Rewatched Khabib/Ragin' Al with a Conor matchup in mind

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Headkicktoleg, Sep 16, 2018.

  1. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    Round 1
    First 20 seconds and Khabib backs up to the cage and Al hits him with a nice straight right clean. Not particularly hard since Al's stance is low and preparing for takedown shots. Khabib throws a bit wild and barely moves out of the way of a decent hook, Khabib then does a little bit of running to reset.

    Al backs off and Khabib shoots a low single and grabs it tight and gets the takedown. Al gives up his back, but is able to scramble and get to his feet on the fence. I don't think Conor would be able to recover from giving up his back like that. He can't let that happen.

    From here the round is basically a series of Al getting taken down and getting up against the cage, not a lot of damage. Khabib is literally a master of using the cage against his opponent. He knows exactly how to apply pressure so they have to rely on the cage to stay on their feet, which completely let him move around their side and back. The last 20 second Al is finally able to square up against the cage and it's fairly even.
    I'm going to steal this from a audio segment I heard from Eddie Bravo, but if Conor goes to the ground his best chance isn't to get to his feet, it's to square up and fight and play guard. Khabib's style is made to have you trying to get up, HE WILL WIN THIS BATTLE. You need to fight him and get him off his game and make him WORK for what he wants to do. It will tire him out. Nothing Al did in the first round tired Khabib at all.

    Round 2
    They come out striking. Khabib keeps his hands up for the first 15 seconds, but then they drop to his waist. He does plant his right hand to his head anytime he throws with his left. They both pretty much suck with the hands. Khabib again dives for a super low single almost gets it and pushes Al against the cage. Not sure Conor would have snaked out if Khabib grabbed that ankle.

    Khabib gets a beautiful single against the cage and rides Al for like two minutes, nothing really happening until Al gives up his back. Khabib then takes his back from the top and tries for a RNC, but doesn't get it. Khabib's arms look like they are pumping tons of blood and I wouldn't be surprised if his arms are gassed. If he were fresh I think he would finish that choke. Al can't get Khabib off his back for the rest of the round

    Round 3
    Again Khabib keeps his hands in high guard until 4:45 like clockwork he drops them to his waist. Khabib's left hand is at his leg. This could be a HUGE opening for Conor as he is a southpaw, but I would have to imagine his camp has him keeping that left hand high. But if his left hand is high it raises a few questions. How would that affect his ability to shoot and grab, both his low single attempts are pretty much his nosediving to the ground and grabbing with his left arm. How long into a 5 round fight will he remember to keep that left hand high?

    1 minute into 3rd round and both of Khabib's hands are straight down. He is obviously tired.
    He is peppering Al with jabs from his waist. Al is pretty much gassed. Khabib shoots a failed low single. Obviously the shot for Conor to watch for.
    Khabib keeps throwing a few jabs and Al gets a decent shot in once or twice.

    Khabib switches to south paw and actually looks invigorated from it. He's keeping his guard up and looks quicker and a bit cleaner. lol I forgot how much he talks.
    Both Khabib and Al basically took the round off to recover. Khabib looked much fresher at the end of the round than the beginning. Makes me wonder, even if Khabib does take Conor down for the first two rounds could he keep doing it again for a 3rd and obviously standing is Conor's realm so it really doesn't give Khabib a spot to recover at the start of a new round.

    Round 4
    If Khabib fights for every 1 minute against Conor like he did this round he will get beat up. All he did was throw jabs from his waist and get hit with so so overhand rights from Al. He failed another low single. I think he is very tired.

    Round 5
    Before the round Khabib's corner calls for him to finish Al.
    Khabib immediately shoots from the middle of the cage and it's honestly a fairly weak try. Very little penetration and zero follow through. Khabib doesn't "look" gassed, but all of his actions seem half-assed at this point.

    Al is pretty much throwing at will, not landing much because it's all arm punches. Khabib is literally just leaning back and taking a few steps back. Not great defensive form from Khabib.
    Khabib shoots for a double against the cage and is very easily shrugged off.
    Khabib starts throwing wild as fuck and gets Al to back up. Khabib secures double under body lock and quickly takes Al down. Goes for the back doesn't get it and starts riding against the cage. Riding and back takes for the rest of the round.


