The Ponies Thread (part 2)

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sharkey, Sep 6, 2018.

  1. Mga223

    Mga223 Steel Belt

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    Gonna back the 4,6 and cardinal at dog odds for the big one.
     
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  2. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    @t6p ,@BluntTrauma21

    Remington Park for Wed, Nov 7th;

    ==========

    Race 4 (6f-Dirt);


    #7 EP - 92.5, LP - 91.0, SP - 91.8, TT - 78.0, MP - 92.5, EL - 91.0, DP - 92.1, ELD - 98.5, SF - 94.0, BT - 88.5, AC - 114.4, PP - 127.7, NF - 80.6, AVG - 94.8

    #1 EP - 96.5, LP - 82.0, SP - 89.3, TT - 80.0, MP - 90.5, EL - 88.0, DP - 92.9, ELD - 85.5, SF - 96.5, BT - 84.0, AC - 112.0, PP - 125.8, NF - 82.4, AVG - 92.7 (*** E2 ***)

    #5 EP - 92.5, LP - 87.0, SP - 89.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 89.0, EL - 90.5, DP - 91.1, ELD - 94.5, SF - 92.5, BT - 82.0, AC - 112.0, PP - 121.8, NF - 85.8, AVG - 92.3

    #9 EP - 93.5, LP - 85.0, SP - 89.3, TT - 78.0, MP - 90.0, EL - 88.5, DP - 91.4, ELD - 91.5, SF - 87.0, BT - 84.0, AC - 112.9, PP - 120.8, NF - 88.3, AVG - 92.3

    #6 EP - 95.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 87.5, TT - 81.0, MP - 89.0, EL - 86.0, DP - 91.3, ELD - 85.0, SF - 92.0, BT - 83.0, AC - 113.4, PP - 124.3, NF - 87.6, AVG - 91.9 (*** LET ***)

    #4 EP - 92.0, LP - 83.0, SP - 87.5, TT - 79.0, MP - 88.5, EL - 86.5, DP - 89.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 92.0, BT - 80.5, AC - 112.3, PP - 120.8, NF - 83.2, AVG - 91.2

    #8 EP - 84.5, LP - 89.0, SP - 86.8, TT - 74.0, MP - 86.5, EL - 87.0, DP - 85.6, ELD - 95.5, SF - 83.5, BT - 81.0, AC - 112.5, PP - 120.0, NF - 84.2, AVG - 90.0

    #2 EP - 87.5, LP - 70.0, SP - 78.8, TT - 64.0, MP - 76.0, EL - 81.5, DP - 83.1, ELD - 82.5, SF - 88.5, BT - 58.0, AC - 105.9, PP - 106.9, NF - 66.2, AVG - 80.7

    #3 EP - 78.5, LP - 50.0, SP - 64.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 64.0, EL - 64.5, DP - 71.4, ELD - 71.5, SF - 78.5, BT - 63.5, AC - 108.3, PP - 110.1, NF - 58.6, AVG - 73.6

    ==========

    Race 7 (8f-Dirt);


    #10 EP - 86.0, LP - 89.0, SP - 87.5, TT - 77.0, MP - 88.0, EL - 87.0, DP - 88.3, ELD - 97.0, SF - 97.0, BT - 86.5, AC - 113.4, PP - 127.2, NF - 82.8, AVG - 92.8

    #3 EP - 77.0, LP - 94.0, SP - 85.5, TT - 81.0, MP - 87.0, EL - 84.0, DP - 89.8, ELD - 83.0, SF - 73.0, BT - 83.0, AC - 112.5, PP - 110.3, NF - 73.4, AVG - 87.2

    #2 EP - 76.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 78.0, TT - 79.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 77.0, DP - 79.0, ELD - 96.0, SF - 76.0, BT - 80.0, AC - 113.9, PP - 124.3, NF - 82.8, AVG - 86.2

