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I always kind of got the impression that Butch made the decision (not to throw the fight) right after the confrontation with Vincent.
There is something about the way the camera circles around him, focusing on his facial expression.
I've thought that too, but I don't know. I believe Butch bet on himself, so it might have been his plan all along to take Wallace's money, and get the payout for winning. Or he put the money Wallace fronted him on himself.