Political Betting Thread | Page 70

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by GearSolidMetal, Jan 18, 2016.

  1. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    betonline did for the US election and the french one too iirc, but cant see anything there now, they are the only US book i can use from uk so not sure about others. I assume the US books only offer odds for the really big elections and some of them only list pretty soon before the election. there's probably not that much demand on US sportsbooks, they seem to target NFL/NBA mainly and have a smaller range of markets. maybe pinnacle? they might be more likely to add markets if you ask them
     
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  2. waiguoren Black Belt

    waiguoren
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    It's strange. Certainly they would get more action than on the small sports. My guess is they don't want to open themselves to scrutiny from the US government for "election meddling" etc.
     
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  3. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    yeah especially after the record amount wagered on the US/brexit/french elections. maybe there's just a lack of interest for the elections this year a lot of the bigger ones were pretty 1 sided. what were you looking for odds for?
     
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  4. waiguoren Black Belt

    waiguoren
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    Anything, really. US-wise, Trump is removed from office before X. Democrats take House in 2018, etc.
     
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  5. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    yeah surprised they aren't offering trump props tbh, seems like a missed opportunity for them with how polarizing he is and the attention politics is getting atm.
    been trading a couple markets for trump to leave before the 1st term:
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.129097136

    it was roughly evens for the whole of his term so far, up until a few weeks ago, then it started to shorten pretty quick. people seem to realize a lot of the shit thrown at him just isn't going to stick, feels more and more like he will see out a full term now, but obviously there's still a chance for him to do/say something crazy.

    another one that I'm kind of surprised at is that he's a pretty big favorite to win the next election too:

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.128151441

    not really in a hurry to take him at 3.1 ish currently so much can happen between no and then that I'd be amazed if he didn't trade much higher at some point
     
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