Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - December, 2017 | Page 13

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 2, 2017.

  1. MT6ix Orange Belt

    MT6ix
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    Buffalo on the road @ -2.5 against the Dolphins isn't a bad pick for one of your six picks. Bills have a playoff spot to play for but they need help also. Dolphins have nothing to play for and probably Cutler's last game as a Dolphin. Most likely a close game.
     
    #241
  2. MT6ix Orange Belt

    MT6ix
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    I feel the same way, just hope it isn't a trap line/game. Worth a 1u bet.
     
    #242
  3. timmyclax22 Green Belt

    timmyclax22
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    Tenn/Jax under 40.5 to win 1u
    Cle/Pitt under 38.5 to win 1u
     
    #243
  4. iGnP Silver Belt

    iGnP
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    Out of those I’d take the Browns, Niners, and cowboys. They’re no brainers at this point
     
    #244
  5. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    On the 49ers, titans and Bills. Most worried about the titans

    Also have a teaser of Lions -1 and Texans +like 11. Looks good
     
    #245
  6. timmyclax22 Green Belt

    timmyclax22
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    Wish I saw this lol. Took the Vikings, Patriots, 49ers, Bills, Seahawks, and Falcons.
     
    #246
  7. danareem Orange Belt

    danareem
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    Cmon wizards got in live +175, 2u
    Tied 104-104, ww got the momentum, Beal on fire
     
    #247
  8. iGnP Silver Belt

    iGnP
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    A little bit of a late post but I have a decent lean on the Clippers -2 here. I took them for 3u. I think the "loss" of Austin Rivers actually does them good here, as he has a season +/- of -45. Small line value but throw in NYE game for Charlotte makes me think theyll be a bit flat
     
    #248
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  9. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    i blind tailed timberwolves -2 for £200 which was pretty crazy. thanks guys.
     
    #249
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  10. MT6ix Orange Belt

    MT6ix
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    Happy to contribute towards the board, Happy NYE!
     
    #250
  11. iGnP Silver Belt

    iGnP
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    Today’s been amazing. Also hit the Clippers ML at plus odds live. Made 5u on NFL plays and another 5 right here
     
    #251
  12. MT6ix Orange Belt

    MT6ix
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    Good call, didn't realize Austin Rivers numbers were that bad. Kind of understand why Chris Paul was feuding with Coach Doc Rivers (one of the main reasons) and his supposed preferential treatment of his son in past years and part of why he left.
     
    #252
  13. iGnP Silver Belt

    iGnP
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    They're not THAT bad, in theory. its -45 but through 32 games, which is an average of -1.4 points per game. The Clippers as a team average -0.5 points per game this season (which is around an average team). But if we look at their first meeting in Charlotte, the Clippers were 5 point underdogs and that was before Teodosic came back from injury. For the record, Teodosic has the HIGHEST plus minus on the Clippers at +89 through 10 games played. So with all that taken to account, the betting line didnt make any adjustments for Teodosic playing and Rivers not playing

    Just to be super anal: In the first meeting between these two teams, Rivers was 3-14 shooting and finished with just 9 points, 3 assists, and 3 turnovers in 34 minutes played and had a -19 point differential in a game that the Clippers lost by 15

    edit @quincy k this is how i try to find line value when injuries are involved
     
    #253
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2017
  14. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

    ill800
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    So this is why I suck at betting football

    Ravens are my team

    All week I’ve told myself you need to hit the bengals at +10.5. It’s going to be a close game. Just like last week with the colts. I knew the lines were way too generous for bmore

    So today I end up hitting the bengals for 10.5.

    I don’t want to root against my team so I play bmore -5 AND I pay -400 for bmore ml, because I’m an idiot

    So my lack of discipline combined with degeneracy ends up costing me big two weeks in a row
     
    #254
  15. quincy k Brown Belt

    quincy k
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    thanks. if you didnt see it the lakers lost in double overtime in houston and are playing today in minnesota, ball still questionable with the shoulder
     
    #255
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  16. Papi Blue Belt

    Papi
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    What happened to the thread?
     
    #256
  17. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    someone merged threads or something. yay for me getting to fix it...
     
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