    TLDR
    My thoughts from rewatching are khabib is going to try to hulk smash Conor for the first two rounds, but honestly his finish rate isn't particularly good and a tired Conor will still KO a tired Khabib if he survives past round 2 due to Khabib's striking offense and defense being terrible, especially when tired.
     
  2. ArtOfDrowning

    ArtOfDrowning Lecter Belt

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    Did you keep in mind that Conor doesn't have Al's wrestling?
     
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  3. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    My thoughts from rewatching are khabib is going to try to hulk smash Conor for the first two rounds, but honestly his finish rate isn't particularly good and a tired Conor will still KO a tired Khabib if he survives past round 2 due to Khabib's striking offense and defense being terrible, especially when tired.
     
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  4. VinceArch

    VinceArch Venom in the veins.

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    Let me guess:
    TS rewatches Khabib's fight and picks Conor to beat Khabib in 1 round?
     
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  5. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    actually yes I did

    Al backs off and Khabib shoots a low single and grabs it tight and gets the takedown. Al gives up his back, but is able to scramble and get to his feet on the fence. I don't think Conor would be able to recover from giving up his back like that. He can't let that happen.
     
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  6. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    nope
    My thoughts from rewatching are khabib is going to try to hulk smash Conor for the first two rounds, but honestly his finish rate isn't particularly good and a tired Conor will still KO a tired Khabib if he survives past round 2 due to Khabib's striking offense and defense being terrible, especially when tired.
     
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  7. VinceArch

    VinceArch Venom in the veins.

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    Called it lol.
     
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  8. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    I absolutely didn't say Conor KO's him in the first.
     
  9. Couch Ninja

    Couch Ninja Pinball Wizard

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    Khabib isn't going to fight Conor the same way he fought Al
     
  10. VinceArch

    VinceArch Venom in the veins.

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    Damn near lol.
     
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  11. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    let me suggest something more on your level.
    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Sep 16, 2018
  12. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    No not even close. The whole round I talked about how Khabib was destroying Al on the ground.
     
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  13. Bluntforce420

    Bluntforce420 Brown Belt

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    Lol, TS watches every fight with Conor on his mind
     
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  14. Egészségére!

    Egészségére! Purple Belt

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    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Sep 16, 2018
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  15. Gilday

    Gilday Red Belt

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    Honestly it wasn't a biased breakdown which is what I expected

    Fact of the matter is all the breakdowns lead to the simple fact of Conor wins on the feet, Khabib wins on the ground. Neither fighter can risk playing the others game
     
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  16. Mixedfights

    Mixedfights Silver Belt

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    I doubt Khabib gets the finish. Conors cardio is better than stated on this hater forum. He came back and won the 4th against Diaz. In the 5th they were both tired as fuck...does Diaz cardio suck?

    I think Khabib should not ever stand with Conor or try to punch him. Ever. Khabib needs to dive for the TD and thats it.

    My prediction is Conor wins via second round TKO in a fight that looks like the Alvarez fight or 4th-5th round TKO from a second wind.
     
  17. fedoriswar37

    fedoriswar37 Purple Belt

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    1. Al is a better wrestler 2. Conor hasnt fought in 2 years.
     
  18. fedoriswar37

    fedoriswar37 Purple Belt

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    Did literally gassed in the 3rd as well and conor stalled a large portion of the 4th
     
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  19. Headkicktoleg

    Headkicktoleg Gold Belt

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    Yup pretty much. My biggest thought is Khabib isn't NEARLY as strong if people just play guard and don't work all round to standing up. Why waste 4 minutes against the cage trying to stand up when you could at least throw a couple of elbows and a sub attempt. You may still lose the round, but you won't gas as hard and you will make Khabib work harder.
     
  20. legkicktko

    legkicktko Brown Belt

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    Did he also keep in mind that Conor is a chronic gasser even when he’s not getting drowned in the ground
     

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