UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo | Page 5

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 6, 2017.

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  1. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    I was gonna do more on aj via NSC , which is -132ish.. I like this not sub -165 better . Wins if DC tko or dec... Doesn't just push on Dec

    Hell it wins on any AJ win, too
     
    #81
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  2. IdunnoWhoCares Green Belt

    IdunnoWhoCares
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    Had a horrible horrible day (UFC London), but on the bright side I only need Weidman to close out a parlay for 28u. The question is how much should I hedge. I'm seriously thinking about putting 7-8u on Mousasi by decision since I don't see Mousasi finishing Weidman very often. On the other hand, Weidman got knocked out in his last two fights.....
     
    #82
  3. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face.

    Officer_Brown
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    Anyone else fading Cummins? he is prolly better wrestler and grappler etc but so stiff on the feet recently. I think Jan koes him.
     
    #83
  4. Agent Mulder Brown Belt

    Agent Mulder
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    Maybe depending on odds. What sucks with Jan is that he's probably gonna lie in close guard the entire round if he gets taken down like he did vs Gus.
     
    #84
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  5. Agent Mulder Brown Belt

    Agent Mulder
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    For sure hedge with the ML.
     
    #85
  6. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face.

    Officer_Brown
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    thats true he is so easy to take down. (like condit) another fucking tough fight to predict. both guys have clear path to victory
     
    #86
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  7. OneWarrior1 NBA Capper

    OneWarrior1
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    Either AJ puts Double Cheeseburger away early or he decisions him like what he did to phil davis. Or DC could pull out
     
    #87
  8. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    I'm ready to go big on Rumble if the odds improve. D.C. has such a long career and so much wear and tear on his body, combined with AJ just getting better and better.
     
    #88
  9. RyuDave Green Belt

    RyuDave
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    I'd do ml mate you could get screwed.
     
    #89
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  10. mkess101 Title incoming...

    mkess101
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    DC hasn't really had that long a career in MMA honestly. I'm guessing you're counting his amateur wrestling career and that wear and tear of the training that goes with it? Not exactly the same as MMA, but still significant I agree. The weight cutting still there, putting his body through the wringer in training, etc.

    But he did kind of get started late in MMA like Couture did. I think his chin might still be as solid as anyone's even at his age since he just hasn't taken THAT many shots like other guys did. Fight with Gus was a war, Rumble clipped him good in the first fight, but other than that he really hasn't taken much punishment at all. Jones beat him up some, but wasn't brutal or anything.

    That said, Rumble's power is just on another level. I honestly think he might be the hardest hitter in the history of MMA, even including natural HW's. The fact that Rumble actually fought at 170 at one point is one of mankind's great mysteries. He really wasted the first part of his career trying to force himself down to weight that he shouldn't have been at. I mean, look at his fight with Koscheck. Can you imagine the best version of each guy in an openweight fight? Rumble at his size now would knock Koscheck (any version) into space.

    I like Rumble rd 1 and KO honestly. Like I said, DC's chin is as solid as they come, but this time I don't think he survives if he gets hit.
     
    #90
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  11. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Sham5916910
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    Double likely to come from cynthia jury usman or emmett. But lots of tape to watch nothing 100% sold on so mind could change completely.
     
    #91
  12. timmyclax22 Blue Belt

    timmyclax22
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    I'm already big on Weidman here and hopefully this isn't just the Long Island fanboy in me. We've never seen Chris outstruck overall on his feet really with fights against Silva 2x, Rockhold, Machida, Uriah Hall, Munoz, Belfort (MOST of the punches were blocked I thought), etc. so why am I to believe that Mousasi should be much different? I think Chris can possibly hold his own on the feet with the pressure but he has a clear path to victory with his wrestling and ground and pound.

    Mousasi hasn't fought too many wrestlers recently either. He beat Munoz 3 years ago when Munoz was done and on his way out. Beat Latifi 4 years ago but Latifi is 5'8" and I don't think either of these guys are on Weidmans level when it comes to wrestling let alone their overall mma game.

    I also think that the line reflects the "what have you done lately' mentality. Chris has been knocked out his last 2 fights and Gegard has 3 knockouts against some pretty big names. What would the line have been 2 years ago? I think the fight being in New York helps too. Gegard has to travel and adjust to the time difference since it will be about 4-5am his time and Chris has a 45 minute flight or about a 5 hour drive.

    I'll pay to see him lose as I think Chris has more ways to win. I also don't think he's on the decline but just ran into 2 monsters that are part of the top 4 or 5 in the world.

    Weidman (+110) $72.73 to win $80
    Weidman ITD (+365) $10.96 to win $40
     
    #92
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  13. Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

    Joseph Budden
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    Great card for betting but man UFC PPVs have been so weak so far. Thank God for 211
     
    #93
  14. cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    cagebrain
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    Cormier rd 3 is +875

    it happened last time

    Rd4 is +1275 and rd5 is +1875, sprinkled all
     
    #94
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2017
  15. OneWarrior1 NBA Capper

    OneWarrior1
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    Mousasi is one of the few fighters that uses a jab. Could give weid problems. Then again, Jacare was outstriking moose
     
    #95
  16. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face.

    Officer_Brown
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    not to forget that mousasis best win is da bum tssssssssss....... vitorbelfort LOL. and he is asking for a title shot. also hall put him away just few fights ago. i dont think chris can pull off spinning shit like this but still.
     
    #96
  17. IdunnoWhoCares Green Belt

    IdunnoWhoCares
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    Let's hope that he won't try again, it didn't work out so great the last time.
     
    #97
  18. OneWarrior1 NBA Capper

    OneWarrior1
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    Chris is a pressure fighter. What he did to Machida was amazing. The threat of the TD will open up Weidman's striking. I think Weidman can replicate Jacare's gameplan. At first, I thought that Moose would be able to hold his own on the ground, but I remember what King Mo did to him.
     
    #98
  19. Agent Mulder Brown Belt

    Agent Mulder
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    That was hilarious. Rockhold could see it coming from a mile away.

    [​IMG]
     
    #99
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  20. cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    cagebrain
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    Is there any website/app/system that alerts you when new lines and odds release? Im sick of missing opening lines. If not, there really should, it cant be that hard to program.
     
    #100
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