? I'd have to imagine that the serious betters would start smashing the Woodley line. Maybe closer to fight week? I don't want to have to pass putting stake in a fight like this.
Even obscure British and Aus fighters get juiced a bit, in my experience. If only since UFC prelim markets can be so small that just an extra bit of volume from UK/Aus bettors recognizing a name can cause line movement.His layoff hurts him in this respect too, less people will be willing to bet woodley compared to if he had fought in the last 8 months or so. also he didn't exactly impress too many ppl vs maia in what was one of the best stylistic match-ups i can remember for a champion which may put ppl off also. euro money can absolutely tilt lines a lot. however only till/connor/bisping command really significant amounts I think.