UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo | Page 6

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 6, 2017.

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  1. OneWarrior1 NBA Capper

    OneWarrior1
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    I have a hard time seeing Moose's path to victory. Jab to a decision? Moose lacks KO power, barring some flying knee or accumulation of strikes. And I think Weidman owns the ground. Weidman can gas, but I think he can sew up 2/3 rds.
     
    #101
  2. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    This card is going to be lit af I'm telling you guys don't sleep.

    As for the main event I have no doubt in my mind that Rumble KO's DC.
     
    #102
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  3. SBJJ Yellow Card

    SBJJ
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    Wtf is up with these Blackzillians. Luque looked as if he didn't even do roadwork
     
    #103
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2017
  4. trucido Orange Belt

    trucido
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    At first glance, I love Usman and Brooks in a parlay. I think that's really solid, I have a tough time seeing paths to victory for their opponents. Usman will literally have sex with Strickland if he wants to, and Brooks will have a big size advantage and better wrestling than Da Bronx. The only way I see either of them losing is getting caught by a sub from the bottom. Also like Gillespie to beat Holbrook, and Weidman to beat Moose.
     
    #104
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  5. AmericanBeauty Orange Belt

    AmericanBeauty
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    hell no, Rumble hits harder than anyone else in the Top 10 light heavy hweights but you can't compare him to heavyweights.
     
    #105
  6. cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    cagebrain
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    agreed. I think theres so much value on weidman at +110. Pretty big on him.
     
    #106
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  7. mkess101 Title incoming...

    mkess101
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    I don't buy it. I've been watching the sport since the late 90's and I'd put his power on par with any HW I've seen. Hunt, whoever. Just because they are bigger doesn't ALWAYS mean they hit harder. How many clean shots has Hunt himself taken from big hitting HW's and shrugged them off? Remember this one?

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    But a hard hitting MW put Hunt away...

    [​IMG]
     
    #107
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  8. mkess101 Title incoming...

    mkess101
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    Hey whitebelt, how dare you steal my line that I stole from Frank Mir? Not cool man, NOT cool!
     
    #108
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  9. IdunnoWhoCares Green Belt

    IdunnoWhoCares
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    I followed your advice and hedged a little with Mousasi ML. I realize now that including Weidman as the last leg of the parlay was a mistake in the first place. I would be better off without it for obvious reasons. Lesson learned.
     
    #109
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  10. quincy k Purple Belt

    quincy k
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    chris weidman is coming off two ko losses along with neck surgery to repair herniated discs.
     
    #110
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  11. Card Silver Belt

    Card
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    Saw this on the UG: not sure of the source.

    Pretty cool of Jacare to admit that - Gegard is "trouble" and he doesn't want to fight him (only guy @ 185 he said it about). He said he had a good day and Moussasi had a bad day when they fought before and that's why he won. Says Gerard will show the world when he beats The Chris.
     
    #111
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  12. waiguoren Brown Belt

    waiguoren
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    bestfightodds does this
     
    #112
  13. trucido Orange Belt

    trucido
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    Hahaha i'm sorry man, I didn't even realise you had posted that. I guess when a high level wrestler fights a lanky skinny dude we just have the same thing in mind. I'll change it, Usman will tickle Strickland to death if he wants to.
     
    #113
  14. RyuDave Green Belt

    RyuDave
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    It's made it to the last leg, so what you done is just fine mate, nothing's a sure thing but this way you have garenteed yourself a great profit, nice one and I hope you hit another!
     
    #114
  15. IdunnoWhoCares Green Belt

    IdunnoWhoCares
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    If I had done the same parlay without Weidman I could still choose to bet all of the winnings on Weidman. Or I could bet a smaller amount on Weidman that I feel comfortable with. By hedging I'm giving up value. This article shows the math behind it: http://www.onlinebetting.com/should-i-hedge-my-bet/
     
    #115
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  16. Caicara Green Belt

    Caicara
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    Gotta disagree with Weidman. Tough matchup, tough momentum
     
    #116
  17. MMA Gambling Expert #1

    MMA Gambling Expert
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    Both co main and main event are very competitive match ups. Lines are on point, not seeing much value on any side.

    I do lean towards Mousasi over Weidman, momentum is certainly on his side. If Weidman can't get TD's then I think he loses. Mousasi has improved over the last couple years, can't say the same for Weidman.

    Rockhold and Romero were the hardest fights of Weidman's career because they are the best opponents of his career. He made a name for himself by beating up ageing Brazilians past their prime, always thought Weidman was a little overrated. Frequently injured, damaged goods IMO, past his prime.

    Can't even pick a side for the main event. When the rematch was originally announced I liked Johnson as a dog, now I'm not sure. Apparently sharps in vegas are coming in on DC.

    It only takes one with Johnson but if this goes past the 2nd will he begin to fade? Will Cormier take over? will the pressure and wrestling be too much?

    Corimer is getting older and hasn't fought a legit 205er since Gus in October of 2015, has age and injury caught up?
     
    #117
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  18. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

    TimCoreCombat
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    AJ looked unstoppable going into the last one too...
     
    #118
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  19. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    I'm having a hard time seeing DC finish rumble earlier than he did last time, I'm on rumble for the same reasons as some of you guys, but one thing i like about taking rumble here is that there will still be time to hedge on LB if DC starts to take over.

    he never gassed like that before that i can remember, I think his time away from the sport made kelvin look better than he is.
     
    #119
  20. RyuDave Green Belt

    RyuDave
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    You can do that from the first leg all the way to the last though, just roll over what you want.
     
    #120
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