    #9 EP - 73.5, LP - 88.0, SP - 80.8, TT - 82.0, MP - 82.5, EL - 79.0, DP - 84.4, ELD - 85.5, SF - 83.5, BT - 78.5, AC - 111.7, PP - 114.4, NF - 76.4, AVG - 86.2

    #6 EP - 81.0, LP - 74.0, SP - 77.5, TT - 77.0, MP - 78.0, EL - 77.0, DP - 75.8, ELD - 93.0, SF - 81.0, BT - 75.5, AC - 110.5, PP - 113.4, NF - 87.8, AVG - 84.7

    #4 EP - 80.5, LP - 73.0, SP - 76.8, TT - 80.0, MP - 78.0, EL - 75.5, DP - 74.9, ELD - 92.5, SF - 80.5, BT - 78.0, AC - 111.4, PP - 115.4, NF - 75.8, AVG - 84.0

    #7 EP - 77.0, LP - 84.0, SP - 80.5, TT - 77.0, MP - 81.0, EL - 80.0, DP - 82.3, ELD - 93.0, SF - 77.0, BT - 68.0, AC - 108.7, PP - 107.4, NF - 63.2, AVG - 83.0

    #1 EP - 64.5, LP - 90.0, SP - 77.3, TT - 72.0, MP - 76.5, EL - 78.0, DP - 83.6, ELD - 74.5, SF - 63.5, BT - 74.0, AC - 109.8, PP - 107.5, NF - 67.2, AVG - 79.9

    #8 EP - 93.5, LP - 55.0, SP - 74.3, TT - 68.0, MP - 72.5, EL - 76.0, DP - 64.6, ELD - 61.5, SF - 90.0, BT - 73.5, AC - 110.5, PP - 112.1, NF - 77.2, AVG - 79.1

    #5 EP - 60.0, LP - 67.0, SP - 63.5, TT - 69.0, MP - 62.0, EL - 65.0, DP - 65.3, ELD - 93.0, SF - 80.5, BT - 80.0, AC - 112.5, PP - 114.6, NF - 90.0, AVG - 78.6

    ==========

    Race 9 (7f-Dirt);


    #6 EP - 69.5, LP - 84.0, SP - 76.8, TT - 76.0, MP - 77.0, EL - 76.5, DP - 73.1, ELD - 85.5, SF - 79.0, BT - 68.5, AC - 107.9, PP - 107.6, NF - 84.0, AVG - 82.0 (*** E2 ***)

    #11 EP - 82.5, LP - 67.0, SP - 74.8, TT - 76.0, MP - 75.0, EL - 74.5, DP - 78.6, ELD - 84.5, SF - 78.0, BT - 68.0, AC - 107.8, PP - 107.5, NF - 86.2, AVG - 81.6

    #5 EP - 80.0, LP - 71.0, SP - 75.5, TT - 61.0, MP - 72.0, EL - 79.0, DP - 77.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 80.0, BT - 65.0, AC - 105.9, PP - 104.0, NF - 88.6, AVG - 80.8

    #7 EP - 82.5, LP - 75.0, SP - 78.8, TT - 70.0, MP - 77.5, EL - 80.0, DP - 80.6, ELD - 92.5, SF - 62.0, BT - 68.0, AC - 106.3, PP - 101.2, NF - 71.9, AVG - 80.5

    #12 EP - 88.5, LP - 63.0, SP - 75.8, TT - 74.0, MP - 75.5, EL - 76.0, DP - 82.1, ELD - 74.5, SF - 85.0, BT - 68.0, AC - 105.9, PP - 102.8, NF - 72.6, AVG - 80.3

    #8 EP - 80.5, LP - 63.0, SP - 71.8, TT - 74.0, MP - 71.5, EL - 72.0, DP - 76.1, ELD - 82.5, SF - 90.0, BT - 64.5, AC - 105.4, PP - 103.6, NF - 86.0, AVG - 80.1

