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I know I'm gonna get lynched for this but here goes:
I dunno, anyone that comes at Golovkin never wins. I think people balls deep in Charlo are getting ahead of themselves.
To the credit of sherdoggers (in subforum 53 anyways), maybe not other boxing communities, only Seano is picking Charlo and he didn't even seem confident. I agree with pretty much all of what you said.
One factor tho, as Seano mentioned is the age. Charlo is young and strong, and GGG only getting older.
edit: I actually thing GGG looked good Saturday. Vanes is really quick, so a little awkward that first round, but then he beat the shit out of him lol. Physically, GGG looked in good condition, and looked even a little thicker than normal (but in a good way). I feel he put on a couple pounds in the upper body and torso to deal with Canelo better. Not the best way to train if you fighting a smaller, fast dude like Vanes