Pennsylvania 18th District Special Election (3/13)

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Mar 13, 2018.

  1. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Pennsylvania's 18th district is being decided today. This is a district Trump won by 20pts but is looking to be very close between the two candidates. Trump visited the district Saturday to help bolster support. The ads have been interesting to see/hear. Saccone (R) has been doing mostly attack ads that Lamb is just going to do whatever Pelosi wants while Lamb (D) is running almost as an independent saying he will work with both Republican and Democrats.

    What to watch in the Pennsylvania special election
    https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/13/politics/pennsylvania-special-election-what-to-watch/index.html

    Republicans abandon tax cut message in Pa. special election
    https://www.politico.com/story/2018...ecial-election-preview-tax-republicans-458276

    It's just one district but any of these special elections before midterms are looked at ten fold to get a glimpse of what we may see.

     
    Last edited: Mar 13, 2018
  2. Prime Rib

    Prime Rib Au jus Belt. Double Yellow Card Yellow Card Banned

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    Cliff notes on how this will be a +/- please, beyond the obvious seat.
     
  3. Jack V Savage

    Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    Expecting a lot of threads on this subject, I see.
     
  4. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Have you noticed any already? I just kinda scanned the first page and didn't see anything. I've been checked out a bit this week.
     
  5. Rational Poster

    Rational Poster Scourge of the War Room

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    What Jack is saying is that he doesn't expect the Trump bots to want to talk about this.
     
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  6. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Are you asking for the polls?
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...ct_special_election_saccone_vs_lamb-6327.html
    Lamb is averaging +2 which is pretty much a dead even match up. Saccone obviously lost a lot of ground since 2016 and is fighting to squeek this out. The race has has become nationalized with Lamb being tied to Pelosi and also with Trump's recent play on steel tariffs. This is a district that would show interest in hearing about steel jobs as it's the suburbs of Pittsburgh.
     
  7. KILL KILL

    KILL KILL Gold Belt

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    This will be interesting. We've seen a growing trend of red seats being flipped in special elections lately.
     
  8. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Yea, I suppose. Might depend on the result. You could get a Saccone close win with a bunch of late posts flooding in. I don't really get the fanboyism of elections, especially small ones like this.
     
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  9. HomerThompson

    HomerThompson President of the War Room Platinum Member

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    I saw some chick on Hardball last night that said, "Lamb plus 4". That sounds good, but I'll say only +3.
     
  10. Rational Poster

    Rational Poster Scourge of the War Room

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    Well, I think they all learned their lesson about the Roy Moore fiasco.

    Can't get too invested too soon.
     
  11. Joe Wong

    Joe Wong Gold Belt Banned

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    What's interesting here is that whoever wins needs to run again in like 2 months.

    Because of Republican Gerrymandering, the Congressional Districts had to be remapped (which caused me a fuckton of extra work, so fuck you Republicans), so what is currently the 18th Cong District will be something like the 14th etc.

    A lot of candidates got fucked over because of it too. The district they were once campaigning in is no longer relevant to their candidacy.

    That being said, Conor Lamb is like quintessential candidate. Tall, smart, veteran, good looking (some homo), not a dumbass, former Prosecutor, smart. He should win, but this is "Trump Country" so who knows.
     
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  12. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    It kinda happens both ways. We can't ignore 2016 either. People get super invested and certain of themselves and then you get those kinda nights.

    The Moore situation was almost in a category of it's own because it was 2-3 weeks of what the fuck should the GOP do and you had a major split in what should've been a guaranteed seat.
     
  13. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    Yea, they didn't give an extension or grace period. The new lines make more sense to me from the perspective of the western PA. I'm not too sure what all go arranged in Philly but it does look less mangled now.

    Why did this cause you a ton of work? What is your job?
     
  14. Jack V Savage

    Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    Bad joke. Referring to the 3/13 in the title.
     
  15. Joe Wong

    Joe Wong Gold Belt Banned

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    We develop and support the voter registration apps used by the state. So when district lines are redrawn, we have to incorporate this into the apps and ensure all voters get linked to the right district, etc. We have the Special Election today, followed by the Primary in a few months, so we essentially had to figure out a way for counties to set their districts to conform to the new lines, while also allowing the old districts to remain in place for the election.

    Long days and nights.
     
  16. Rational Poster

    Rational Poster Scourge of the War Room

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    You're supposed to say handsome, not good looking.

    It's less gay.
     
  17. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator Platinum Member

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    PA is somewhat crazy with how we handle our school districts and localities. I'm sure it's a nightmare for you to deal with.
     
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  18. Fawlty

    Fawlty Raepublican

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    Polls closed. First results starting to come in. Only ~1000 votes in so far. Insignificant Lamb lead.
     
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  19. Fawlty

    Fawlty Raepublican

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  20. Joe Wong

    Joe Wong Gold Belt Banned

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    Let's go Lamb!
     
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