Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - February, 2017

Status
Not open for further replies.
Joseph Budden said:
Alright homies forget the game, lets discuss real business here

The ridiculous props.

Ones that stick out to me as potentially worth some money: Any player kneels during national anthem +800 (seems like theres always that guy, no?), 'Lacrosse' not said during broadcast +350, 'Gronk' said over 3 times +135 (feel like this could hit in literally one quick discussion about him), Kraft shown on TV o2.5 times -115 (if this is a close game or Patriots are winning feel like this is possible even though line is meh), Trump picks Atlanta to win +1200 (hes gotta pick the dog, right? EDIT forgot Brady was a vocal Trump supporter though....hmmm....), Tweets from Trump under 7.5 +130 (cmon no way he tweets that much during Super Bowl LOL), More TDs than tweets from @POTUS on twitter +290,

Also just wanna say LOL @ a line for 'player seen deflating a ball on TV'
Click to expand...
Lmao I saw the line for deflating ball prop also and laughed. The not is probably a lock even tho it is like -1500
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
I'd be worried if I was on New England, good thing I'm not.

Click to expand...

Dave is a fraud. Nothing to see here. He claims the Pats have been overrated all year. Yeah, nothing says overrated like 15-3 ATS lol. The Texans would have scored 40 on the Pats if they didn't have Brock as QB? LOL, okay. I really wouldn't be shocked if his touting the Falcons was some sort of way of generating bets on the Falcons for the books. I don't think the Pats are the right side or anything but I think they're the slightly better team w/ all the young players playing significant roles on the Falcons. To have the utmost confidence on one side is straight lunacy. If this game were played 10 times, we can have a totally different outcome every time.
 
iGnP said:
Dave is a fraud. Nothing to see here. He claims the Pats have been overrated all year. Yeah, nothing says overrated like 15-3 ATS lol. The Texans would have scored 40 on the Pats if they didn't have Brock as QB? LOL, okay. I really wouldn't be shocked if his touting the Falcons was some sort of way of generating bets on the Falcons for the books. I don't think the Pats are the right side or anything but I think they're the slightly better team w/ all the young players playing significant roles on the Falcons. To have the utmost confidence on one side is straight lunacy. If this game were played 10 times, we can have a totally different outcome every time.
Click to expand...

So much this. Guy isn't legit. I am betting ATL for a bit of action because I think the game is a toss up and I'll take + odds but no idea how it plays out.
 
mkess101 said:
So much this. Guy isn't legit. I am betting ATL for a bit of action because I think the game is a toss up and I'll take + odds but no idea how it plays out.
Click to expand...
I think I'm w you on Atlanta being the play at plus money but I want to see Brady get his fifth ring so I'll prob pass on the side or make a teaser w Atlanta +9 and u64.5 or something.

Off topic but when he supposedly bet a million on Tate, was there any line movement because of it? A million dollar is a very large amount of money, especially for such a niche betting market such as MMA. Idk how the line wouldn't move a few hundred points in response. It logically doesn't make sense looking back at best fight odds
 
iGnP said:
I think I'm w you on Atlanta being the play at plus money but I want to see Brady get his fifth ring so I'll prob pass on the side or make a teaser w Atlanta +9 and u64.5 or something.

Off topic but when he supposedly bet a million on Tate, was there any line movement because of it? A million dollar is a very large amount of money, especially for such a niche betting market such as MMA. Idk how the line wouldn't move a few hundred points in response. It logically doesn't make sense looking back at best fight odds
Click to expand...

There isn't a casino in Vegas that would accept that much action on an MMA fight that wasn't Conor imo. Did he post a slip? I'd imagine he had to have spread that $ around in different spots.

No idea on line movement. Even spreading it around you'd think it would move lines a ton.
 
mkess101 said:
There isn't a casino in Vegas that would accept that much action on an MMA fight that wasn't Conor imo. Did he post a slip? I'd imagine he had to have spread that $ around in different spots.

No idea on line movement. Even spreading it around you'd think it would move lines a ton.
Click to expand...
LOL I didn't even think about whether a casino would accept his bet. Not sure if he posted a slip or anything, gonna look for it now I'm curious and we have an hour and 20 til fights start
 
iGnP said:
LOL I didn't even think about whether a casino would accept his bet. Not sure if he posted a slip or anything, gonna look for it now I'm curious and we have an hour and 20 til fights start
Click to expand...

