Glory 44 Chicago: Doumbe vs Groenhart II

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Aug 20, 2017.

  1. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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  2. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    didn't groenhart get his jaw broken by an angry fan a few months ago?
     
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  3. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Murthel got punched by a fan after he knocked out a stunned Harut Grigorian who had turned his back in his last bout, but his jaw wasn't actually broken. Pre-fight interview:

     
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  4. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Welterweight Title


    Murthel Groenhart +185
    Cedric Doumbe -265

    Over 4.5 -185
    Under 4.5 +145


    Welterweight Bout


    Daniel Morales +200
    Richard Abraham -280

    Over 2.5 -190
    Under 2.5 +150

    Welterweight Tournament Bout


    Zach Bunnell +435
    Antoine Pinto -705

    Over 2.5 -130
    Under 2.5 -110


    --

    GLORY Kickoxing SuperFight Series
    UFC Fight Pass at 8PM ET

    Super Bantamweight Title


    Meryem Uslu +485
    Tiffany van Soest -855

    Over 4.5 -190
    Under 4.5 +150
     
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  5. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    One more line opened:

    Welterweight Tournament Bout

    Harut Grigorian -185
    Karim Benmansour +145

    Over 2.5 -170
    Under 2.5 +130
     
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  6. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Super bantamweight title holder and the only female champion in Glory, Tiffany Van Soest is fighting a late replacement (about 5 days notice) woman named Meryem Uslu who stepped in to replace the experienced Funda Alkayis. Now honestly I don't know Uslu but if they kept this as a 5 round title bout like the over/under indicates, I like the under 4½ rounds at the +150 opener. That's a long time for Tiffany to get her offense popping on a late replacement and get her first stoppage in Glory, and the price is good.

    Then in the welterweight tournament, a decent fighter in Harut Grigorian just got knocked out in his last bout by turning his back controversially after getting rocked by Groenhart and he's returning pretty quickly to redeem himself here. But he's fighting a similarly experienced kickboxer in Karim Benmansour, so in a fight that could maybe go either way, perhaps even close to 50/50, I'll take Benmansour as an underdog at +145 over a fighter coming back quickly after a knockout like that.

    In the other tournament bout, I took the under 2½ rounds at -110 since French muay thai stylist Antoine Pinto is fighting an American Zach Bunnel who is likely not on his level, and I think Pinto can potentially get his first stoppage in Glory especially if he wants to be fresh for the tougher second fight in the final against Benmansour or Grigorian. I also like a parlay, even at an expensive collective price of about -390, of Van Soest and Pinto to both win.

    I am not sure on Abraham vs Morales in the co-main even at welterweight. Abraham probably wins in his home town of Chicago, but Morales is scrappy so I made a small bet on the over 2½ at -190 as they are both tough and this likely goes the distance.

    In the main event I think it will be competitive. Murthel is surging lately with three wins in a row including that highlight reel stoppage of Grigorian last time, so I am not sure if he should be as high as +185 against champion Cedric Doumbe even though he lost a decision to him in Glory a few years ago. Murthel says he got injured back then in the fight and didn't know what to expect from a young Doumbe. So I went 2 units on Groenhart at +185 hoping for an upset. I also took the over 4½ in this main event bout as well, even though it is chalky at -185, as I expect it go go the distance and that cashes in case Doumbe wins a decision as many would predict.
     
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  7. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    man i'm seeing +240 for groenhart. good enough for me for a fight that should be highly competitive.
     
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  8. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Great price. I think Doumbe had Nieky's number, but even though Nieky beat Murthel twice I think Murthel's style could make it interesting if he cuts off the ring to keep Cedric from dancing around too much and brings the chaos.
     
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  9. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Good job by the Glory social media team once again, they have a lot of promotional videos for this card on their YouTube. Just three here from the Inside Glory 44 Chicago series:





     
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  10. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    I don't see a video yet, but here are the weigh-in results

    Cédric Doumbé (169) vs. Murthel Groenhart (168.5) – for welterweight title
    Richard Abraham (170) vs. Daniel Morales (169.5)
    Antoine Pinto (169.5) vs. Zach Bunnel (168) – welterweight tournament semifinal
    Karim Benmansour (170) vs. Harut Grigorian (169.5) – welterweight tournament semifinal
    Tiffany van Soest (121) vs. Meryem Uslu (120) – for super bantamweight title
    Cătălin Moroșanu (221) vs. Michal Turynski (244)
    Dustin Jacoby (186.5) vs. Sean Choice (179.5)
    Warren Thompson (186.5) vs. Robert Thomas (186.5)
    Rafael Dudek (154) vs. Nate Richardson (154)
    Adrian Maxim (142.5) vs. Victor Pinto (142.5)
     
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  11. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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  12. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Glory 44 Risk $1741.00

    Murthel Groenhart (+185) vs Cedric Doumbe $100.00 for $185.00
    Murthel Groenhart (+185) vs Cedric Doumbe $100.00 for $185.00
    Murthel Groenhart/Cedric Doumbe Over 4½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00

    Richard Abraham/Daniel Morales Over 2½ (-190) $76.00 for $40.00

    Karim Benmansour (+145) vs Harut Grigorian $100.00 for $145.00

    Antoine Pinto/Zach Bunnel Under 2½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
    Antoine Pinto/Zach Bunnel Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00

    Tiffany van Soest/Meryem Uslu Under 4½ (+150) $100.00 for $150.00
    Michal Turynski (+362) vs Catalin Morosanu ~$30.80 for ~$111.50
    Dustin Jacoby (-244) vs Sean Choice ~$290.40 for ~$119.02
    Robert Thomas (-102) vs Warren Thompson ~$118.80 for ~$116.47

    Parlay:
    Tiffany van Soest (-855) vs Meryem Uslu + Antoine Pinto (-705) vs Zach Bunnel $400.00 for $110.16
     
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  13. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    FUCK YEAH!
     
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  14. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    I love Glory! I knew Murthel had the style to give Cedric a better fight than Nieky could. And new +185 dog champion! Tiffany van Soest delievered an awesome Anderson Silva-like front kick to her opponent's face with follow up punches in round 4 of her first title defense to get her first stoppage in Glory. Morosanu kind of got robbed, but I'll take it. Even the chalky parlay came in to make 7.77 units profit for the card.

    Glory 44 Results Risk $1741.00

    Murthel Groenhart (+185) vs Cedric Doumbe $100.00 for $185.00= $185.00
    Murthel Groenhart (+185) vs Cedric Doumbe $100.00 for $185.00= $185.00
    Murthel Groenhart/Cedric Doumbe Over 4½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Richard Abraham/Daniel Morales Over 2½ (-190) $76.00 for $40.00= $40.00

    Karim Benmansour (+145) vs Harut Grigorian $100.00 for $145.00= $100.00

    Antoine Pinto/Zach Bunnel Under 2½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $110.00
    Antoine Pinto/Zach Bunnel Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= $130.00

    Tiffany van Soest/Meryem Uslu Under 4½ (+150) $100.00 for $150.00= $150.00
    Michal Turynski (+362) vs Catalin Morosanu ~$30.80 for ~$111.50= ~$111.50
    Dustin Jacoby (-244) vs Sean Choice ~$290.40 for ~$119.02= ~$119.02
    Robert Thomas (-102) vs Warren Thompson ~$118.80 for ~$116.47= ~$116.47

    Parlay:
    Tiffany van Soest (-855) vs Meryem Uslu + Antoine Pinto (-705) vs Zach Bunnel $400.00 for $110.16= $110.16
    -----
    Total Profit= $777.15
     
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