Glory 50 Chicago: Groenhart vs Grigorian III

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Feb 12, 2018.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    [​IMG]
     
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  2. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas sent out his opening betting odds for the following bouts on the Glory 50 card today. Betting lines courtesy of BetDSI.


    Glory 50: Chicago
    February 16, 2018
    UIC Pavilion - Chicago, USA


    GLORY 50 Chicago - (ESPN3 at 11pm ET / 8pm PT)

    Welterweight Title:

    Harut Grigorian +285
    Murthel Groenhart -405

    Over 3.5 -105
    Under 3.5 -135
    -

    Welterweight Co-Headline:

    Malik Watson-Smith +205
    Richard Abraham -275

    Over 2.5 -140
    Under 2.5 +100
    -

    Heavyweight Tournament Semifinal:

    D’Angelo Marshall -130
    Benjamin Adegbuyi -110

    Over 2.5 -165
    Under 2.5 +125
    -

    Heavyweight Tournament Semifinal:

    Junior Tafa +100
    Guto Inocente -140

    Over 1.5 -150
    Under 1.5 +110
    -

    GLORY 50 SuperFight Series - (UFC Fight Pass at 8:30pm ET / 5:30pm PT)

    Lightweight Title:

    Christian Baya +170
    Sitthichai Sitsongpeenong -230

    Over 4.5 -210
    Under 4.5 +160
    -
     
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  3. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Unibet lines
     

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  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  5. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  6. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    For Glory 50 I'm on some sides and o/u's already. I laying the juice on Sittichai at -260 in the LW title fight vs Christian Baya in the Superfight Series on Fight Pass. Also took the under 4½ at +170. Unders are always tricky with three minute kickboxing rounds, but Baya said he was going to bring the fight to Sittichai and that opens him up to the Thai's step-up knee and body kicks. It's a good price for the stoppage before the middle of round 5. In one half of the HW tournament bracket, I have to back my man Guto Inocente, as a -150 favorite this time not +1300 underdog vs Mark Hunt protege Junior Tafa as well as the over 1½ at -140. In the other half of the bracket, I like Benjamin Adegbuyi at -130 to beat D'Angelo Marshall by stoppage or more likely decision, leading to a potential re-match of that huge upset in 2017 in the tournament final of Guto & Adegbuyi. I expect hometown welterweight Richard Abraham who is not a super heavy hitter to go over 2½ with Malik Watson-Smith at -150. In the welterweight title fight main event, Murthal Groenhart has stopped aggressive Armenian Harut Grigorian on two separate occasions when they previously fought including once in Glory, so with this clash of styles, think the under 3½ is a reasonable bet at -145. Prices have shortened on almost all these lines since yesterday.
     
  7. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  8. pytycrys

    pytycrys Green Belt

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    Thanks, @JimGunn , very helpful as always. Took some of those on Unibet, got some interesting odds.

    1.5u Sittichai + Innocente @ 2.33
    1.5u Adegbuyi @ 1.87
    0.7u Sittichai KO @ 3.50
    1.5u Groenhart KO @ 1.73
    0.3u Sittichai KO + Innocente + Adegbuyi + Groenhart KO + Abraham @ 25
     
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  9. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    Thanks for the insight Jim!!!

    0.75u - Adegbuyi + Groenhart KO @3.23
    1u - Sittichai + Innocente + Abraham @3.17
    0.25u - Sittichai KO + Innocente + Adegbuyi + Groenhart KO + Abraham @ 25

    Does anybody know if this is on any UK television? Previous events have been so I am hopeful...
     
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  10. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  11. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Glory 50 Risk $1225.00

    Murthel Groenhart/Harut Grigorian Under 3½ (-145) $145.00 for $100.00
    Murthel Groenhart wins in round 2 (+500) ~$20.00 for ~$100.00

    Richard Abraham/Malik Watson-Smith Over 2½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

    Benajamin Adegbuyi (-130) vs D'Angelo Marshall $130.00 for $100.00
    Benajamin Adegbuyi (-130) vs D'Angelo Marshall $130.00 for $100.00

    Guto Inocente (-150) vs Junior Tafa $150.00 for $100.00
    Guto Inocente/Junior Tafa Over 1½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00

    Sitthichai Sitsongpeenong (-260) vs Christian Baya $260.00 for $100.00
    Sitthichai Sitsongpeenong/Christian Baya Under 4½ (+170) $100.00 for $170.00
     
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  12. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    0.75u - Adegbuyi + Groenhart KO @3.23 - L
    1u - Sittichai + Innocente + Abraham @3.17 - W
    0.25u - Sittichai KO + Innocente + Adegbuyi + Groenhart KO + Abraham @ 25 - L

    +1.17u. Cover a bit of the Bellator -1.5u loss.
     
  13. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Thanks @JimGunn
    Straight into live chat tho as unibet settles my double as a single saying Inocente was void lol
     
  14. pytycrys

    pytycrys Green Belt

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    +0.8u. I'll take it hehe. Bummed I didn't bet the under for Groenhart and went with Groenhart KO..eh.
     
  15. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Kind of a fast stoppage in the main event, but Harut did stun Murthel pretty badly and have him on queer street. Glad I stuck with the under in that one! Won nearly every bet, except for Sitthichai going the distance and the Murthel round 2 prop for a net result of 5.8 units profit.

    Glory 50 Results
    Risk $1225.00

    Murthel Groenhart/Harut Grigorian Under 3½ (-145) $145.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Murthel Groenhart wins in round 2 (+500) ~$20.00 for ~$100.00= -~$20.00

    Richard Abraham/Malik Watson-Smith Over 2½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Benajamin Adegbuyi (-130) vs D'Angelo Marshall $130.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Benajamin Adegbuyi (-130) vs D'Angelo Marshall $130.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Guto Inocente (-150) vs Junior Tafa $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Guto Inocente/Junior Tafa Over 1½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Sitthichai Sitsongpeenong (-260) vs Christian Baya $260.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Sitthichai Sitsongpeenong/Christian Baya Under 4½ (+170) $100.00 for $170.00= -$100.00
    -----
    Sub-Total= $600.00
    Sub-Total= -~$20.00

    Total Profit= $580.00
     

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