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You hear about this from guys like Jake Herbert who wrestled in, and in Jake's case almost won, the world championships and then returned to NCAA competition only to go undefeated.42. We've finally found the question that it's the answer for.
In all likelihood, Karelin would be overwhelmed by the top tier. At the Olympics - where your country actually has to qualify the weight (either through placing at their continental games or through the qualification tournament), it's unlikely the he would be able to beat anyone outside of maybe someone from maybe the African/Oceania qualifiers. He could probably hang though with at the least the second tier though.
At the world championship (held in non-Olympic years), where a nation qualifies to send a wrestler simply by sending someone to their continental championship that year (no need to place - the brackets are much bigger at worlds than the Olympics, which caps the number of wrestlers), he could probably knock out many guys from the weaker half of the field with ease.
There is a huge difference between a high school aged kid and an a grown man (even in his 40s). I've wrestled with some pretty good teenagers - kids who were better than I was in high school - in the recent past who are the same size as me, over even ones who have a touch of weight on me - I'm a 33 year old former collegiate wrestler - as I can just completely manhandle them. Obviously I have quite a bit of technical depth on them, but difference in physical strength is palpable... men and boys.
However I do think there is a point of diminishing returns when it comes to age though (obviously) . Karelin is probably about as strong or stronger than many HW greco guys out there today but he's had to have slowed down a lot in maby other departments.
Comebacks are tough. Most recently I recall Stephen Abas returning at the 2015 senior nationals only to get teched by someone who had no business beating a guy with Stephen's accomplishments.