Pennsylvania 18th District Special Election (3/13)

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Mar 13, 2018.

  1. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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  2. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    I know it might be coincidence, but do you guys think the Tillerson drop was intentional the same day as this? Or would they have done it Wednesday?
     
  3. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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    I think it could only hurt Republicans if it hurts anyone, and Trump is fond of Saccone, so I doubt it. Just a poorly-considered knee-jerk move by Trump imo.
     
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  4. Bobby 3 Sticks

    Bobby 3 Sticks Blue Belt

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    Tillerson was Putin's call. Though he was already dead in the water, coming out against Russia was the straw
     
  5. Bobby 3 Sticks

    Bobby 3 Sticks Blue Belt

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    40% in 54-46 Lamb
     
  6. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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    88,311 votes, 45% reporting (268 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 53.6%

    Saccone 45.7%

    tossup
     
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  7. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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    Whatever the result from here, this has been a disaster for the Republican Party. A Trump candidate should be cleaning up, but again we see that's not the case.
     
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  8. HereticBD

    HereticBD Steel Belt

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    What does the NY Times predictor machine say?

    I have learned never to doubt it.
     
  9. Bobby 3 Sticks

    Bobby 3 Sticks Blue Belt

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    53-45 47% in 8k vote lead for Lamb
     
  10. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Westmoreland turnout still not coming in until around 930. That's going to be the final indicator of who probably takes this. It's a rural area Saccone would be hoping for high turnout.
     
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  11. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    It's pretty crazy watching how much it stays directly in the middle despite more votes coming in. The margin could be under 1%
     
  12. Bobby 3 Sticks

    Bobby 3 Sticks Blue Belt

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    52-47 56% in 5k lead lamb
     
  13. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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    114,055 votes, 58% reporting (342 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 52.3%

    Saccone 47.1%

    tossup
     
  14. Bobby 3 Sticks

    Bobby 3 Sticks Blue Belt

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    I smell a recount after tonight
     
  15. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    For some reason, Westmoreland isn't reporting by precincts today and the NY times model is build on that. They might be turning the needle off @Fawlty. We are all in the fucking dark now.
     
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  16. Joe

    Joe :l

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  17. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Fucking Westmoreland gets a chance to be in national news and they do something that stupid. Not surprised at all.
     
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  18. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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    Yeah this one is a nail biter. We'll get a big chunky surprise at the end it looks like.
     
  19. Fawlty

    Fawlty radical centrist

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    120,769 votes, 61% reporting (359 of 593 precincts)

    Lamb 52.7%

    Saccone 46.7%

    tossup
     
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  20. Joe Wong

    Joe Wong Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    I think it's especially amazing that this seat has generally gone uncontested republican.
     
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