In addition to Gormley, there also seems to be a lot of support for Iliad out there as well as people are looking to beat Mastery tomorrow. Iliad is the same horse who had to shorten his stride by 2 feet at the end of his win at 6F, and then by 2.5 feet at the end of his 7F win in the San Vincente. Both times his stride frequency at the end of those fell off too, significantly so at the end of the San Vincente (2.3 to 2.15). He was moving at a pretty good clip early in those races, so some fall off could be expected. But that's way too much for me to give him much of a chance at all in a 8.5F race that should also be ran pretty fast in the early going. If he gets an easy lead over average/soft fractions then maybe he sticks around til the end. But with horses like Mastery and Gormley in this race I don't think he'll even finish top 3. Like Beasely in the Tampa Bay Derby, I have him throwing in the towel at the top of the stretch.