    #4 EP - 75.0, LP - 72.0, SP - 73.5, TT - 75.0, MP - 73.5, EL - 73.5, DP - 74.3, ELD - 97.0, SF - 67.0, BT - 65.0, AC - 106.8, PP - 102.3, NF - 81.2, AVG - 79.7

    #1 EP - 85.5, LP - 59.0, SP - 72.3, TT - 72.0, MP - 71.5, EL - 73.0, DP - 78.9, ELD - 73.5, SF - 80.5, BT - 59.0, AC - 105.1, PP - 100.7, NF - 89.8, AVG - 78.5

    #2 EP - 82.0, LP - 61.0, SP - 71.5, TT - 71.0, MP - 70.5, EL - 72.5, DP - 76.8, ELD - 79.0, SF - 80.5, BT - 61.5, AC - 105.7, PP - 99.7, NF - 82.8, AVG - 78.0

    #10 EP - 79.5, LP - 55.0, SP - 67.3, TT - 60.0, MP - 63.5, EL - 71.0, DP - 73.4, ELD - 75.5, SF - 79.5, BT - 54.0, AC - 104.0, PP - 95.8, NF - 76.2, AVG - 73.4

    #9 EP - 60.0, LP - 68.0, SP - 64.0, TT - 73.0, MP - 63.5, EL - 64.5, DP - 62.0, ELD - 92.0, SF - 64.5, BT - 59.5, AC - 105.1, PP - 97.8, NF - 79.2, AVG - 73.3

    #3 EP - 81.0, LP - 47.0, SP - 64.0, TT - 69.0, MP - 62.5, EL - 65.5, DP - 72.5, ELD - 66.0, SF - 81.0, BT - 50.5, AC - 103.0, PP - 94.4, NF - 75.6, AVG - 71.7

    ==========
     
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  3. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Thanks bud. Went with:

    Race 4: #5 Tarawa
    Race 7: #3 Captain Payback
    Race 9: #7 Sin City
     
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  4. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I now have program to calculate both fair odds and expected odds thanks to my boy, so you guys will be getting that little bit of extra info at the end from now on starting with tomorrow's races.

    Good job to T on finding that nice 6/1 winner today, and to Blunt for having his pattern horses run well. That's a decent day for both of you.
     
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  5. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    @t6p ,@BluntTrauma21

    The two numbers in brackets near the end of each horse is the (expected odds/1, fair odds/1) for each horse.

    Remington Park for Thurs, Nov 8th;

    ==========

    Race 4 (6.5f-Dirt);


    #4 EP - 93.5, LP - 87.0, SP - 90.3, TT - 72.0, MP - 89.5, EL - 91.0, DP - 91.9, ELD - 93.5, SF - 84.0, BT - 83.0, AC - 113.1, PP - 127.6, NF - 85.3, AVG - 92.4 (1.8, 3.1)

    #3 EP - 88.0, LP - 97.0, SP - 92.5, TT - 67.0, MP - 90.5, EL - 94.5, DP - 90.3, ELD - 91.0, SF - 85.0, BT - 80.5, AC - 109.8, PP - 123.2, NF - 90.9, AVG - 92.3 (2.2, 3.2)

    #1 EP - 89.5, LP - 84.0, SP - 86.8, TT - 78.0, MP - 87.5, EL - 86.0, DP - 88.1, ELD - 94.5, SF - 88.5, BT - 81.5, AC - 111.0, PP - 116.5, NF - 87.6, AVG - 90.7 (13.5, 5.1)

    #6 EP - 85.0, LP - 89.0, SP - 87.0, TT - 75.0, MP - 87.0, EL - 87.0, DP - 86.0, ELD - 96.0, SF - 85.0, BT - 81.0, AC - 112.5, PP - 118.3, NF - 84.6, AVG - 90.3 (8.7, 5.8)

    #7 EP - 92.0, LP - 78.0, SP - 85.0, TT - 75.0, MP - 85.0, EL - 85.0, DP - 88.5, ELD - 86.0, SF - 79.5, BT - 82.5, AC - 113.8, PP - 118.3, NF - 79.6, AVG - 88.3 (12.7, 9.9)

