Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - March, 2018

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by mkess101, Mar 1, 2018.

  1. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Houston playing last night then having to fly to Seattle. Keuchel has not looked sharp so far this year.

    Paxton got rocked in his first start but the next 2 he pitched well (17 K's and 2 BB's over 11 total innings).

    Keuchel hasn't been awful, but his 13/9 K/BB ratio is garbage so far and he's getting his pitch count run up early so can't pitch deep into games so far. And the one weak link for the Astros (maybe not "weak", but not a strength anyway) is their bullpen.

    Seattle +100 ML for 2u
    Seattle -1.5 at +215 for .75u
    Seattle -2.5 at +375 for .33u
     
  2. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Yeah, I was sorta leaning towards Seattle too tbh. I feel like the line is short so I wasn't sure what I was missing since I was expecting them at -125ish but I got them at plus odds
     
  3. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Yeah probably better name recognition for Keuchel plus how good the Astros are overall the big factors.

    The situation and starting pitching trajectory both favor the M's though.
     
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  4. Bjjpitbull8

    Bjjpitbull8 Black Belt

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    Do you think Miami will continue routing them?
     
  5. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    If you're asking for a side to live bet, I pretty much have no opinion. It can really go either way. I thought the 76ers were missing make-able shots but Miami was also playing good defense on some possessions. With that being said, I have a very small LB on Sixers +7.5
     
  6. Bjjpitbull8

    Bjjpitbull8 Black Belt

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    <WellThere>
     
  7. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Warriors/Spurs tonight just a pass?

    9.5 really doesn't seem like a huge # to give. I feel like the Spurs are gonna give one huge effort and either win a game or make one game really close, but I'm leaning toward that being game 3 when they head home. I didn't get to watch any of game 1. Did the Warriors double Aldrich hard every time he touched it? His stat line was terrible compared to what he normally does. Trying to figure out if it was just an off night or if the W's specifically took him away, knowing the Spurs don't really have a legit 2nd option.
     
  8. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Someone forgot to tell D Wade it's 2018 and not 2008.
     
  9. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    I did it for a potential middle with my Heat +6.5, not because I thought the Sixers were going to come back. My big play was Heat +3.5 1H and I was just trying to middle my smaller bets. Should have mentioned that
     
  10. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Pass for me, looking to back them in game 3 if they get spanked tonight also
     
  11. ill800

    ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

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    Welp my only play of the day on the Mets at -135 was looking like a great spot until an epic bullpen meltdown in the 8th

    Unbelievable
     
  12. Bjjpitbull8

    Bjjpitbull8 Black Belt

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    Thanks man. The Heat really surprised me so far. I didn’t see that coming.
     
  13. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    LOL and Springer takes Paxton deep to start that game. Guess the 'Stros lineup is one reason they were favored...sigh.
     
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  14. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    A good rule of thumb for playoff basketball is to look to fade teams that play extremely well in the previous game. Usually it influences the line and you get more value for an outlier game. For as skilled as I think the 76ers are, they def played over their heads in game 1
     
  15. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Yeah I'm thinking maybe laying the points with Houston game 2. Rockets other than Harden were a combined 3-25 from deep, that won't happen again (or even come close probably). The fact they could shoot that poorly and still win means if they have even an average shooting night they probably easily win by double digits.
     
  16. ill800

    ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

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    Just saw this

    Thought there was value on Houston but didn’t trust keuchel enough to bet them. They did have a crazy game last night as well
     
  17. ill800

    ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

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    Nats really pissing me off. Lost about 10 units betting on or against them since Friday.

    Mets dominated them pitching and were up 6-1 in the 8th with a strong pen. And they have a meltdown.

    Very irritating

    Guess I’ll be staying away from nats games for a while

    Other leans I didn’t play ended up winning
     
  18. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Miami Heat 1H winner, Seattle Mariners winner. Great Monday
     
  19. quincy k

    quincy k Brown Belt

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    i think this is a great spot to hedge on 76ers series win if you bought the heat, especailly if you bought miami series at +650 after game 1, as well as the heat eastern conference finals. dont know if whitesides hip is still giving him a problem or if its spoelstras ineptitude of not being able to find a way to keep double/double hassan in the game, i could care less either way. depending on 40-year-old wade to throw up multiple 28/7s is ridiculous and not going to happen
     
  20. Bjjpitbull8

    Bjjpitbull8 Black Belt

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    You making any NBA plays tonight?
     

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