UFC 209 - Twood vs Wonderboy II - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 19, 2017.

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  1. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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  2. HeDucking Im so Groovy

    HeDucking
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    I have a feeling a lot of money is going to come in on Khabib. Ferg hitting +200 might then be line of the year.
     
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  3. trucido Orange Belt

    trucido
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    Ferguson all day, so much value on him, plus has much more paths to victory, Khabib has only wrestling
     
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  4. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    so yea. i know we've talked about this fight a ton in the futures thread(s), but i love ferguson here. i'm "saving room" to bet him live, cause i think it's pretty likely khabib gets him down in the first round or two. but i think ferguson eventually gets to khabib and i think he breaks him late.

    absofuckinlutely torn on twood-wonderboy. i feel like the "mystery" of wonderboy is gone for twood, so it's KINDA an advantage for him? but man, idk. i favored wonderboy last time, so this time it's a tossup to me, and it's almost priced accordingly.

    i'm leaning reem because i think he knows what he needs to do to win. either taking hunt down or just staying outside, he has to protect his chin at all costs and he knows it.
     
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  5. Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

    Joseph Budden
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    Already on Ferg +170. Value play more than anything, not as confident as others in him winning, but think this fight should be even or he should be a slight dog.

    WB dec 1.8u at +321. Love this line so much. I think WB avoids the right and the takedown this time, and makes this fight look a lot like rounds 2 and 3 of the last one the whole way,

    Reem dec +425 got 1.5u out of me. Think this is the most likely outcome, believe it or not. Stay way on the outside with the kicks, clinch or get the tds when Hunt is able to get inside. Of course its Reem chin vs Hunt power so its going to be a nailbiter the whole time without consistent tds from Reem, but I love the line.
     
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  6. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    I'm going to go big on Reem. Dude is much more calculated now, and hasn't had brain farts recently. Also Hunt has been acting like a bitch recently with the steroids thing. Dudes not focused and really only looking for a pay check.
     
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  7. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
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    Reem decision +3xx is pretty damn tempting
     
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  8. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face.

    Officer_Brown
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    i guess lando will be unplayable
     
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  9. cCrown Blue Belt

    cCrown
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    I bought out of my ferg bet a little bit. Went from 5 units on his ml to around 2-2.5 units at +160. Got 2 units riding on ferg nsc as well for -110. 7 units would just be too much. I'm not that confident.

    Thinking about going on reem as well for the same reasons mentioned above. I really feel hunt has checked out at this point in his career.
     
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  10. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    LEMONZEST
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    Regarding Fergs line. For those that love him i recommend waiting. My guess is money comes in on Khabib late.

    Torn on this one and plan to just play ferg after r1

    I agree reem decision most likely outcome but far far from a sure thing.
     
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  11. letmebangbrah Orange Belt

    letmebangbrah
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    man all this time i was under the assumption that khabib ferg was a 5 rounder. it's just 3 correct?
     
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  12. HeDucking Im so Groovy

    HeDucking
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    Its for the interim LW belt so its a five rounder.
     
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  13. HeDucking Im so Groovy

    HeDucking
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    Hedge with Hunt KO if you want but that might be the play.
     
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  14. letmebangbrah Orange Belt

    letmebangbrah
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    jesus fuck another interim belt. seriously.
     
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  15. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
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    Na no need to hedge a +3xx play imo. Hunt can very well win by KO but my risk will be low anyway
     
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  16. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
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    LOL did Woodley really say he's better than GSP?
     
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  17. zer0cool Yellow Belt

    zer0cool
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    I don't know what to do with this card
     
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  18. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
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    Got some decently strong leans on fights without odds yet. Fingers crossed but I think this could be the best event so far in 2017 if the odds play out right
     
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  19. zer0cool Yellow Belt

    zer0cool
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    What is the best site for live betting in the US? I'm ashamed to say I've used bovada all the years I've gambled fights. They suck. No live betting and props aren't available til the day of. Tired of it.
     
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  20. trucido Orange Belt

    trucido
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    Hope I can get some decent odds on the Bearjew
     
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