    #5 EP - 81.5, LP - 88.0, SP - 84.8, TT - 76.0, MP - 85.0, EL - 84.5, DP - 83.1, ELD - 93.5, SF - 81.5, BT - 72.0, AC - 105.8, PP - 104.2, NF - 76.8, AVG - 85.9 (38.5, 18.2) (regression candidate)

    #8 EP - 89.5, LP - 73.0, SP - 81.3, TT - 76.0, MP - 81.5, EL - 81.0, DP - 85.4, ELD - 83.5, SF - 84.5, BT - 75.5, AC - 112.0, PP - 116.9, NF - 62.8, AVG - 84.8 (6.0, 23.9) (hasn't raced in 10 months)

    #2 EP - 82.5, LP - 75.0, SP - 78.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 78.0, EL - 79.5, DP - 80.6, ELD - 92.5, SF - 69.0, BT - 74.5, AC - 109.6, PP - 111.3, NF - 70.3, AVG - 82.6 (28.6, 40.9)

    ==========

    Race 6 (6f-Dirt);


    #1 EP - 103.0, LP - 88.0, SP - 95.5, TT - 81.0, MP - 97.0, EL - 94.0, DP - 99.3, ELD - 85.0, SF - 99.0, BT - 98.0, AC - 116.7, PP - 135.3, NF - 90.7, AVG - 98.7 (1.8, 2.2)

    #4 EP - 90.0, LP - 102.0, SP - 96.0, TT - 79.0, MP - 97.0, EL - 95.0, DP - 93.0, ELD - 88.0, SF - 94.5, BT - 81.0, AC - 114.5, PP - 129.9, NF - 79.5, AVG - 95.3 (11.1, 6.1) (*** LET,E2 ***)

    #6 EP - 91.0, LP - 93.0, SP - 92.0, TT - 77.0, MP - 92.5, EL - 91.5, DP - 91.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 90.5, BT - 89.0, AC - 115.2, PP - 129.9, NF - 84.0, AVG - 95.0 (4.6, 6.6)

    #5 EP - 88.5, LP - 99.0, SP - 93.8, TT - 80.0, MP - 95.0, EL - 92.5, DP - 91.1, ELD - 89.5, SF - 93.0, BT - 88.0, AC - 114.3, PP - 125.6, NF - 77.1, AVG - 94.4 (7.8, 7.7)

    #2 EP - 93.0, LP - 95.0, SP - 94.0, TT - 79.0, MP - 95.0, EL - 93.0, DP - 93.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 95.0, BT - 93.0, AC - 114.7, PP - 126.9, NF - 50.9, AVG - 93.9 (5.5, 8.8) (*** LET ***)

    #7 EP - 99.0, LP - 89.0, SP - 94.0, TT - 81.0, MP - 95.5, EL - 92.5, DP - 96.5, ELD - 90.0, SF - 84.0, BT - 92.0, AC - 113.6, PP - 123.0, NF - 53.5, AVG - 92.6 (8.1, 12.4)

    #8 EP - 91.0, LP - 87.0, SP - 89.0, TT - 75.0, MP - 89.0, EL - 89.0, DP - 90.0, ELD - 96.0, SF - 89.0, BT - 86.0, AC - 114.4, PP - 122.1, NF - 86.6, AVG - 92.6 (11.8, 12.4)

    #3 EP - 95.5, LP - 81.0, SP - 88.3, TT - 86.0, MP - 91.0, EL - 85.5, DP - 91.9, ELD - 85.5, SF - 75.5, BT - 83.0, AC - 113.1, PP - 122.4, NF - 75.0, AVG - 90.3 (17.3, 22.1)

    ==========

    Race 7 (6.5f-Dirt);


    #3 EP - 93.0, LP - 91.0, SP - 92.0, TT - 79.0, MP - 93.0, EL - 91.0, DP - 92.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 93.0, BT - 85.5, AC - 113.5, PP - 124.2, NF - 79.6, AVG - 94.3 (2.3, 3.1) (regression candidate)

