I got Caraway as the dog, purely betting the value here. Stamann is good, but hasn't fought the level of competition that Caraway has, so we don't know where his ceiling is. Caraway is starting to get old for a BW, but at 33 still has more fight left in him. He has only ever lost to really good guys in his impressive UFC run.
The other bet I got is Sean O'Malley as the slight dog. He is a very talented guy and I think his first UFC scrap really woke him up, he shouldn't have as many jitters this time round. I think he should settle in and perform better now. He has a bad habit of blocking punches with his face, but I'm hoping he is going to welcome soccer-mom to the sugar show.
Not sure about the Cyborg over. The price is good on the O1.5, but I honestly think Kunitskaya has already lost in her mind. She's going in there scared and it's a matter of time before she gets finished. I know Cyborg has come out slower in her last 2 fights, but I think she will still smash if she senses weakness, which could easily happen in the first 7.5 mins.