I know a guy who (years ago) was one of the higher ups at a Vegas sports book. He told me MMA they couldn't accept big wagers because even adjusting the line they'd never get enough other action to balance it. Too much exposure for them.
 
iGnP said:
Dave is a fraud. Nothing to see here. He claims the Pats have been overrated all year. Yeah, nothing says overrated like 15-3 ATS lol. The Texans would have scored 40 on the Pats if they didn't have Brock as QB? LOL, okay. I really wouldn't be shocked if his touting the Falcons was some sort of way of generating bets on the Falcons for the books. I don't think the Pats are the right side or anything but I think they're the slightly better team w/ all the young players playing significant roles on the Falcons. To have the utmost confidence on one side is straight lunacy. If this game were played 10 times, we can have a totally different outcome every time.
Click to expand...

He acts like it's a one sided bet because if it hits he looks like a genius. But what kind of serious capper would break down a game and not mention concerns about what the other team brings to the table? The breakdown is just hype to make himself look like the man if it goes his way. Which is good for his marketing.

From what I can tell about him is that he's just another scumbag tout. He makes multiple futures bets and then brags like he's Nostradamus when one of them goes deep, neverminding any of the others that didn't. And like any tout he uses his gambling exploits to take advantage of saps that buy into his hype. He designed his baseball service to double down on any loss until the series ends. It's basically a martingale system. Why does he do this? Because touts want subscribers to consistently make money. A martingale betting system ensures that his subscribers make money more often than they lose money. If they're making money they're going to keep subscribing. Unless they go bust doubling down. But there's always more suckers to fill his wallet. The gambling scene is full of bullshitters like this guy.
 
Last edited:
Barkus said:
He acts like it's a one sided bet because if it hits he looks like a genius. What kind of serious capper would break down a game and not mention concerns about what the other team brings to the table? The breakdown is just hype to make himself look like a genius if it goes his way.

He's a scumbag tout. He makes multiple futures bets and then brags like he's Nostradamus when one of them goes deep, neverminding any of the others that didn't. And like any tout he uses his gambling exploits to take advantage of saps that buy into his hype. He designed his baseball service to double down on any loss until the series ends. It's basically a martingale system. Why does he do this? Because touts want subscribers to consistently make money, A martingale betting system ensures that his subscribers make money more often than they lose money. Unless they go bust doubling down. But there's always more suckers to fill his wallet. The gambling scene is full of bullshitters like this guy.
Click to expand...
100% agreed. I read something very very similar online. If you have a $100,000 BR and I told you to bet $100 per game, doubling up every time you lose, I could win you money lol.
 
hey btw I got a pretty strong lean in CBB (not as good in college as NBA but yeah). PM me for pick if interested
 
iGnP said:
Dave is a fraud. Nothing to see here. He claims the Pats have been overrated all year. Yeah, nothing says overrated like 15-3 ATS lol. The Texans would have scored 40 on the Pats if they didn't have Brock as QB? LOL, okay. I really wouldn't be shocked if his touting the Falcons was some sort of way of generating bets on the Falcons for the books. I don't think the Pats are the right side or anything but I think they're the slightly better team w/ all the young players playing significant roles on the Falcons. To have the utmost confidence on one side is straight lunacy. If this game were played 10 times, we can have a totally different outcome every time.
Click to expand...
Cmon man stop being a hater. Vegas Dave is the real deal, Falcons have got this. If you listen to the breakdown he makes great points.
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
Cmon man stop being a hater. Vegas Dave is the real deal, Falcons have got this. If you listen to the breakdown he makes great points.
Click to expand...
kvKXd.gif
 
Not a big fan of betting on the Suns but here goes: 0.5u Suns +1.5
 
Warriors/Kings u225 for 1.1u
 
Man had my best day on NBA and I was seriously the luckiest human ever.

0.5 on cleve win/o210.5 (the 4th was huge/spurs win/u220.5 (looked great and then they smashed it in the 4th only to score like 10 points in 4 minutes).

Had half a unit on cleve win/o210.5
0.5 bucks and over 197.5 Memphis game (Memphis game has a 70 point quarter).

Had 2 losing 0.5 unit bets.

Feel like I should take a few days off as I have been lucky and my betting pattern has been bad.
 
t6p said:
Not a big fan of betting on the Suns but here goes: 0.5u Suns +1.5
Click to expand...

Every time I bet on the Suns I say never again but here were are. Not smart. Wolves don't cover either. Minus a little over 1u and most of my minimal UFC profits.
 
Something feels fishy about the Pats/Falcons line. 70% of money is on the Pats, yet the line hasnt moved. I feel vegas thinks Falcons are gonna whop the Pats. I dont bet football usually but Ill have to take a bite on the Falcons spread maybe.

EDIT: Ill take the +3.5 when it reaches there.
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,236,981
Messages
55,459,183
Members
174,787
Latest member
Freddie556

Share this page

Back
Top