    #1 EP - 96.5, LP - 87.0, SP - 91.8, TT - 78.0, MP - 92.5, EL - 91.0, DP - 94.1, ELD - 90.5, SF - 92.0, BT - 86.0, AC - 112.8, PP - 119.7, NF - 55.5, AVG - 91.3 (5.8, 7.4)

    #4 EP - 90.5, LP - 87.0, SP - 88.8, TT - 80.0, MP - 90.0, EL - 87.5, DP - 89.6, ELD - 96.5, SF - 72.5, BT - 85.0, AC - 113.7, PP - 122.0, NF - 81.8, AVG - 91.1 (5.9, 7.9)

    #8 EP - 93.0, LP - 86.0, SP - 89.5, TT - 75.0, MP - 89.5, EL - 89.5, DP - 91.3, ELD - 93.0, SF - 88.0, BT - 79.5, AC - 110.1, PP - 115.9, NF - 79.3, AVG - 90.7 (13.7, 8.7)

    #10 EP - 95.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 87.5, TT - 79.0, MP - 88.5, EL - 86.5, DP - 91.3, ELD - 85.0, SF - 95.0, BT - 79.0, AC - 110.3, PP - 118.4, NF - 78.6, AVG - 90.3 (8.1, 9.7) (regression candidate)

    #9 EP - 90.5, LP - 82.0, SP - 86.3, TT - 76.0, MP - 86.5, EL - 86.0, DP - 88.4, ELD - 91.5, SF - 83.5, BT - 81.0, AC - 111.5, PP - 120.4, NF - 87.2, AVG - 90.1 (7.2, 10.2)

    #2 EP - 95.5, LP - 75.0, SP - 85.3, TT - 78.0, MP - 86.0, EL - 84.5, DP - 90.4, ELD - 79.5, SF - 95.5, BT - 85.0, AC - 111.0, PP - 120.4, NF - 79.9, AVG - 89.7 (11.7, 11.3)

    #6 EP - 87.0, LP - 85.0, SP - 86.0, TT - 79.0, MP - 87.0, EL - 85.0, DP - 86.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 84.0, BT - 80.5, AC - 107.6, PP - 110.5, NF - 90.2, AVG - 89.7 (27.4, 11.3)

    #5 EP - 95.5, LP - 72.0, SP - 83.8, TT - 78.0, MP - 84.5, EL - 83.0, DP - 89.6, ELD - 76.5, SF - 90.0, BT - 81.5, AC - 112.7, PP - 117.9, NF - 86.6, AVG - 88.6 (5.9, 15.0)

    #7 EP - 79.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 79.5, TT - 73.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 80.0, DP - 79.3, ELD - 99.0, SF - 82.0, BT - 65.0, AC - 104.4, PP - 99.1, NF - 82.2, AVG - 83.2 (143.0, 56.5) (*** LET ***)

    ==========
     
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  6. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    I'll take it Shark. Gonna need a bunch more of those to get back in this thing though, haha.
     
  7. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Love that new addition to the numbers. For today:

    Race 4: #1 Bayou Whiz
    Race 6: #4 Westfest
    Race 7: #8 Agent McGee
     
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  8. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    You can thank this track's morning line maker for it if it ends up helping, T. I've been working on this little "odds calculator" for over a month now thanks to him. Better than complaining about the job he was doing like we used to do, right? We'll see how it goes. I've tested it quite a bit manually over the last couple of weeks, and it's been in line for the most part. Of course there are horses that take a lot more or less money than can be foreseen by this method, but they've been pretty rare so far.

    The only issue I have with it is that it took me twice as long to come up with the two different odds for the horses as it did for the regular numbers. Haha. First time using it, though, so there's that. It'll get quicker. Expected odds incorporates figures from jockey & trainer stats, class level, speed figures, last race, as well as recent odds on the horse in his other races, and then converts them to odds from there (includes track takeout). The fair odds part is just the horse's AVG score our program comes up with it compared to others in the field and then converted into odds (doesn't include track takeout).
     
