Elections Pennsylvania 18th District Special Election (3/13)

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Mar 13, 2018.

  1. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    People think so much in terms of Ls and Ws that I don't think the significance will hit home if Saccone wins by even 1 vote, yet if he loses by 1 vote it will be a big deal.
     
    AnGrYcRoW, HomerThompson and Joe Wong like this.
  2. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    All but a small handful of precincts have shifted Dem
     
  3. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    32,505
    Likes Received:
    18,536
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    Santorum on CNN explaining how the parties should get votes.... lol

    I guess he was a PA senator but that guy needs to fade away from the national stage. Can't stand him.
     
  4. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    125,739 votes, 62% reporting (370 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 52.8%

    Saccone 46.6%

    slight advantage Lamb (tossup)
     
  5. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    146,009 votes, 71% reporting (421 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 51.5%

    Saccone 47.9%


    NY Times hides the needle

    "Reliable precinct data is not currently available. Our forecast is not trustworthy right now."
     
    Swing and HomerThompson like this.
  6. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    32,505
    Likes Received:
    18,536
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    The Westmoreland thing isn't working but if you just go off margins and current turnout by area, Lamb should win this. The turnout isn't there at 50% to overcome Allegheny.
     
  7. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    @Lead it's exactly what you said. That county is completely screwing the forecasting by not reporting by precinct.
     
    Lead and AnGrYcRoW like this.
  8. Rico

    Rico Franklin Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2013
    Messages:
    5,770
    Likes Received:
    2,704
    Location:
    dahntahn n at
    Right outside my area. Watching with interest.
     
    Fawlty likes this.
  9. HomerThompson

    HomerThompson Titanium Belt Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 2005
    Messages:
    41,510
    Likes Received:
    71,639
    Location:
    Terror Lake
    He's overly aggressive, and not very intelligent. Not a great combo for most people.
     
    SoveSolin likes this.
  10. curryjunkie

    curryjunkie mixed marital arts...

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2014
    Messages:
    6,738
    Likes Received:
    10,912
    SoveSolin and Fawlty like this.
  11. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    32,505
    Likes Received:
    18,536
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    He's the type of republican I really can't stand though. Super hard on social issues to the point where he seems like an authoritarian. The guy is radical with some of the things he believes.
     
    Hunter Simpson and HomerThompson like this.
  12. HomerThompson

    HomerThompson Titanium Belt Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 2005
    Messages:
    41,510
    Likes Received:
    71,639
    Location:
    Terror Lake
    Totally agree.
     
  13. Joe Wong

    Joe Wong Gold Belt Banned

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2009
    Messages:
    15,887
    Likes Received:
    13,525
    Haha mark wolosik the election director at Allegheny on CNN. He's gotten pissed at me before lmao.
     
    HomerThompson likes this.
  14. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    32,505
    Likes Received:
    18,536
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    Yea, when you look at the map part of reported, they aren't showing anything at Westmoreland even though 50%+ is reported. I could be wrong with the basic assumption on turnout so far but it seems like Saccone ends Westmoreland 8k+ and Lamb ends Allegheny with 13k+. The other areas are a push pretty much.
     
    Fawlty likes this.
  15. curryjunkie

    curryjunkie mixed marital arts...

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2014
    Messages:
    6,738
    Likes Received:
    10,912
    440/593
    51.7% Conor Lamb Dem 78,686
    47.7% Rick Saccone GOP 72,654
     
  16. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    CNN has it:

    Lamb 50.8%

    Saccone 48.6%

    76% in
     
  17. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    32,505
    Likes Received:
    18,536
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    They also posted this now:
    "Precinct results are not currently available in Westmoreland County, a heavily Republican part of the district. We’re monitoring the county-level results closely, but for now we can’t responsibly make a forecast without more detailed information about where in Westmoreland County the votes are coming from."
     
    HomerThompson likes this.
  18. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    Back to NY Times


    171,620 votes, 83% reporting (493 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 50.4%

    Saccone 49.0%
     
  19. curryjunkie

    curryjunkie mixed marital arts...

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2014
    Messages:
    6,738
    Likes Received:
    10,912
    that gap closin
     
  20. Fawlty

    Fawlty Legitimate Vice President of the WR

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    26,683
    Likes Received:
    51,346
    Location:
    The CK Creamery
    182,010 votes, 87% reporting (514 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 50.4%

    Saccone 49.0%
     

Share This Page