Considering his only two losses in 397 amateur fights, 6 matches in the World Series of Boxing (semi-pro), and 11 pro fights, we can say with certain staistical confidence that the probability that someone beats Lomachenko is 0.005 (i.e., half of 1 percent!!!). Now, the question is: what is the probability that Mikey defeats Loma given the fact that Loma lost to Salido?
First, let's consider Loma/Salido ended in a controversial result, with judges having it 116-112 and 115-113 for Salido, and the other 115-113 for Lomachenko. So, without much speculation we can say with certainty that Loma probability to defeat Salido is at least 33%.
So, using conditional probabilities, we may say that the probability for Mikey winning given Loma's lost to Salido is something about: the product of the probability of both Mikey and Loma beating Salido, divided by the probability Loma losing to Salido. Since we know Mikey beat Salido unanimously, his probability of defeating Salido equals 1.
Finally, the probability for Mikey winning is (1)(0.33)/(0.66)=50% at best.But if you consider that Salido probability of beating Loma is 0.005, then, Mikey's chances drops to about 1.5%.