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  9. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Eventually the "fair odds" part will be tweaked some as well to include other positive or negative indicators not already accounted for, and then given bonuses or penalties to their score. But for now it's just based on the AVG score since all of my time working on this odds part of things was spent on trying to figure out expected odds.
     
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  10. Mga223

    Mga223 Steel Belt

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    Tom Waterhouse is now a bettor and gives his tips.

    He bets with 1000 units though and sometimes bets 650 units in a day.

    Just seems so risky.
     
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  11. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    @t6p ,@BluntTrauma21

    Went 2 best of 4 for today, and also only included my expected odds at the end, not fair odds.

    Remington Park for Fri, Nov 9th;

    ==========

    Race 3 (6f-Dirt);


    #8 EP - 77.8, LP - 82.0, SP - 79.9, TT - 72.5, MP - 79.3, EL - 80.5, DP - 78.8, ELD - 95.8, SF - 81.0, BT - 69.5, AC - 107.6, PP - 107.0, NF - 87.8, AVG - 84.6 (3.7/1) (*** NPT,E2 ***)

    #4 EP - 83.0, LP - 77.5, SP - 80.3, TT - 72.0, MP - 79.5, EL - 81.0, DP - 81.6, ELD - 94.5, SF - 82.5, BT - 68.5, AC - 107.2, PP - 103.2, NF - 86.8, AVG - 84.4 (10.9/1)

    #7 EP - 86.0, LP - 75.5, SP - 80.8, TT - 74.0, MP - 80.5, EL - 81.0, DP - 83.4, ELD - 89.5, SF - 70.0, BT - 70.5, AC - 109.0, PP - 108.4, NF - 79.6, AVG - 83.7 (3.3/1)

    #2 EP - 83.3, LP - 72.5, SP - 77.9, TT - 72.5, MP - 77.3, EL - 78.5, DP - 80.6, ELD - 89.3, SF - 78.0, BT - 71.5, AC - 108.5, PP - 106.7, NF - 81.4, AVG - 82.9 (4.4/1)

    #3 EP - 87.8, LP - 72.0, SP - 79.9, TT - 71.5, MP - 79.0, EL - 80.8, DP - 83.8, ELD - 84.3, SF - 84.0, BT - 66.0, AC - 107.1, PP - 103.4, NF - 76.8, AVG - 82.8 (10.0/1) (regression candidate)

    #5 EP - 86.3, LP - 71.0, SP - 78.6, TT - 70.5, MP - 77.5, EL - 79.8, DP - 82.4, ELD - 84.8, SF - 81.5, BT - 64.5, AC - 105.4, PP - 98.8, NF - 73.8, AVG - 81.1 (26.9/1)

    #9 EP - 73.0, LP - 67.5, SP - 70.3, TT - 75.0, MP - 70.3, EL - 70.3, DP - 71.6, ELD - 94.5, SF - 81.0, BT - 63.5, AC - 107.0, PP - 108.9, NF - 86.8, AVG - 80.0 (3.8/1) (*** HLS ***)

    #6 EP - 73.8, LP - 75.0, SP - 74.4, TT - 71.5, MP - 73.5, EL - 75.3, DP - 74.1, ELD - 98.8, SF - 71.0, BT - 62.0, AC - 106.0, PP - 103.6, NF - 73.8, AVG - 79.4 (12.9/1)

    #1 EP - 75.8, LP - 71.0, SP - 73.4, TT - 64.5, MP - 70.8, EL - 76.0, DP - 74.6, ELD - 95.3, SF - 69.5, BT - 54.5, AC - 104.5, PP - 96.3, NF - 75.6, AVG - 77.0 (56.8/1)

    ==========

    Race 6 (6f-Dirt);


    #2 EP - 86.5, LP - 78.5, SP - 82.5, TT - 81.0, MP - 84.0, EL - 81.0, DP - 84.5, ELD - 92.0, SF - 77.5, BT - 78.0, AC - 111.0, PP - 109.8, NF - 74.0, AVG - 86.2 (2.6/1)

    #9 EP - 92.0, LP - 78.0, SP - 85.0, TT - 76.0, MP - 85.3, EL - 84.8, DP - 88.5, ELD - 86.0, SF - 81.5, BT - 78.0, AC - 109.0, PP - 108.0, NF - 66.2, AVG - 86.0 (4.9/1)

    #7 EP - 83.0, LP - 79.5, SP - 81.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 81.0, EL - 81.5, DP - 82.1, ELD - 96.5, SF - 82.0, BT - 70.5, AC - 109.3, PP - 105.1, NF - 78.6, AVG - 85.0 (11.3/1)

    #6 EP - 88.5, LP - 76.0, SP - 82.3, TT - 76.0, MP - 82.5, EL - 82.0, DP - 85.4, ELD - 87.5, SF - 84.5, BT - 73.5, AC - 109.0, PP - 105.6, NF - 64.0, AVG - 84.4 (10.5/1)

    #5 EP - 81.3, LP - 76.0, SP - 78.6, TT - 73.5, MP - 78.3, EL - 79.0, DP - 79.9, ELD - 94.8, SF - 78.5, BT - 77.5, AC - 110.2, PP - 114.0, NF - 72.0, AVG - 84.1 (1.7/1)

    #4 EP - 84.3, LP - 73.0, SP - 78.6, TT - 70.5, MP - 77.5, EL - 79.8, DP - 81.4, ELD - 88.8, SF - 79.0, BT - 66.0, AC - 104.3, PP - 99.1, NF - 70.2, AVG - 81.0 (48.8/1)

    #1 EP - 84.3, LP - 67.5, SP - 75.9, TT - 71.5, MP - 75.0, EL - 76.8, DP - 80.1, ELD - 83.3, SF - 82.5, BT - 60.5, AC - 107.5, PP - 102.2, NF - 79.0, AVG - 80.5 (30.9/1)

    #8 EP - 91.5, LP - 54.5, SP - 73.0, TT - 72.0, MP - 72.3, EL - 73.8, DP - 82.3, ELD - 63.0, SF - 87.0, BT - 70.5, AC - 107.1, PP - 104.6, NF - 83.0, AVG - 79.6 (16.6/1)

    #3 EP - 79.0, LP - 68.0, SP - 73.5, TT - 70.0, MP - 72.3, EL - 74.8, DP - 76.3, ELD - 89.0, SF - 73.0, BT - 75.0, AC - 108.7, PP - 98.1, NF - 22.1, AVG - 75.4 (53.8/1) (vet scratch last race and hasn't raced in a year)

    ==========

    Race 8 (7f-Dirt);


    #6 EP - 92.5, LP - 70.0, SP - 81.3, TT - 80.0, MP - 82.5, EL - 80.0, DP - 86.9, ELD - 77.5, SF - 92.0, BT - 79.0, AC - 110.3, PP - 119.1, NF - 67.2, AVG - 86.0 (0.8/1)

    #3 EP - 82.0, LP - 70.5, SP - 76.3, TT - 70.0, MP - 75.0, EL - 77.5, DP - 79.1, ELD - 88.5, SF - 81.0, BT - 65.0, AC - 106.0, PP - 107.8, NF - 88.0, AVG - 82.1 (4.7/1)

    #5 EP - 86.5, LP - 68.5, SP - 77.5, TT - 73.0, MP - 77.0, EL - 78.0, DP - 82.0, ELD - 82.0, SF - 84.5, BT - 70.0, AC - 107.6, PP - 103.2, NF - 73.8, AVG - 81.8 (12.4/1)

    #10 EP - 75.3, LP - 74.0, SP - 74.6, TT - 66.5, MP - 72.5, EL - 76.8, DP - 74.9, ELD - 98.8, SF - 78.0, BT - 69.5, AC - 108.9, PP - 103.7, NF - 74.0, AVG - 80.6 (12.5/1)

    #4 EP - 80.8, LP - 63.5, SP - 72.1, TT - 70.5, MP - 71.0, EL - 73.3, DP - 76.4, ELD - 82.8, SF - 87.5, BT - 71.5, AC - 108.2, PP - 103.4, NF - 80.2, AVG - 80.1 (9.5/1)

    #7 EP - 77.0, LP - 74.5, SP - 75.8, TT - 68.0, MP - 74.0, EL - 77.5, DP - 76.4, ELD - 97.5, SF - 69.5, BT - 65.5, AC - 107.2, PP - 97.4, NF - 81.0, AVG - 80.1 (34.6/1) (regression candidate)

    #9 EP - 77.0, LP - 68.0, SP - 72.5, TT - 67.0, MP - 70.5, EL - 74.5, DP - 74.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 81.5, BT - 65.5, AC - 105.7, PP - 100.4, NF - 86.6, AVG - 79.6 (18.7/1) (*** NPT,E2 ***)

    #11 EP - 68.5, LP - 78.5, SP - 73.5, TT - 72.0, MP - 72.8, EL - 74.3, DP - 71.0, ELD - 90.0, SF - 67.5, BT - 67.5, AC - 107.3, PP - 101.2, NF - 80.2, AVG - 78.8 (19.5/1)

    #1 EP - 79.5, LP - 67.5, SP - 73.5, TT - 69.0, MP - 72.0, EL - 75.0, DP - 76.5, ELD - 88.0, SF - 75.5, BT - 60.5, AC - 105.1, PP - 95.1, NF - 79.0, AVG - 78.2 (60.9/1)

    #8 EP - 69.5, LP - 67.5, SP - 68.5, TT - 67.0, MP - 66.5, EL - 70.5, DP - 69.0, ELD - 98.0, SF - 80.0, BT - 62.0, AC - 105.2, PP - 96.2, NF - 54.7, AVG - 75.0 (50.4/1)

    #2 EP - 64.5, LP - 68.5, SP - 66.5, TT - 69.0, MP - 65.0, EL - 68.0, DP - 65.5, ELD - 96.0, SF - 63.5, BT - 59.5, AC - 102.9, PP - 94.4, NF - 78.2, AVG - 74.0 (80.7/1)

    ==========
     
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  12. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Gonna try the #8 Exceed the Goal to W/P coming up in race 3 at Aqueduct. 16/1 currently with about 10 mins to post and should stay at a good price based on will pays. I'll also play a #4,#8 exacta box too in an attempt to beat the #5 out at a short price.
     
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  13. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    While I'm waiting on this above race;

    Race 2 at Woodbine - #6 Bella Fabiana to W/P most likely (12 mins to post still)
     
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  14. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    The #9 horse crushed them and ruined my exacta with me finishing 2nd and 3rd.

    Race 3 at Laurel - #1 Scout's Honor to win (shortish price, but I have it as clear most likely winner). #1, #7 exacta box as well.
     
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  15. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Shit, give me that photo please.
     
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  16. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Thanks Shark. Got shutout yesterday. For today I went with:

    Race 3: #4 Konawa Lady
    Race 6: #7 Slew Slew Who
    Race 8: #5 Bold Legend
     
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  17. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    You know hell has frozen over when a guy with my luck is winning that photo. At 7/2 is perfectly okay considering the margin I had it ahead on the numbers.
     
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  18. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Really? Shit, that hasn't happened to you in a while has it? Seems like you haven't had to use up a "life" since the first week or two of this thing.
     
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  19. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    I can't remember exactly when it was, but I think there was one other mixed in there bud. I had 4 lives at one point and I'm down to two.
     
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  20. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    That's what I'm down to as well, T. Two. Oh well. A couple more days and these lives aren't going to matter since we start the elimination period of the contest on the 14th. Balls to the wall time then.
     
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